The Great Unravelling – modern history is built on exodus and displacement 

And who will live in the house after us, my father?
The house, my son, will remain as it was!
Why did you leave the horse alone?
To keep the house company, my son.
When their residents go, the houses will die.
Together we will hold on
until we return.
When, my father?
Tomorrow, my son, and perhaps in another day or two!
That tomorrow trailed behind them, chewing the wind
in the endless winter nights.
Mahmoud Darwish

Two years ago, in an essay in In That Howling Infinite published entitled Modern history is built upon exodus and displacement we wrote: “The term ethnic cleansing is elusive and politically charged. In an age of endemic conflict, identity politics and competing narratives, it has become a contested and often diluted concept invoked with increasing frequency. Yet, it remains undefined in law. Unlike genocide or war crimes, it has never been codified as a distinct offence under international law, and so its use is contested.”

Henry Ergas’s essay begins from a premise that is not wrong in itself: the Palestinian Nakba did not occur in isolation from the twentieth century’s wider history of mass displacement. Modernity proved remarkably adept at producing refugees. The collapse of empires, the rise of nation-states, world wars, partitions and revolutions uprooted tens of millions of people. Greeks and Turks, Armenians, Germans, Poles, Indians and Pakistanis, Jews from Arab lands, and many others found themselves swept into movements of population that often combined violence, dispossession and the attempt to create more homogeneous states.

This broader historical context matters because contemporary discussion of Israel–Palestine often proceeds as though 1948 emerged from a vacuum. It did not. The creation of Israel, the Palestinian exodus, and the simultaneous flight and expulsion of Jews from Arab countries all unfolded in a world where population transfer – while morally disturbing to modern sensibilities – was often treated by governments as regrettable but practical statecraft.

Yet Ergas then moves beyond historical context into a stronger argument: that the Palestinians constitute a unique exception because their refugee status became institutionalised rather than resolved. Here too there is a substantial point beneath the rhetoric. Unlike most post-war refugee populations, Palestinian refugee status passed across generations through UNRWA rather than being handled under the broader UNHCR framework. The expectation of return became central to Palestinian national identity and politics. The refugee camps in Lebanon, Syria, Gaza and elsewhere became not simply humanitarian spaces but political spaces.

But this is where the argument narrows and history becomes more selective.

The essay tends to compress a complex chain of causes into a single line of responsibility. The 1948 refugee crisis did not arise simply because Arab leaders invaded and then refused to absorb the consequences. As discussed previously, historians describe a more tangled picture: military collapse, fear, local expulsions, battlefield conditions, psychological warfare, direct expulsions in some areas, and decisions by Arab authorities all played roles that varied from place to place.

Nor does the proposition that Arab states “created” the refugee crisis command broad historical consensus. What is more broadly accepted is that many Arab states subsequently chose policies that preserved refugee distinctiveness rather than encouraging full integration, often because permanent absorption was seen as abandoning claims of return or acquiescing in Israel’s legitimacy.

There is also a danger in drawing too neat a lesson from other twentieth-century displacements. Many of those “successful” examples came after immense suffering and often under conditions we would now regard as profoundly unjust. The Greek–Turkish exchange, the expulsions of Germans from Eastern Europe, and Partition in India all left deep scars that continue to shape politics generations later. Stability eventually emerged, but stability and justice are not identical things.

This recalls themes from that earlier essay of ours. There,  the argument was not that ethnic cleansing or forced population movements are unique, nor that Israel–Palestine should be detached from wider historical patterns. Rather, the point was almost the opposite: modern history itself appears built on recurring acts of uprooting and demographic engineering. Michael Mann called this “the dark side of democracy”: the tendency of modern states toward homogeneity, where political belonging becomes increasingly tied to identity.

The distinction matters because Ergas implicitly suggests that history eventually tidies itself up – that refugees are absorbed, wounds heal, and life moves on, except in the Palestinian case. The historical record appears less orderly. Displacement rarely disappears; it becomes memory, and memory becomes politics.

The Armenian diaspora still carries the memory of 1915. Partition remains embedded in Indian and Pakistani consciousness. The descendants of expelled Germans preserved memory of lost homelands for decades. Jewish memory of exile persisted for two millennia and became central to Zionism itself. Human beings have shown little inclination simply to reconcile themselves to history and forget.

Which brings us back to a previous discussion about stories and belonging in our Blue remembered hills (2) – the history we hold within us – Tolkien’s sub-creation, Scruton’s observations on home, Tyrion Lannister’s line that “there is nothing more powerful than a good story.” Nations are, among other things, stories people tell about themselves. Refugees do not merely lose houses or land; they lose continuity – the narrative linking memory, place and identity.

Palestinians constructed such a narrative around the Nakba. Israelis constructed one around return after exile and persecution. Both narratives contain truths; both contain mythologies; both can harden into absolutes.

That perhaps is the deeper tragedy. The problem was never simply refugee camps or UN agencies or demographic statistics. It was that two peoples built foundational stories around dispossession and return in the same small strip of land – your earlier “TARDIS nation”: a place physically tiny but historically and emotionally vast, where centuries of memory somehow occupy the same ground at the same time.

The twentieth century produced many displaced peoples. Most eventually found states, borders or political settlements that transformed exile into citizenship. Palestinians remain suspended between memory and statehood, between return and permanence. Whether this makes their situation unique is debatable. That it makes it unusually enduring is harder to deny.

The unravelling, then, may not be the Nakba itself, nor UNRWA, nor even 1948. It may be the wider unraveling of an older assumption: that history’s brutal rearrangements eventually settle into stable endings. History has shown a disconcerting habit of reopening what people believed was closed. And memory, unlike borders, seldom remains where states draw the lines.

What about ‘Whataboutism’?

When one widens the frame as we have dine here, an accusation appears sooner or later, often delivered with a certain weary certainty: whataboutism. The implication is not merely that one has made a weak argument but that one has committed a kind of moral sleight of hand- that by widening the frame one is really narrowing the conscience; that by speaking of Greeks and Armenians, Germans and Jews, Indians and Pakistanis, Bosnians and Rohingya, one is attempting to diminish Palestinians by dissolving them into statistics.

The charge deserves attention because there is such a thing as genuine whataboutism. The old Soviet formulation – and what about your own crimes? – was never an attempt at understanding. It was an escape hatch, a manoeuvre for changing the subject rather than addressing it. One suffering became a shield against discussing another. The object was evasion.

But comparison and evasion are not the same thing.

History itself is an exercise in comparison. Historians are forever placing one event beside another, not because they believe suffering can be ranked on some grotesque league table of misery, but because isolated events often become clearer when seen against a wider landscape. The Nakba did not occur on another planet. It unfolded amid a twentieth century that seemed to possess a grim talent for uprooting people from ancestral homes and redistributing them across maps with ruler-straight borders and bureaucratic efficiency. The century moved populations around with astonishing confidence, as though nations were puzzles whose pieces merely needed rearranging.

To note this is not to say that Palestinian suffering was unimportant, or unreal, or somehow cancelled out by the suffering of others. Human beings do not experience tragedy comparatively. Nobody standing beside a burning village pauses to think, yes, but larger displacements occurred elsewhere. People experience loss in the singular. The family home is not less mourned because millions of others lost theirs too.

And yet memory and history often operate differently. Memory looks inward. History looks outward. Memory says: this happened to us. History asks: where else has this happened, and why?

Perhaps the tension lies there.

Because the Holy Land –  a curious, poorly understood TARDIS territory, tiny on a map and infinite in emotional and historical dimensions – contains overlapping stories of exile and return. Palestinians built a national memory around dispossession; Israelis built one around return after exile and persecution. Both stories contain truth. Both contain myth. Both contain wounds carried across generations.

To place one beside wider human experience is not necessarily to belittle it. Sometimes it is the opposite. Sometimes it is an attempt to recognise that the Palestinian tragedy was not an aberration committed by monsters from another species, but part of a recurring and deeply human pattern – our alarming capacity to convince ourselves that peace, security or national redemption can be achieved by separating peoples and remaking maps.

The question, then, is not whether comparison itself is suspect. It is whether comparison is being used to illuminate or to dismiss.

The former enlarges understanding. The latter shrinks it.

And perhaps that distinction matters, because if modern history teaches anything, it is that human beings have shown little talent for forgetting and remarkable talent for carrying stories — stories of homes left behind, keys kept in drawers, vanished streets and remembered landscapes — across decades and across oceans.

Borders may eventually settle.

Memory seldom does.

Keys, homelands and the stories we carry within us

We did not weep
when we were leaving –
for we had neither
time nor tears
and there was no farewell.
We did not know
at the moment of parting
that it was a parting
so where would our weeping 
have come from?”
Taha Muhammad Ali

There is perhaps a further answer to the question of whether widening the frame becomes a form of whataboutism, and it lies in something written years earlier in In That Howling Infinite, in an essay on Mahmoud Darwish, Ismail Shammout and the symbolism of al-’awda –  return: Visualizing the Palestinian Return – the art of Ismail Shammout]

That essay did not begin with demographic tables, refugee agencies, diplomatic resolutions or arguments about international law. It began instead with Darwish’s father and son, with a house left behind and a horse kept company in the absence of those who had gone. It entered history through memory rather than politics. The language was intimate and domestic because exile is experienced first not through abstractions but through ordinary things: streets once walked, kitchens once occupied, olive trees, neighbourhoods and names. Long before displacement becomes a political problem, it is a human one.

Darwish understood Palestine not merely as territory but as metaphor: a homeland certainly, but also a language of longing, absence and dispossession. Palestine became not simply a place on a map but a way of expressing exile itself. Around that idea grew al-’awda, the dream of return, symbolised by al-muftah, the key that appears throughout refugee camps, paintings and political iconography. The key became more than metal. It became continuity –  evidence that interrupted lives had not entirely ended. Villages might disappear, maps be redrawn, and landscapes altered beyond recognition, but the key remained as a quiet refusal to surrender memory.

The earlier essay eventually moved into more contested territory, discussing UNRWA, inherited refugee status and the possibility that institutions established to preserve refugee welfare had also preserved expectation itself, transforming temporary exile into a political condition transmitted across generations. Yet the order in which those arguments appeared matters. The essay did not begin by reducing Palestinians to a demographic question or a bureaucratic problem. It first sought to understand what loss meant to those who carried it.

Perhaps that touches upon the larger issue raised here. Comparative history and lived memory often ask different questions and operate at different scales. History asks about patterns, causes and precedents. It seeks connections and broader landscapes, comparing one experience with another to understand how societies and states behave across time. Memory is more particular and less interested in patterns. It concerns itself with the singular experience of those who lost something and who continue to carry the memory of that loss.

The two perspectives are not necessarily opposed, but neither are they interchangeable. Statistics without memory can become sterile and detached. Memory without wider historical context can harden into myth, becoming a self-contained narrative resistant to complication.

This has been a recurring theme across earlier discussions – from Tolkien’s idea of sub-creation and Scruton’s reflections on belonging to Tyrion Lannister’s observation that there is nothing in the world more powerful than a good story. Stories are not merely embellishments laid over identity; they often become identity itself. They explain where people came from, who they are, and where they imagine themselves to be going.

Palestinians built such a story around the Nakba and the hope of return. Jews built one around exile and return as well: Jerusalem remembered across centuries, prayers ending with Next Year in Jerusalem, memory transformed into national aspiration. Both peoples, in different ways, carried keys. Some were literal objects passed through generations; others existed in memory and imagination.

Perhaps this explains why the accusation of whataboutism can feel misplaced in such discussions. Comparison does not necessarily diminish suffering by placing it alongside other suffering. Sometimes it attempts the opposite. Sometimes it seeks to recognise that exile, loss and the desire for return are among the oldest and most enduring of human experiences.

The danger lies not in telling stories but in mistaking stories for complete maps of reality. A key can indeed open a door, but after enough years –  after generations have passed, after landscapes have changed and houses have disappeared – it may become something else entirely. It becomes not a practical instrument but a memory carried in the hand, a reminder that home is not always a physical place waiting patiently at the end of a road. Sometimes it survives most completely in the minds of those still searching for it.

In That Howling Infinite, May 2026

In That Howling Infinite  has recently published a long essay explaining its position with regard to what is probably the most intractable conflict in modern times: One Land, Two Peoples: History, Memory, Continuity, and Inheritance 

See also in In That Howling Infinite, Modern history is built upon exodus and displacement, Visualizing the Palestinian Return – the art of Ismail Shammout , We did not weep when we were leaving – the poet of Nazareth 

The featured picture at the head of this blog post is one of Palestinian artist Ismail Shammout’s striking illustrations of Al Nakba, the dispossession of tens of thousands of Palestinian Arabs during Israel’s war of independence, from In That Howling Infinite’s Visualizing the Palestinian Return – the art of Ismail Shammout]

Al Miftah

How the Arab world recast the Nakba

Every May, Nakba Day, with its noisy demonstrations on our streets, brings the same charge against Israel: that the displacement of some 700,000 Palestinians in 1948 was a unique crime in modern history. The reverse is closer to the truth. Almost nothing about the Palestinian exodus was singular. What was singular – and which still disfigures the lives of Palestinians, Israelis and the wider world – is what was done with it ­afterwards.

For two centuries, modern states have been built on the unmixing of peoples. The idea is older than the romantic nationalists who weaponised it. Ferdinand and Isabella expelled the Jews from Spain in 1492, and Philip III the Moriscos a century later, precisely because they could no longer imagine a unified crown ruling a religiously mixed people. France’s revolutionary Jacobins, alarmed at Breton, Provencal and Alsatian, declared linguistic uniformity the price of citizenship; Mazzini and his epigoni said much the same for Italy.

Even that arch-liberal John Stuart Mill argued in 1861 that ­representative institutions could scarcely function in countries divided among “different nationalities” speaking different languages.

Bismarck drew the operational conclusion, expelling tens of thousands of Polish and Jewish “foreigners” from Prussia’s eastern provinces in 1885-86 – a program regarded at the time as enlightened statecraft and applauded throughout the liberal press of central Europe.

The unmixing accelerated as the great land empires – Ottoman, Habsburg, Romanov – gave way to nation-states. The Crimean War alone drove 900,000 Muslims from the Caucasus and Crimea into Ottoman territory; the Balkan Wars and the First World War uprooted two million more.

By 1923, the movements were no longer an incidental consequence of war; they were being designed. The burning of Smyrna in September 1922, which destroyed one of the great cosmopolitan cities of the eastern Mediterranean and drove 200,000 Greeks and Armenians into the harbour while Allied warships looked on, made any continued Greek presence in Anatolia impossible – and the world’s diplomats simply codified the new reality.

The Lausanne Convention of January 1923 compelled roughly 1.3 million Greek Orthodox to leave Anatolia for Greece and 400,000 Muslims to leave Greece for Turkey, stripping each of nationality, their possessions and any right of return. Cretan Muslims who had never seen Anatolia and knew only Greek were shipped to Anatolia; Cappadocian Greeks who knew only Turkish were shipped to Greece.

Set against the Armenian genocide of 1915, the exchange was hailed as humane and progressive, and Athens and Ankara settled into the longest peace they had ever known. Raymond Poincare spoke for the age when he concluded that “the mixture of populations of different races and religions has been the main cause of troubles and of war”.

That lesson governed what came next. In 1944, with Hitler’s empire collapsing, Churchill told the Commons he was “not alarmed by the prospect of the ­disentanglement of populations”. The Potsdam Agreement formalised it, providing for the expulsion of 12 million ethnic Germans from Eastern Europe.

The 1948 Palestinian exodus, known in Arabic as the Nakba. Picture: via Getty Images

The 1948 Palestinian exodus, known in Arabic as the Nakba. Picture: via Getty Images

The German share of Czechoslovakia’s population fell from 23 per cent to less than 2 within five years, under Benes’ decrees that stripped ethnic Germans of citizenship and property overnight. Equally, Poland’s minorities, 30 per cent of its inter-war population, were reduced to under 5 per cent; in 1947, the Ukrainian remnant was forcibly scattered across the new western territories to prevent any cohesive ethnic block reforming.

Meanwhile, the dismantling of Japan’s empire moved another five million Japanese back from Manchuria, Korea, Taiwan and Sakhalin, often after long internment, while Koreans and Chinese were marched in the opposite direction. And in 1947, Partition uprooted between 12 and 20 million people on the subcontinent; Pakistani Punjab’s Hindus and Sikhs went from 20 per cent of the population to 0.2 per cent in four years, amid massacres on the Lahore-Delhi railway that nobody who lived through them ever forgot.

Shortly afterwards it was the turn of the Jewish communities of Iraq, Egypt, Libya, Syria, Yemen and Morocco.

Some 800,000 people, whose ancestors had lived in those lands for two millennia, were evicted, forced to flee or statutorily expelled, losing their nationality and all their assets in the process. Iraq’s Jews, once 40 per cent of Baghdad’s population and producers of the country’s first finance minister, were down to under 1 per cent within five years.

In each case the expectation was the same: the receiving state would absorb its co-religionists or co-ethnics and prevent revanchism. Ataturk’s Turkey did exactly that – any attempts by the Muslims expelled from Greece to organise politically were firmly ­repressed.

So did the Allied occupiers, and then Adenauer’s Federal Republic, banning refugee parties in Germany and shutting down any attempt at creating new ones. Forced to accommodate to their new country, West Germany’s 12 million expellees – many of whom either spoke no German or antique forms of German locals could barely understand – powered the Wirtschaftswunder (economic miracle) and helped ­rebuild Germany’s fabled network of small firms.

Nor were they alone in proving a source of flexibility and innovation. In West Bengal, Hindus expelled from East Bengal transformed the jute industry, making it a pillar of India’s economy. The million-odd North Koreans who fled south during and after the Korean War, Chung Ju-yung of Hyundai prominent among them, supplied the entrepreneurial core of what became the South Korean miracle.

Israel, for its part, absorbed almost the entirety of the displaced Jews of the Arab lands: Operation Ezra and Nehemiah airlifted some 120,000 Iraqi Jews in 1950-51; Operation Magic Carpet flew 49,000 Yemenite Jews to Israel in 1949-50; Operation Moses, in 1984, collected the Beta Israel from the Sudanese desert, every wave transforming the country and yielding generations of military heroes and entrepreneurs.

Palestinian fighters beside a burned-out Israeli Haganah supply truck near Jerusalem in 1948. Picture: via Getty Images

Palestinian fighters beside a Haganah supply truck near Jerusalem in 1948. Picture: Getty Images

The pain was always immense; the absorption, almost everywhere, successful. Almost everywhere. For the Palestinians were the single, decisive exception.

In 1948, the Arab states had launched a war the Arab League’s Secretary-General announced would be “a war of extermination and a memorable massacre comparable to the Mongol massacres and the Crusades”, urged on by the rector of Cairo’s Al-Azhar Mosque, who told Muslims resident in Mandatory Palestine to “leave the territory temporarily so that our warriors can freely undertake their task of extermination”.

But unlike every other immediate historical precedent, the Arab states, having lost the war, refused to absorb the refugees their own actions had created. King Abdullah I of Jordan, who alone among Arab leaders had been prepared to come to terms with Israel and absorb the Palestinians, was assassinated at al-Aqsa in 1951 – a warning that subsequent Arab rulers heeded, until Anwar Sadat repeated the gesture in 1981 and met the same fate.

Predictably, the UN played a major role in the tragedy. Of the roughly 50 million people displaced by the Second World War and its aftermath, only two groups – Koreans and Palestinians – were given country-specific UN refugee agencies, and both were meant to be temporary. The UN Korean Reconstruction Agency wound up in 1958. UNRWA’s own founding report warned that “sustained relief operations inevitably contain the germ of human deterioration” and committed to speedily shut down.

Seven decades later, UNRWA still exists. It employs roughly 31,000 staff to serve almost six ­million registered “refugees”, the overwhelming majority of whom were born decades after 1948 and have never set foot in Mandatory Palestine. A fifth-generation Gazan whose ancestors left Jaffa remains classified as a refugee in a way that would be inconceivable anywhere else on earth.

The result was not merely administrative absurdity but political radicalisation. From the Cairo Agreement of 1969 onwards, the Palestinian camps in Lebanon became autonomous political and military zones. There and elsewhere, UNRWA facilities rapidly evolved into an integral part of the terrorist infrastructure.

Refugeehood ceased to be a temporary humanitarian condition and became an institutionalised political identity organised around the goal of destroying Israel, in an illusion that has instead destroyed generation after generation of Palestinians.

The Nakba charade

Those, in short, are the historical realities. But they do nothing to prevent the annual Nakba charade from insisting that Israel committed a uniquely monstrous act of “ethnic cleansing” in 1948.

Well, if ethnic homogenisation was truly the goal, Israel pursued it with startling incompetence. Arab citizens of Israel today are roughly a fifth of the population, a share slightly larger than at independence. And far from being “ethnically cleansed”, Israel is by far the most plural state in its region with its population Jewish (Ashkenazi, Mizrahi, Ethiopian, Russian), Arab Muslim, Christian, Druze, Circassian and Baha’i.

Compare that with northern Cyprus, where Greek Cypriots went from 82 per cent of the population in 1973 to zero within two years of the Turkish invasion.

Erdogan nevertheless stands among the loudest voices accusing Israel of practising precisely what Turkey has long excelled at – the expulsion and displacement of unwanted peoples, most recently the Kurds of northern Syria. Nor is Turkey alone. Saudi Arabia expelled 800,000 Yemeni workers in 1990 in retaliation for Sana’a’s tilt towards Saddam Hussein, while Kuwait expelled every single one of its 400,000 Palestinians in 1991 for the same offence.

These were not isolated episodes of political vengeance or wartime coercion. They formed part of a much broader regional trajectory: the ongoing, largely forced displacement and disappearance of the Muslim Middle East’s non-Muslim and minority populations.

Albert Hourani’s Minorities in the Arab World (1947) brilliantly mapped a region whose Christians, Jews, Yazidis, Druze, Alawites and countless smaller communities sustained a dense and intricate civic fabric. It was, unfortunately, a world on the cusp of extinction.

Today, the Christian share of Egypt, Syria, Iraq and Lebanon combined – around 11 per cent in 1945 – has fallen to 3 per cent, and the decline is accelerating. Syria’s Christians have declined from 9.7 per cent of its population in 1970 to under 2 per cent today; Iraq’s, once above 6 per cent, are well under 1 per cent; Egypt’s Copts continue their long erosion, from 8 per cent to no more than 3 per cent. Lebanon’s Christians, who made up over half of the population in 1970, are now below a third.

Nor is it a question of Christians alone. The Zoroastrians, whose religion once shaped an empire from the Indus to the Nile, have vanished from the Arab Middle East.

The Yazidis were enslaved and slaughtered in their thousands at Sinjar by Islamic State in 2014, in what was unquestionably a genocide. The Man­daeans of southern Iraq, who numbered 60,000 a generation ago, are now a remnant of perhaps 4,000. Almost everywhere, the Baha’is and Ahmadis have fled.

Stark contrast

As for the Jews, they are entirely gone, a population of close to a million across the Arab world reduced to a few thousand, almost all elderly; Egypt’s once 80,000-strong community now numbers in the low hundreds, and Yemen’s 50,000-strong Jewry, planted there in antiquity, was essentially lifted out by Operation Magic Carpet, with the Houthi takeover erasing the few that remained.

The trend is unmistakeable, the contrast stark. While the West accommodates ever more Muslims, the Arab world accommodates ever fewer non-Muslims. Its activists and their Western fellow travellers demand multiculturalism elsewhere; they ruthlessly deny it at home. They denounce Israel; but they are the ones engaged in the systematic destruction of ethnic and religious variety.

That is the historical fact the Nakba charade cannot accommodate. The 20th century normalised population transfer on a colossal scale, and the suffering it caused was sustained, widespread and ­immense.

But no international movement emerged demanding the restoration of Breslau to Germany, the ethnic reconstitution of the Sudetenland, a right of return for the Jews thrown out of the Arab lands, or hereditary refugee status for the descendants of the enormous population movements that swept across what had been British India. The displaced were expected to rebuild their lives where they arrived. However ­brutal the process, however bitter the pain, the governing assumption was clear: refugeehood was to disappear, not reproduce itself across generations.

The Palestinians alone were taught a different lesson – and that is the true Palestinian uniqueness. They were told not to end refugeehood but to preserve and reify it; not to build a future where they were, but to await the destruction of the state beside them; not to reconcile themselves to history, but to believe that history itself could be reversed.

For 75 years, generation after generation has been raised on that promise. It has brought not return but ruin, not recovery but repeated catastrophe. And as Gaza now demonstrates once again, it is the Palestinians themselves who pay the highest price for the post-war world’s longest and costliest political fraud.

The past is never past … and reappears unexpectedly

Time is an ocean but it ends at the shore
You may not see me tomorrow

Bob Dylan

A wander through the foggy ruins of time …

We had been having conversations at home about Jewish people I had known when I was young – we’ve had a lot to talk about on things like this in this hate filled times – and I recalled that there were not many to speak of. In those days, in the early and mid-1960s at Moseley Grammar School in Birmingham, there were, as I remember it, only three Jewish boys in the school. There may have been a Jewish teacher, but I’m not certain. Though Moseley was non-denominational, it was very much C of E in plain clothes. The Jewish boys and us Catholics – not meant of those either too –  would enter the daily school assembly after the routine prayers and hymns, and we were excused from scripture lessons even though these studied the same Old Testament.

Now, we often talk about memory here at In That Howling Infinite. Memories of our pasts, our younger selves, do not arrive with trumpets. They present themselves all of a sudden, unannounced and often sideways: through a stray remark on the couch of an evening; through a conversation about people once known; through one of those odd moments when the mind, unbidden, opens a door long thought shut and a forgotten face enters the room.

And Nicholas Molnar walked through that door …

On impulse, i went searching for one of those Jewish lads, one I had been friends with during my final years of Grammar School; and google brought up an obituary written by loved ones who bring you up to date, informing me that while I was busy becoming older, so was he.

It was written by members of the the Forres Friends of Woods and Fields, environmental and community garden group based some 40 km east of the northern Scottish town of Inverness, and it paid tribute to the their founder and chairperson who had just passed on. It got me wandering through my backpages

We were born in the same year, 1949, and arrived at Moseley at roughly the same time, around 1960, remaining there until the summer of 1967 (though I stayed another year). The son of German/Austrian parents who had escaped from Nazi Germany, Nick was small of stature, with curly hair, a prominent nose, and friendly, laughing eyes – an expression that always seemed on the verge of amusement. He was very bright, academically gifted, and a natural actor.

School drama productions in those days had a peculiar and often unimaginative tendency to cast according to what teachers thought somehow “fitted”. Nick, being Jewish, often found himself cast in Jewish roles. Looking back now, one raises an eyebrow at the assumptions involved, but at the time it seemed merely how the world worked.

I remember him particularly in Samuel Beckett’s Waiting for Godot and Wolf Mankowitz’s dark comedy The Bespoke Overcoat, a poignant and comic reimagining of Nikolai Gogol’s The Overcoat, itself a story carrying echoes of Jewish life and exile. These were esoteric two-handers (not quite what one would expect in grammar school drama production*) with one of the other Jewish boys – Chris Field, another outstanding student and gifted actor. The pair of them together had an ease on stage that some people spend a lifetime trying to acquire.

I cannot recall how we became pals. Nor do I remember much about the details of our friendship. But I often visited his home – in Moseley, I think, not far from our school – probably during school holidays.

I do recall that he bought a canoe and took to paddling Brum’s many canals. “Canoe, canal,” he would often refrain. At the time I thought it quite eccentric.

He then bought a second-hand Lambretta scooter. Those scooters possessed a strange glamour, belonging to a brave new world of Mods and movement and urban freedom – and, indeed, rebellion. A couple of my schoolmates had one and sported those long-tailed parkas that later featured in Quadrophenia. I envied them for the speed and freedom and would have loved to do likewise, but that required means and parental permission, and I had neither.

And then our schooldays drew to an end and we put off schoolboy things and ventured out into the wide world – the great divide that so often arrives at the end of adolescence: university, cities, the widening world.

Nick went up to university in London. I am fairly sure it was the LSE, or somewhere very near it in central London. I hitched down to visit him and stayed in his bedsit –  an atmosphere peculiar to student life where one exists in a halfway house between adolescence and whatever comes next.

Was it once or several times? I cannot recall. But I have an image of scooting through wet, wintry streets on the back of a Lambretta.

And he took me to what I recall as the Soviet Bookshop, though it may well have been Collet’s in Charing Cross Road. We had both developed a left-wing outlook on the world, and London at that time possessed a whole ecology of ideas. One could drift through central London moving from second-hand bookshops to political shops to cafés where everybody seemed convinced history itself had reached a point of imminent transformation.

Young people have always believed they stand on the threshold of a new age, but the late sixties had a particular confidence in this regard. Revolutions seemed possible. Societies looked malleable. One felt that history had become less a thing to study than a thing with which one might personally engage.

This was the life, I thought, mindful that I too would soon be taking that road.

Within a year I had left Birmingham for Reading in Oxfordshire and my own particular diversions, and, distractions. Unlike my upper sixth peers, I spent an extra year at Moseley, an unplanned and strange sabbatical during which I hitchhiked around Britain and nurtured my interest in history and politics. In what looks now in retrospect as one of life’s strange coincidences, in the Spring of 1967, I traveled the A98, the long road linking Aberdeen to Inverness – passing through Forres. I slept on the roadside somewhere near the Culloden battlefield and woke in the morning covered in snow.

Though London featured prominently, creatively and romantically in my university years, and I lived there from 1971 until 1978,  and though Nick and I may often have been in close proximity – I returned to that Russian book store several times , buying Lenin’s polemical pamphlets for my uni studies, Russian Revolution posters, and even, inspired by seeing Jethro Tull live, a balalaika (which I never learned to play) – I was never to see him again.

Until he walked through that door in our conversations here in the Tarkeeth forest – in the form of an obituary.

We lost touch – around 1968 –  as people sometimes do. Lives branch quietly. Then suddenly fifty or sixty years have passed and one discovers that entire lives have unfolded beyond one’s sight.

The strangest thing is that memory often preserves people at a fixed age. In my mind’s eye Nick remained perpetually young: climbing onto his Lambretta in his mod anorak, wandering through London, talking undergraduate politics, dropping me at the Tube station for my hitchhike back to Birmingham for school on Monday morning, and then heading off toward some unknowable future.

There is something poignant and bittersweet in discovering that the person you met a lifetime ago had not vanished after all, but had simply carried on further down the road, a.road that, for all its geographical, cultural, and social differences, might have been running parallel to my own.

Riffing on Nick’s biography – a life of service to community and environment as described below in the Forres Friends tribute –  I too became involved in student politics and protests in 1968 and 1969, including demonstrations against the Vietnam War in London, though I later parted company with politics in pursuit of more hedonistic things. I too travelled after graduation – my destiny lay in the Middle East and along the famous Hippie Trail to India and back.

My journey eventually carried me to Australia, where I now live out my latter years in a wildlife reserve and conservation area in the forests of northern New South Wales, caring for the bush while my wife tends our large vegetable garden. En route I have been an accountant, a folk singer, and an activist in Australia’s interminable forest wars.

People often imagine lives changing direction dramatically. We speak of transformations and reinventions. Yet perhaps character is more like a river than a sequence of disconnected events. It bends; it narrows; it widens; but somehow remains recognisably itself.

I had gone looking for a boy I once knew and found a life instead – a rich, generous, deeply lived life that had unfolded beyond my sight. We began with a door opening and a familiar face walking back into the room, but behind that remembered face lay an entire unseen life. There is a curious sadness in such rediscoveries. I found Nick again after all these years, only to discover that he had already rounded the bend and passed out of sight.

As Bob Dylan’s lines at the head of this memoire tell us, it is a reminder of how finite life is …

Paul Hemphill, May 2026

* But then again, maybe not. The young teacher who looked after school drama was of a bohemian bent, and in extracurricular drama classes, he introduced us sixth-formers to the plays of the “Angry Young Men” (a prominent group of working- and middle-class British writers and playwrights who emerged in 1950s postwar Britain), including Arnold Wesker and Joe Orton, and organised outings to the old Birmingham Repertory Theatre (back then, in its Stevenson Street location) to see contemporary plays.

In Tall Tales, small stories and eulogies, see more about my London in the nineteen sixties and seventies:  A Window on a Gone World … London days; Something about London; Song of the Road (1) – my hitchhiking days;; and Ciao Pollo di Soho – the cafe at the end of the M1

In That Howling Infinite has also written more generally about the nature of nostalgia. See: Blue remembered hills – a land of lost contentment (There is a précis of this below), and Blue remembered hills (2) – the history we hold within us

Forres Friends of Woods and Fields founder Nick Molnar passes away peacefully

Garry McCartney, The Northern Scott, 09 December 2025

A hard-working member of the community with a passion for the environment has passed away.

Forres Friends of Woods and Fields (FFWF) founder and chairman, Nick Molnar, 76, is survived by his wife and fellow volunteer Pippa, brother Michael, sister Nina and their families.

Nick (right) in the early days of the Chapelton polytunnel funded by the Berry Burn windfarm Community Fund.
The early days of the Chapelton polytunnel funded by the Berry Burn windfarm Community Fund.

FFWF chairman, Mick Drury, confirmed he also leaves the charity’s 26 diverse acres of land to be continued to be used for local community food production as well as a space to reconnect with nature.

The town has lost a core member of the community,” he said. “Nick was known for his warmth, helpfulness and involvement with a range of local projects. He had a lifetime’s commitment to the land and to building community.”

Nick was born in 1949 in Hertfordshire to German/Austrian refugees from the Nazi regime of the Second World war, spending most of his childhood in Birmingham.

He studied anthropology at university in London, taking part in student protests in 1967. After graduating, he travelled the world.

Nick then lived in Camphill communities in Norway, Ireland, England and Perthshire – supporting people with additional needs through work on the land. Camphill communities are residential communities and schools that provide support for the education, employment, and daily lives of adults and children with developmental disabilities, mental health problems, or other special needs.

Nick sowing in the Chapelton polytunnel.

 

Over the last five years, FFWF has been Nick’s life’s work, particularly after establishing its community garden at Chapelton.

Mick said: “His commitment and hard work have left a lasting legacy. A core group of volunteers meet there to work together weekly, harvesting for their own needs and making regular donations to Moray’s foodbank.”

The group’s summer open days are very popular now – Nick was always on-hand to welcome attendees and build new relationships.

“He’d always be out supporting the town’s apple and tattie days,” added Mick. “At home, he and Pen would be busy preserving soft fruits, making pickles and chutneys, sauerkraut and kimchi.”

Nick at the growing field and garden near Chapelton Farm.
Nick at the growing field and garden near Chapelton Farm.

Nick’s love of traditional skills and crafts of the countryside led to him trying his hand. Scything was a particular interest, and he was arrested for scything genetically modified crops on the Black Isle in 2001 when a test site was established there.

He was a keen reader and had a great interest in folk music, learning to play the violin in recent years.

Nick passed away at home just over a week after suffering a serious stroke. He was supported by his family, by Kate Clark from the Pushing up the Daisies bereaved charity, and with the “wonderful” assistance of the district nurses.

He was given a quiet send-off at Chapelton, with piper Rory O’Connell and a private green burial. There will be a life celebration for Nick in the new year. Messages of condolence are asked to be sent to forresfriends@gmail.com.

“We are blessed to have known Nick,” finished Mick, “and we will miss him greatly.”

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About Forres, Findhorn and Camphill

Forres is an historic market town in Moray in northeast Scotland, situated approximately 25 miles (40 km) east of Inverness and about 12 miles (19 km) west of Elgin, nestled between fertile farmland and the coast of the Moray Firth. Just 5 miles (8 km) north-east of Forres, a journey of little more than ten minutes by car, lies the small coastal village of Findhorn, set beside Findhorn Bay and opening onto the North Sea. Although distinct places, Forres and Findhorn have long existed in each other’s orbit: one a traditional Highland town with ancient roots, the other a village internationally known for its ecological and communal experiments.

Within this landscape sits Forres Friends of Woods and Fields (FFWF), a community woodland and garden project founded in 2020 by my old school chum Nic Molnar, who served as its founder and chair. The organisation brings together practical environmental work with a strong sense of community life, creating shared spaces where volunteers plant and grow food, manage woodland, support biodiversity, and learn sustainable land practices. Yet projects such as this are about more than gardens and trees. Their ethos is equally social: people gathering for a few hours of work, conversation, and companionship – “a blether and a cup of tea,” as the organisation itself cheerfully puts it. In that sense, FFWF reflects an older village ideal recast in modern form: a communal space where practical labour and human connection become intertwined.

The broader region also carries the influence of the Camphill Communities, an international movement founded in Scotland in 1940 by Karl König and fellow refugees from Nazi Europe. Based on principles of shared living and mutual care, Camphill sought to create communities in which people with learning disabilities and additional support needs lived and worked as equal participants rather than as institutional recipients of care. Farms, gardens, workshops, schools, and shared homes became central features of community life. The Moray region around Forres and Findhorn later developed into one of Camphill’s most significant centres, helping establish the area’s reputation for social innovation, community-based living, and environmental engagement. The underlying principles of König’s Camphill school were derived from concepts of education and social life outlined decades earlier by anthroposophistRudolf Steiner(1861–1925). Today there are over 100 communities worldwide, in more than 20 countries, mainly in Europe, but also in North America and Southern Africa

Findhorn itself added another layer to this local culture through the emergence of the Findhorn Foundation, whose experiments in ecological living and sustainability attracted international attention from the 1960s onward. Together, these overlapping influences –  the traditional town of Forres, the intentional and ecological communities of Findhorn, the Camphill movement, and local initiatives such as Forres Friends of Woods and Fields – have created a small corner of Scotland that is geographically modest yet unusually rich in ideas about community, stewardship, and shared ways of living.

Précis: Blue Remembered Hills — a land of lost contentment

Nostalgia is one of those curious human afflictions that sits somewhere between memory and myth. The Greeks called it nostos: the longing for home, the ache of return. Homer built The Odyssey around it. Houseman called childhood “the land of lost content”. We all know the feeling: that sudden gust of memory carrying with it a place that perhaps never quite existed in the form we remember it. A song, a smell, a taste, a street corner glimpsed through rain –  and suddenly one is standing again in those “blue remembered hills”.

The trouble is that nostalgia can be both consolation and deception. Memory does not preserve the past like amber trapping an insect; it edits, softens, rearranges and, occasionally, invents. It is less a historical archive than a film editor’s cutting room. We tend to remember not the world as it was, but the world as it felt. Childhood roads seem wider when revisited, old houses smaller, old certainties larger. Looking backward is a little like looking in a rear-view mirror: objects appear closer than they really are.

There is nothing inherently wrong with this. Quite the opposite. Nostalgia often provides continuity in a world moving at bewildering speed. Long-term memory can become a kind of inner refuge, perhaps even biology’s consolation prize for ageing. As we move through life, the past gradually acquires sovereignty over the present. The older we get, the more we discover that Hartley was probably right: the past really is another country. More disconcertingly, we begin to realise it has become home.

Yet nostalgia also has its darker uses. It can become what South Park hilariously called “memberberries”: seductive little fragments of selective memory that rot the brain with sentimental half-truths. “Remember when things were better?” they whisper. Remember when streets were cleaner, people knew their place, children behaved, and chips came wrapped in newspaper? The problem is that these memories often airbrush out the less attractive features of the era: poverty, prejudice, corporal punishment, rigid social hierarchies, casual cruelty and exclusion. There is a tendency to remember cohesion while forgetting whom that cohesion excluded.

And nowhere is this more visible than in those sprawling Facebook nostalgia communities now largely colonised by us boomers. They are fascinating anthropological sites – digital village greens where people gather not to discuss wars, elections or grand historical events but milkmen, street sweepers, bin men, old sweets, cassettes and television programmes long vanished into history.

At first glance it all appears harmless enough: a warm bath of collective memory. Yet beneath pictures of “proper bin men” and school playgrounds often lurk deeper currents of anxiety and resentment. The mundane becomes symbolic. The old milkman becomes shorthand for social trust; the local high street for community; black-and-white photographs of tidy streets for a world supposedly more ordered and comprehensible.

What many are mourning, however, may not be the world itself so much as their own place within it. We do not merely miss old streets or old songs; we miss younger versions of ourselves inhabiting them. We miss possibility. We miss novelty. We miss being twenty and imagining that life was still unfolding rather than slowly arranging itself into memory.

The political danger arrives when nostalgia stops being reflective and becomes restorative — when longing for the past becomes a demand to reconstruct it. The right has often understood this instinct well. It does not necessarily need to persuade people of a compelling future if it can offer an idealised yesterday. “Take back control”, “make things great again”, “return to traditional values”: all are variations on the same emotional melody.

But return tickets are unavailable. The past cannot be restored because it never truly existed in the form imagined. There were never really “good old days”; there were simply days – complicated, contradictory and viewed through younger eyes.

None of this means memory should be discarded. Far from it. There is immense pleasure in basking in les temps perdus. I happily indulge in musical rabbit holes and Facebook reminiscences myself. Songs especially are magical portals because music does not merely remind us of the past –  it briefly resurrects it. A song can collapse fifty years in three minutes.

But I would still choose today.

For all its noise and absurdity, for all the algorithms, grievances and existential clutter of modern life, today contains wonders unimaginable to my younger self. Medicine keeps people alive who once would not have survived. Knowledge sits literally in our hands. Distances have collapsed. Possibilities have expanded.

The trick perhaps is to hold memory gently: to enjoy nostalgia without becoming captive to it. To remember that we are, as Maria Popova put it, all our previous selves stacked inside us like Russian matryoshka dolls –  not discarded versions, but incorporated ones.

The little boy still exists somewhere in the old streets and schoolyards and songs. He is still playing in the enchanted forest with Pooh and Christopher Robin.

Meet the Crybully, a hybrid of victim and victor

https://spectator.com/article/meet-the-cry-bully-a-hideous-hybrid-of-victim-and-victor/

In April 2015, The Spectator published an essay by British columnist and provocateur Julie Burchill entitled Meet the Crybully: a hideous hybrid of victim and victor.

Her piece is essentially an early diagnosis of a cultural type that has since become almost ubiquitous: the person who combines aggression with performative victimhood. Her central argument is that modern society has blurred what used to be clearer moral categories. Once upon a time, she says, with typical Burchillian exaggeration and sardonic nostalgia, bullies bullied and cry-babies cried. They occupied different social roles. The novelty of contemporary culture is the emergence of people who do both simultaneously: attack others while claiming emotional persecution the instant they are challenged.

Hence the “Cry-Bully”: “a hideous hybrid of victim and victor, weeper and walloper.”

The article’s tone is very much old-school polemical journalism – caustic, theatrical, gleefully impolite, full of tabloid-energy metaphors and comic overstatement. But beneath the mischief lies a recognisable argument about contemporary moral culture.

Her broader thesis is that modern media and politics increasingly reward this fusion of aggression and grievance. The crybully uses claims of hurt feelings, victimhood, or marginalisation not merely defensively but offensively – as a weapon to silence critics, claim moral superiority, or evade accountability. The crybully’s sense of victimhood actually intensifies their feeling of entitlement to lash out. “I am wounded; therefore, I may wound. “Burchill sees this dynamic everywhere: celebrity culture, social media, political activism, and ideological extremism.

What makes the article interesting in retrospect is that it appeared in 2015, just as social media outrage culture was becoming fully institutionalised. Burchill intuited early that public life was shifting toward a strange emotional economy where claims of harm could become instruments of power. Victimhood was no longer merely a condition deserving sympathy; it was becoming a source of status, leverage, and immunity.

This links directly to what In That Howling Infinite has discussed earlier about moral capture and conditional empathy. Once victimhood becomes morally sacralised, people compete for it. The crybully therefore occupies a privileged rhetorical position: simultaneously aggressor and protected class, prosecutor and plaintiff. They can strike while claiming defence.

Burchill’s article also reflects a broader generational irritation with what many saw as the rise of therapeutic language in public life – the migration of emotional fragility into politics, media, and everyday discourse. Her complaint is not that suffering is unreal, but that public culture increasingly incentivises people to dramatise injury while behaving atrociously themselves.

What she perhaps underplays – partly because satire flattens nuance by design – is that some of this phenomenon emerges from genuine historical grievances. Not all claims of harm are manipulative performances. Real discrimination, exclusion, and trauma exist. The difficulty, as we discussed, lies in distinguishing authentic vulnerability from weaponised vulnerability.

Still, her phrase has endured because it captured something many people recognised instinctively but lacked vocabulary for. The “crybully” is not simply hypocritical. Hypocrisy at least tacitly acknowledges standards. The crybully goes further: they transform their own grievance into moral permission. Their suffering – real, exaggerated, or entirely performative – becomes justification for intimidation, censorship, cruelty, or coercion.

In that sense, the essay was less a passing cultural jab than an early sketch of a defining personality type of the social-media-political age: emotionally exhibitionist, morally absolutist, permanently aggrieved, and often surprisingly ruthless beneath the tears

While  Burchill is widely credited with the term “cry-bully” through this article, she almost certainly did not invent it outright. Variations of the word had appeared earlier in American political and online discourse, usually as an informal insult describing someone who bullies others while presenting themselves as persecuted.

What Burchill did, however, was crystallise and mainstream it. Her article gave the term a memorable definition and a vivid cultural framing at precisely the moment when social-media outrage culture was exploding into mainstream politics and journalism. She turned a loose internet epithet into a recognisable social archetype.

That often happens with language. Orwell did not invent every political tendency he described in “Newspeak”; Tom Wolfe did not invent the social climbers of Radical Chic; but certain writers capture a phenomenon so cleanly that they become permanently associated with naming it. Burchill’s essay performed that function for “crybully.”

And the timing mattered. Around the mid-2010s, Western discourse was undergoing a marked shift toward what critics called “call-out culture,” “cancel culture,” or “performative victimhood.” Universities, media, and online activism increasingly framed disagreement through the language of harm, safety, and trauma. Burchill sensed – with her usual mixture of spite, wit, and instinctive cultural radar – that a new rhetorical type was emerging: people who could deploy the moral prestige of victimhood while behaving in domineering or vindictive ways themselves.

So while she probably didn’t coin the word ex nihilo, she gave it cultural traction and enduring shape. After Burchill, “crybully” stopped being just slang and became shorthand for a broader pathology of contemporary public life.

Let us look further …

The Age of the Crybully

One of the stranger developments of contemporary politics is how ubiquitous and indeed, iniquitous the phenomenon has become. It seems that almost everyone now claims to be oppressed, even – perhaps especially – those wielding considerable cultural, institutional, or social power. The old image of the bully was comparatively straightforward: the loudmouth in the schoolyard, the party apparatchik, the censorious cleric, the overmighty state. Bullies once tended to enjoy their own authority openly. They boasted of strength. They gloried in dominance.

The modern crybully is different. He (and increasingly she, they, and the algorithm itself) seeks not merely power but moral exemption. The crybully wishes simultaneously to strike and to claim injury, to silence while proclaiming persecution, to intimidate while insisting upon fragility. It is domination wrapped in the language of vulnerability. A clenched fist wearing a mitten.

The crybully is hardly confined to one ideology. In fact, one reason the term has gained traction is because nearly everyone recognises it in their opponents while remaining remarkably blind to it in themselves. The progressive activist who demands dissenting speakers be deplatformed because their words create “unsafe spaces”; the nationalist demagogue who attacks minorities while insisting his majority culture is “under siege”; the billionaire politician who controls vast media ecosystems while lamenting persecution by “elites”; the online influencer who launches mobs against critics before posting tearful videos about “harassment” – all belong to the same broad family. Different uniforms, same manoeuvre.

And manoeuvre is the right word, because crybullying is fundamentally strategic. Its psychological architecture resembles what psychologists term DARVO: Deny, Attack, Reverse Victim and Offender. The aggressor denies wrongdoing, attacks critics, and then claims to be the real victim. The rhetorical reversal happens with such speed nowadays that public discourse resembles one of those old farces where everyone keeps running through different doors wearing each other’s hats.

We have discussed before how modern political culture increasingly rewards emotional performance over persuasion. In earlier democratic ideals – however imperfectly realised – argument involved evidence, logic, rhetoric, appeals to principle. One attempted to convince opponents or at least neutral observers. Now the primary objective is often moral positioning within one’s tribe. The goal is not to win the argument but to establish innocence and wickedness: saint and heretic, victim and oppressor.

Victimhood, in this moral economy, becomes a form of currency. Not always consciously, of course. Human beings naturally seek sympathy; suffering confers legitimacy. Historically, societies extended compassion toward the weak because weakness usually correlated with actual vulnerability. But modern media ecosystems – especially social media – have transformed victimhood into performative capital. Visibility accrues to outrage. Status accrues to grievance. Algorithms reward emotional escalation because fury and fear generate engagement. The crybully thrives in precisely such conditions.

One sees this particularly clearly in online political discourse. A person launches a vicious public attack on someone’s livelihood or reputation, encourages pile-ons, delights in humiliation –  and the instant they receive criticism in return, they present themselves as traumatised targets of abuse. The asymmetry is extraordinary. “Speech is violence,” they say while engaging in campaigns designed explicitly to destroy reputations, careers, and social standing. The old liberal distinction between disagreement and physical harm collapses conveniently whenever useful. Language becomes simultaneously powerless (“words don’t matter”) and apocalyptic (“this opinion endangers lives”), depending on tactical necessity.

There is, moreover, something deeply theatrical about the crybully phenomenon. Contemporary politics increasingly resembles moral melodrama rather than civic negotiation. Everyone must perform identity publicly; everyone must display emotional authenticity; everyone must signal wounds. Suffering itself becomes competitive. Oppression acquires a prestige hierarchy. Entire ideological ecosystems form around curating grievance narratives – national, racial, sexual, religious, historical – each group insisting its pain uniquely legitimises coercion against others.

And yet genuine suffering is real. This is where the matter becomes morally complicated. Many movements now dismissed as “crybullying” originated in legitimate grievances: racism, antisemitism, sectarianism, misogyny, homophobia, colonial dispossession, economic collapse. We have discussed this tension in relation to Israel-Palestine, where competing historical traumas often become mutually weaponised. Israelis invoke centuries of persecution culminating in the Holocaust; Palestinians invoke dispossession, occupation, and statelessness, encapsukred in al Nakba and al ‘Awda, The Return. Both narratives contain truth. Both can also become rhetorical shields against self-criticism. Trauma explains behaviour; it does not automatically justify it.

The same dynamic appears across Western politics. Parts of the progressive left rightly identified real injustices – discrimination, police abuses, structural inequalities – but sections of the movement gradually drifted toward moral absolutism, where disagreement itself became harm. Meanwhile parts of the populist right, reacting against elite condescension and cultural dislocation, developed their own grievance-industrial complex: every criticism became “censorship,” every electoral loss “theft,” every demographic change “replacement.” Each side increasingly mirrors the other while imagining itself uniquely virtuous.

This mirroring effect is one of the great ironies of the age. The activist denouncing “fascism” adopts authoritarian tactics. The anti-authoritarian populist demands strongman rule. The defender of free speech cheers censorship when directed at enemies. The champion of tolerance displays extraordinary intolerance. The crybully exists because modern political tribes often derive identity less from consistent principles than from emotional narratives of injury.

The media environment intensifies all this. Traditional journalism, for all its flaws, once imposed certain filters: editorial standards, institutional caution, reputational constraints. Social media dissolved many of these barriers. Outrage now travels instantly, context arrives later if at all, and emotional certainty routinely overwhelms factual ambiguity. A claim of victimhood can mobilise millions before verification occurs. By the time nuance appears, the reputational execution has often already taken place.

One might call this the democratisation of accusation.

The result is a culture simultaneously hyper-moralised and strangely amoral. People speak incessantly about empathy while displaying astonishing cruelty toward designated enemies. Public shaming becomes entertainment. Humiliation becomes activism. Entire careers now revolve around ritual denunciation. The crybully does not merely seek victory but emotional submission: the confession, the apology, the compelled affirmation. Medieval heresy trials have returned wearing progressive HR language and algorithmic amplification. Torquemada with a podcast.

Nor is this confined to politics. Corporate culture absorbed the same instincts. Universities too. Institutions increasingly govern through therapeutic language –  “harm,” “safety,” “trauma,” “belonging” –  while exercising bureaucratic coercion beneath the soft vocabulary: power functioning most effectively when disguised as care.

Yet the phenomenon also reflects a broader civilisational anxiety. Modern Western societies, particularly affluent ones, have become psychologically uncomfortable with conflict itself. We possess immense material comfort yet display extraordinary emotional fragility. Ordinary disagreement is recast as existential threat. Politics becomes therapy; therapy becomes politics. The language of clinical distress migrates into every domain of life. One no longer simply dislikes a viewpoint; one feels “unsafe.” The crybully emerges naturally from cultures where emotional discomfort is moralised and resilience subtly pathologised.

But there is another side to this story. The rise of the crybully also reflects declining trust. People increasingly feel unheard by institutions, alienated from elites, suspicious of media, uncertain about the future. In such environments, grievance becomes identity because shared civic narratives weaken. If citizens no longer believe institutions will treat them fairly, they turn to emotional mobilisation instead. The loudest victim often wins attention. Politics becomes less about governing plural societies than about competing claims to injury.

The danger is obvious. A society where everyone claims victimhood eventually loses the capacity to distinguish between genuine oppression and manipulative performance. Real suffering becomes trivialised through inflation. If all disagreements are violence, then actual violence disappears into semantic fog. Worse still, reciprocal crybullying creates permanent escalation: each faction justifies its aggression as defensive retaliation against the aggression of others. Everyone becomes both persecutor and persecuted in their own mythology.

History offers grim precedents. Ethno-national conflicts frequently evolve through precisely such reciprocal narratives of victimhood. Each atrocity becomes justification for the next. Every side remembers its own dead more vividly than the other’s. The Balkans, Northern Ireland, the Levant, Rwanda – all contain examples of communities simultaneously capable of genuine suffering and genuine cruelty while insisting exclusively upon the former.

What, then, is the alternative?

Perhaps merely recovering the old unfashionable liberal virtues: proportion, reciprocity, scepticism toward one’s own tribe, the ability to distinguish discomfort from oppression, disagreement from violence, criticism from persecution. Perhaps also recovering a thicker skin. Democracies require citizens capable of enduring offence without demanding censorship and capable of exercising power without theatrically claiming helplessness.

Most importantly, they require moral consistency. If intimidation is wrong, it remains wrong when committed by one’s own side. If free speech matters, it matters for opponents too. If empathy is a virtue, it cannot operate tribally alone.

The crybully thrives where morality becomes entirely performative – where appearing wounded matters more than behaving decently. That may be why the phenomenon feels so omnipresent today. We inhabit cultures saturated with public displays of virtue but increasingly uncertain about virtue itself.

And so the age oscillates endlessly between aggression and grievance, outrage and self-pity, accusation and lamentation: societies shouting at one another in the language of trauma while quietly competing for power underneath. The schoolyard bully has not disappeared after all. He has merely discovered the therapeutic vocabulary of the guidance counsellor.

The Morality of the Crybully

What makes the crybully phenomenon so corrosive is not merely hypocrisy –  hypocrisy is ancient, almost a constant of political life – but the way it corrodes the very language by which societies distinguish justice from manipulation. In our discussions about moral capture, conditional empathy, intellectual honesty, and the strange contest between the “high” and “low” moral ground, the same pattern kept resurfacing like a half-visible reef beneath modern discourse.

Moral capture occurs when a person or movement becomes so emotionally or ideologically invested in a cause that the cause itself ceases to be examined critically. The tribe absorbs the conscience. One no longer asks, Is this true? Is this proportionate? Is this humane? One asks only: Whom does this help? Whom does this hurt? Morality becomes instrumental rather than principled. At that point, the crybully emerges almost naturally, because any criticism of the cause is experienced not as disagreement but as sacrilege.

And once criticism becomes sacrilege, coercion begins to feel virtuous.

This is where conditional empathy enters the story. We have spoken often about the peculiar narrowing of compassion in modern ideological life: how suffering increasingly counts only when experienced by the “correct” people within the “correct” narrative framework. The dead child in Gaza evokes tears; the murdered Israeli family becomes an inconvenient footnote. Or the reverse: outrage at Islamist terror paired with indifference toward flattened neighbourhoods and stateless civilians. Empathy becomes selective, curated, tribalised. One grieves not for human beings but for symbols.

The crybully weaponises precisely this asymmetry. “Your empathy for them proves your hostility toward us.” Compassion itself becomes grounds for accusation. Nuance becomes betrayal. And so discourse collapses into competitive grievance theatre, each side insisting exclusively upon its own wounds while minimising, rationalising, or outright mocking those of others.

Intellectual honesty is the first casualty.

Not because people necessarily become consciously deceitful, though some do, but because the emotional rewards for self-deception become overwhelming. It is psychologically comforting to believe one’s tribe uniquely moral, uniquely endangered, uniquely justified. The crybully mentality depends upon this self-absolution. One’s own aggression is always defensive; one’s own censorship is protection; one’s own intimidation is accountability. Every act becomes morally laundered through claimed victimhood.

This is why so much contemporary rhetoric feels simultaneously hysterical and curiously hollow. The language of existential peril is deployed constantly, often by people occupying highly privileged institutional positions. Editors, celebrities, politicians, academics, influencers — people with immense platforms and cultural authority — present themselves as besieged dissidents while actively policing dissent around them. The paradox would be comic were it not so socially damaging.

And this returns us to the distinction we discussed between the high and low moral ground.

The low moral ground is simple: naked tribalism, explicit hatred, open authoritarianism. History recognises it easily enough. The high moral ground is more dangerous precisely because it cloaks itself in virtue. The crybully insists not merely that opponents are wrong, but that suppressing them is itself an act of compassion. The language softens while the coercion hardens. One need not burn books if one can socially anathematise their authors. One need not imprison dissenters if one can algorithmically erase them, professionally ruin them, or morally quarantine them.

The old tyrannies often announced themselves with drums and banners. The new ones frequently arrive wrapped in therapeutic language, carrying diversity statements and safeguarding protocols.

That does not mean all claims of harm are fraudulent, nor all activism manipulative. Far from it. There are real injustices, real exclusions, real cruelties. The difficulty lies precisely in disentangling authentic suffering from performative victimhood — and in resisting the temptation to excuse cruelty merely because it is rhetorically framed as justice.

This demands intellectual consistency, which is perhaps the rarest civic virtue of all. It requires the uncomfortable ability to apply one’s standards equally to allies and enemies alike. To condemn dehumanisation even when committed by one’s own side. To acknowledge suffering without immediately converting it into political currency. To resist the narcotic pleasures of outrage and self-righteousness.

Because ultimately the crybully phenomenon reveals something larger about our civilisation: a profound confusion between moral status and moral behaviour.

To suffer does not automatically make one virtuous. To belong to a historically wronged group does not sanctify every action. Nor does possessing power automatically invalidate every grievance. Human beings remain morally complicated creatures, capable of both victimhood and cruelty, often simultaneously. History’s most unsettling lesson may be that the oppressed do not become angels when circumstances change; they become human beings with power.

And perhaps that is the hardest truth modern politics struggles to admit. We prefer melodrama to ambiguity. Saints and monsters are easier to process than flawed people navigating impossible histories. Yet once societies lose the capacity for moral complexity, they drift toward permanent mutual denunciation, each faction simultaneously convinced of its innocence and its persecution.

The crybully is therefore not merely an irritating personality type of the social media age. It is the symbolic citizen of a culture that increasingly confuses feeling wounded with being right, visibility with virtue, and accusation with truth.

A civilisation cannot survive indefinitely on those terms. Eventually reality intrudes. Actions still have consequences. Power remains power even when exercised tearfully. And no amount of therapeutic vocabulary can entirely conceal the ancient human temptation underneath it all: to dominate while claiming righteousness, to wound while insisting one is wounded, to occupy both the throne and the scaffold at once.

This essay was written in conversation with an AI language model, which contributed to drafting, phrasing, and conceptual articulation. What appears here is not unmediated thought, but considered thought: selected, tested, revised and revised again, and owned.

See also in In That Howling InfiniteA Political World – Thoughts and Themes, including:: Moral capture, conditional empathy and the failure of shock, Standing on the high moral ground is hard work and Shaping facts to feelings – debating intellectual dishonesty 

Postscript 1. The biggest Crybully of them all?

The term “crybully” usually describes someone who presents themselves as a victim while simultaneously wielding considerable power, attacking opponents, or intimidating critics. Donald Trump is often described that way by critics because his political style combines grievance and dominance in almost theatrical tandem: he portrays himself as persecuted by “elites,” the media, courts, universities, bureaucrats, foreign allies, even election systems – while also projecting strength, retaliation, and triumph.

What makes the label stick for many observers is the contrast. He is, after all, one of the most powerful and protected figures on Earth: billionaire celebrity, former president, political movement unto himself. Yet much of his rhetoric is built around betrayal and victimhood. The emotional engine of Trumpism is often not “we rule,” but “they are cheating us.” That sense of embattlement is politically potent because it invites supporters to feel both aggrieved and righteous simultaneously.

But the phenomenon is hardly unique to Trump, and that is where things become culturally interesting rather than merely partisan. Modern politics across the spectrum increasingly rewards performative vulnerability married to aggression. Institutions, movements, and leaders now compete not just for power but for moral victim status. The language of injury has become a form of authority. In that sense, Trump may be less an aberration than the loudest, most gifted practitioner of a broader age of grievance politics — part WWE heel, part populist tribune, part tabloid Jeremiah railing against the storm while selling tickets to it.

The image itself captures that familiar Trumpian mode: mouth open mid-declaration, fingers pinched in emphasis, occupying the room entirely. It is performance as politics, politics as performance – the old television instinct that attention is oxygen. Whether one sees him as a demagogue, a showman, a symptom, or a political genius often depends on whether one thinks the grievance which he channels is fabricated, exaggerated, or fundamentally real.

Postscript 2. Outside looking in

One of the more curious spectacles of contemporary politics is the rise of the insider who markets himself as an outsider: the millionaire broadcaster presenting as a battler, the nationally syndicated columnist lamenting that “people like me aren’t allowed to speak”, the television panellist with a nightly platform insisting he is being silenced by “the elites”. It is a performance now so common that it barely registers as contradiction.

In Australia, this phenomenon is especially visible in parts of the Sky News ecosystem – Rowan Dean, the opinionated, contrarian editor of the Spectator Australia portal and host of Sky News’ Outsiders programme, being an obvious example – where commentators cast themselves as tribunes of the “forgotten people”, channelling the language of suburban grievance and cultural dispossession while operating from within one of the country’s most powerful media networks. The rhetorical trick is not new. What is new is the intensity with which institutional power now dresses itself in the clothes of marginalisation.

This is where the idea of the “crybully” becomes useful. The crybully combines aggression with perpetual claims of victimhood: attacking, denouncing, ridiculing, demanding consequences for opponents — while simultaneously insisting they are the ones under siege. They are not merely critics of power; they are often participants in it, sometimes beneficiaries of it, but they derive moral energy from presenting themselves as embattled dissidents standing against a corrupt orthodoxy.

The irony, of course, is that many of these figures possess enormous cultural reach. They dominate newspaper columns, television panels, radio slots, publishing circuits, and increasingly lucrative social-media ecosystems built on outrage and resentment. Yet every criticism becomes “censorship”; every disagreement, proof of persecution; every loss of cultural dominance, evidence of oppression.

There is also something profoundly theatrical about it. The old conservative self-image was one of authority, stewardship, and institutional confidence. The new populist pose prefers the aesthetics of rebellion: the leather jacket of anti-establishment defiance worn over the tailored suit of establishment access. The outsider identity becomes less a sociological reality than a branding exercise.

And so we arrive at the peculiar modern spectacle: insiders cosplaying as insurgents, powerful voices speaking endlessly about their powerlessness, media elites railing nightly against “the media elite” – a hall of mirrors in which grievance itself becomes both commodity and shield.  For more on this subject in In That Howling Infinite, see: Outside Looking In. Although written ten years ago, it remains relevant.

Rowan Deane

Postscript 3. Solid Rock

I am reminded of the Dire Straits song Solid Rock, featured on their 1980 album Making Movies: “When you point your finger ’cause your plan fell through / You got three more fingers pointing back at you “Written by Mark Knopfler, it focuses on themes of accountability, authenticity, and avoiding illusions. It’s a critique of blaming others for personal failures, highlighting that when you blame someone else, the majority of your hand is actually pointing back at yourself.

It is relevant here insofar as it reminds us in its lyrical simplicity about accountability and of how The crybully mentality depends upon the permanent externalisation of blame. Failure is always someone else’s oppression; criticism is persecution; consequences are violence; disagreement is abuse. The self becomes morally untouchable because it is permanently aggrieved. But, as Solid Rock suggests, reality is less accommodating. The line quoted is almost proverbial in its clarity, yet it contains an older moral wisdom modern culture increasingly resists: the possibility that one’s own failures, excesses, delusions, or moral compromises might actually contribute to one’s predicament.

That is precisely what ideological movements captured by grievance struggle to admit. Every setback becomes evidence of conspiracy or persecution rather than occasion for introspection. We see it across the spectrum. Progressives unable to understand why ordinary voters recoil from moral hectoring conclude the electorate is bigoted or “misinformed.” Populists unable to sustain coherent governance blame “deep states,” traitors, immigrants, globalists, or cultural saboteurs. Each side points furiously outward while refusing the quieter, more difficult question: what if part of the problem is us?

Knopfler’s lyric also matters because it quietly rejects the seduction of moral theatre. Making Movies is full of people constructing performances, illusions, romantic myths, cinematic versions of themselves. The crybully does something similar politically: they curate a self-image of perpetual innocence. Yet the hand itself betrays the illusion. Three fingers point back. Human beings remain implicated in their own stories.

That idea has become oddly countercultural. Contemporary discourse rewards certainty, not self-scrutiny. To hesitate, to admit contradiction, to acknowledge one’s tribe capable of cruelty – these are treated as weaknesses. Yet intellectual honesty begins precisely there. We discussed earlier the distinction between the high and low moral ground: the low ground brutalises openly, while the high ground often disguises domination as virtue. Knopfler’s line punctures both forms. It reminds us that moral seriousness begins not with denunciation but with reflection.

There is almost something biblical about it. Before condemning others, examine yourself. Remove the beam from your own eye before pointing out the speck in another’s. The old religious traditions understood a truth modern politics often forgets: self-righteousness is one of the most dangerous intoxicants because it makes cruelty feel deserved.

And perhaps that is why the line lingers. It is not merely a rebuke to blame-shifting; it is a warning against the human tendency to transform disappointment into accusation. The crybully points outward incessantly because looking inward is painful. Self-examination threatens the entire emotional architecture of victimhood. If even part of the responsibility lies within, then the performance collapses.

Knopfler, characteristically, says it with understated elegance rather than ideological bombast. No manifesto, no therapeutic jargon, no grand theory of oppression – just a hand, a finger, and the uncomfortable geometry of blame. Three fingers pointing back. An old truth hiding in plain sight, solid as rock.

 

 

Go, Move, Shift! Singing the Traveling People

Born at the back of a hawthorn hedge,
where the black hole frost lay on the ground,
no eastern kings came bearing gifts.
Instead, the order came to shift:
“You’d better get born in some place else.”
So move along, get along,
Move along, get along –
Go! Move! Shift!
Ewan MacColl

“Why …. are we setting ourselves the impossible task of spoiling the Gypsies?… they stand for the will of freedom, for friendship with nature, for the open air, for change and the sight of many lands; for all of us that are in protest against progress … The Gypsies represent nature before civilisation … the last romance left in the world.
Arthur Symons, a gypsiologist of the early 20th century

Back in the day, when I was a nipper in Birmingham, “the tinkers,” as we called them, would camp with their caravans and lorries on what we referred to as the “waste land.” That name seemed self-explanatory to a child: a place where people left their waste, a liminal zone of half-ruin, where pre-war homes and factories had been destroyed in the Luftwaffe raids over a decade earlier. Travellers really did move through those bombed-out spaces, setting up their vardos where council workers feared to tread. They brought horses, music, and a whiff of danger to the drab post-war city.

Their Irish accents created an unexpected affinity. Our parents and relatives were Irish immigrants, and we inhabited an Irish world of history, politics, music, and stories. Listening to them, you could feel the rhythm of lives bound to roads and fields rather than concrete and council by-laws.

Peaky Blinders later turned my home city into a stylised myth. I knew the streets around Small Heath and Digbeth and the canal bridges and tow tracks of Gas Street long before Steven Knight turned them into a smoky dystopia. The series was actually filmed in Yorkshire and Lancashire, but let’s not worry about that. The travelers drift in and out of the Shelby story with their wagons and their horses, their alien tongue and their clan codes, and also, an air of imminent danger – an arcane, half-hidden life. Rewatching the series decades later, it feels less like historical fiction and more like a remembered geography, half real and half myth.

Tom Shelby and his caravan

Advisory

In order to deflect potential criticism and recrimination, please be advised that the following is a mix of memory and music and not an academic paper. It is of historical, sociological and musicological significance only in a general sense, and not does not claim to be. In the light of prior criticisms of my use of the word “tinker” in online discussions about travellers – some readers have insisted that I employed it in a discriminatory and derogatory manner – this is indeed the term that we used back in the fifties and sixties, and whilst it was, indeed, a common term of abuse, it is for all that historically accurate – see the paragraphs immediately below. We cannot unhear in order to accommodate 21st century sensitivities.

An lucht siúil

Those Irish Travellers (an lucht siúil, “the walking people”), also called Mincéirs in Shelta, a secret language mixing Irish and English, are a nomadic indigenous Irish ethnic group. Predominantly Catholic, they are English-speaking but often fluent in their patois. Although historically labeled “Gypsies,” they have no genetic relation to the Romani; their ancestry is Irish, likely diverging from the settled population around the 1600s during Cromwell’s conquest. Over centuries, persecution, famine, and displacement hardened their itinerant ways into a distinct culture – social networks, craft skills, folklore, and traditions of travel and trade.

Many names – tinkler, tynkere, or tinker – were historically derogatory, reflecting society’s unease with their mobility. The “Acte for Tynckers and Pedlers,” passed by Edward VI in 1551, attempted to regulate their wandering, sometimes brutally. Yet, for all the attempts at control, their culture survived: a resilient, mobile society where language, music, and kinship preserve identity against erosion.

Irish Traveller Family’, Killorglin, County Kerry, Ireland, 1954.

Folksong

My childhood soundtrack was full of gypsy ballads that painted freedom in a major key. A Gypsy Rover came over the hill, down through the valley so shady to win the heart of lady; three Raggle Taggle Gypsies stood at the castle gate, singing high and low, and made off with the lady of the house; Black Jack Davy rode up hills and he rode down vale’s over many a wide-eyed mountain, luring a lady gay from her goose feather bed. The songs made the Gypsy a figure of romance and rebellion, a charmer, a rascal and a pants-man; an outsider who steals not just horses but hearts and who answers to no law but the road.

As a boy, I sang them without irony. As a teenager, on the Easter CND march in London in 1966, billeted in an old cinema in Southall, I gave my first public ‘performance’ with an a capella version Ewan MacColl’s beautiful but poignant Freeborn Man of the Travelling People. There was something electric in the way the song moved through the audience – a recognition of wandering, of roots that were not fixed in soil, but in story, song, and kin.

Ewan MacColl’ and Peggy Seeger’s BBC Radio Ballads, especially The Travelling People (1964), but went further, capturing not just the romance but the hard truth of life on the road. I can still hear the defiant swing of Freeborn Man the bitter weariness of Go Move Shift, and the rolling litany of The Thirty-Foot Trailer capturing the sway of a caravan. Each song contained a chronicle of eviction, exclusion, and the stubborn joy of those who refuse to settle. These weren’t just pretty melodies. They were dispatches from a parallel Britain that existed beyond the pale of urban, modernising and dynamic Britain.

The songs, the caravans, the road-weary children and dogs – they are fragments of memory, but also of history. Travellers have always lived on the edge of maps, on the margins of law and land, carrying a freedom that many of us envy in memory but cannot fully grasp in practice.

Ballads of a Vanishing Road

Those three great songs from Seeger and MaColl’s radio ballads form a kind of triptych, each panel catching a different light on the same restless life. 

They begin with the open road itself: imagine if you will hedgerows dripping with rain, country lanes that meander through woods and fields, the smell of horses and wood-smoke, and the small birds singing when the winter days are over. A Freeborn Man strides out first, proud and lilting. The open road gleams with dew and possibility – open spaces and resting places where “time was not our master”. The freedom is real enough: the night fires, the sunrise on a new day, the easy rhythm of horse and dog. But you feel the weather changing. “Winds of change are blowing, old ways are going, your travelling days will soon be over.”

I can still hear the icon Yorkshire siblings, the Watersons, singing: “The auld ways are changing’, you cannot deny. The days of the traveler’ over ..  It’s farewell toto the tent and the old caravan, to the Tinker, the Gypsy, the Travelling Man, and farewell to the thirty-foot trailer”. Verse by verse the song bids adieu to the things that portrayed the traveling life. The old caravan is no longer a symbol of liberty but rather a target for eviction. “You’ve got to move fast to keep up with the times,” the song warns, “for these days a man cannot dander.It’s a bylaw to say you must be on your way and another to say you can’t wander”.

If Freeborn Man celebrates the open lane, The Moving-On Song reports from the other side of the hedge.  Each verse begins with a birth – on the A5, in a tattie field, beside a building site – and each is met by the same cold refrain: “Move along, get along, Go! Move! Shift!”  Policemen, farmers, and local worthies take turns as chorus, a modern Nativity rewritten as perpetual eviction.  Where Luke gave us shepherds and angels, MacColl gives us by-laws and property values. The travelling child is the Holy Infant born in the wrong postcode, and the only miracle is survival. 

I find this song resonates not only as a story, but also as a powerful allegory. At its heart, it is the Nativity turned inside out. It takes the timeless Christmas story – the miraculous birth, the wandering family, the knock at the door – and drains it of every trace of welcome. Instead of angels there are policemen, instead of shepherds there are farmers, instead of gifts there is the repeated command to move along, get along, go, move, shift. Each verse begins with a birth – on a roadside, in a potato field, beside a building site – just as Christ was born in a stable because there was no room at the inn.

But where the infant Jesus is eventually carried to safety in Egypt, MacColl’s traveller child is met at every stop with suspicion: The refrain is a bitter parody of the angelic chorus: a peremptory command instead of  “tidings of great joy.” The sound of authority closing ranks, a bitter counter-melody to the dream of freedom. It is the Flight into Egypt without sanctuary, an endless journey where every Bethlehem has a by-law.

This inversion does two things at once. It sacralises the ordinary – making each child born in a trailer or a tent a holy innocent – and it indicts the society that drives them out. Listeners raised on the Nativity can hardly miss the sting: the travelling people are the Holy Family in modern Britain, but the innkeepers are us. MacColl forces a choice – either keep singing “Go, Move, Shift” with the crowd, or recognise the Christ-child in the roadside cradle.

Taken together, these three songs chart the whole arc of the travelling life: the exhilaration of the road, the daily skirmish with draconian laws, the slow extinguishing of a culture that once roamed the hedgerows of Britain and Europe.  They are more than nostalgic laments.  They are witness statements – melodic affidavits of a people whose very birthplaces are contested, whose freedom is both cherished and criminalised, and whose songs will outlast the by-laws that try to silence them.

The dark side of the road 

Ewan MacColl’s words echo still: go, move, shift – because life has often demanded it. And perhaps that is the core of the Travellers’ tale: a dance between space and place, between survival and song, between yesterday and the road ahead.

The songs of my youth were both true and false. The gypsy rover was real enough, but his freedom came at a cost: eviction notices, police batons, barbed wire, and centuries of prejudice stretching from the wastelands of Birmingham to the bean fields of Wiltshire, from Damascus to Transylvania. The travellers remain, in MacColl’s proud phrase, freeborn men and women – though the price of that freedom has always been higher than the ballads admit.

For hundreds of years, the Gypsy way of life – the Irish Travellers among them – was one of ancient traditions and simple tastes. Until their world collided with the 21st century, with bureaucracies, police crackdowns, and urban encroachment. Romance met reality, and reality was hard. Travellers were hounded from one lay-by to the next, fined, fenced, and evicted by councils and constables who never forgave them for existing outside the parish ledger.

The romance of the traveller life had a harder edge. It is not a folk-song idyll; it is cold nights in lay-bys rough ground under wheels, police knocking at midnight. Travellers were, and still are, hounded by bylaws, denied stopping places, and stereotyped as thieves or beggars. In Britain, “tinker” and “gypo” were playground slurs. Councils moved them on, police fined them for parking on common land, newspapers blamed them for every petty crime.

Nor have modern times rendered the traveller life any easier. In the Battle of the Bean Field of 1985, Margaret Thatcher’s days of law and order, hundreds of police in riot gear smashed up a convoy of festival-bound New Age Travellers near Stonehenge, wrecking and burning their lorries and caravans, Wrecking homes and terrorising babies, and displaying the state’s fury at those who dared to live otherwise. The later Dale Farm eviction in 2011 near Basildon, Europe’s largest Traveller site, bulldozed after years of legal trench warfare, proved that little had softened.

I’ve watched video footage on YouTube of riot police in fluorescent jackets  confronting families who had chained themselves to caravans, and listened to the late iconoclastic songster Ian Dury, who had long celebrated life on the margins, singing his elegy Itinerant Child – a refrain that could be sung in any layby in Britain or in the migrant  camps of Calais.

Slow down itinerant child, the road is full of danger
Slow down itinerant child, there’s no more welcome stranger
Slow down itinerant child, you’re still accelerating
Slow down itinerant child, the boys in blue are waiting

That refrain could be sung in any layby in Britain. It could be sung in the refugee camps of Europe today.

As for those so-called New Age Travellers of the Beanfield and Basildon – part hippie, part anarchist, part rave-culture refugee – they borrowed Romany mystique but lived a diesel-fumed modern reality: buses and sound-systems instead of bow-topped wagons, dreadlocks instead of black curls, and the same hostility from the same authorities.

The Battle of Basildon 2011

Dale Farm – The Battle of Basildon 2011

The Other at the Gate

Gypsies and Travellers have always been Britain’s – and the world’s – most visible “Other”- not defined by race alone, but by movement. Where the settled majority built houses, filed deeds, and mapped parishes, the travelling people carried their world on wheels and in stories. That refusal to stay put turned them into a kind of living mirror for the fears of the settled: lawless when laws were written for farmers, suspicious when surnames anchored reputations, dangerous because they belonged nowhere and therefore everywhere.

From the “Egyptians Acts” of the sixteenth century, which outlawed Romani life, to the casual playground taunts the message was the same: you are not one of us. And yet, precisely because they stood outside the pale, they became a canvas for fantasy – the romantic lovers of the ballads, the free spirits in the Radio Ballads, dark prophets in the Peaky Blinders mythos. To the townsfolk they were both temptation and threat, the embodiment of freedom and the price of it.

The wild World and the Wider Road

The Irish travelers of my Birmingham childhood were but one branch of a much older and wider wandering world. Their history – rooted in Ireland’s upheavals and shaped by centuries of marginalisation – belongs to the islands of Albion. But the idea of the travelling people, the caravan on the verge and the road as inheritance, stretches far beyond Britain and Ireland. Across Europe the figure of the wanderer takes on another name: Roma, Sinti, Kalderash, communities bound not to neither land nor country but to a migration that began centuries earlier and thousands of miles away. Their very names carry centuries of misunderstanding.“Gypsy” arose from the medieval belief that these travellers had come from Egypt – hence “Egyptians,” shortened over time to “Gyptians” and finally “Gypsies.” “Roma,” by contrast, is the name many of the people use for themselves. In the Romani language the word rom simply means “man” or “husband,” and by extension “member of the community.” Whatever the label, their deeper history leads eastwards. Linguistic and genetic traits – including shared vocabulary with Hindi, Punjabi and other Indo-Aryan languages – point to origins beyond the Hindu Kush in Rajastan a thousand years ago. From there groups migrated slowly westward through Persia, Armenia and the Byzantine world before scattering across the planes and forests of Europe. By the time they reached England in the early modern period they were already seasoned exiles – strangers everywhere and always and yet, nevertheless, somehow at home on the road, bringing music, craft, and a stubborn freedom.

I encountered these European Roma when hitchhiking through Yugoslavia in the early seventies, and later, travelling in Syria and Israel/Palestine, I saw dusty Domari camps. pitched on the fringes of towns, cousins of the European Roma, their Sanskrit-tinged language betraying the long migration. They were not romantic there either. Arabs called them Nawar, a word laced with disdain, treating them with the same mix of curiosity and disdain that dogs their European kin. They are seen as rootless outsiders, neither honoured nor trusted, often harassed by police and locals alike. they are harassed, marginalised, and sometimes treated as beggars or tricksters. Unlike the semi-nomadic Bedouin, celebrated in poetry and nationalist lore (though these too have been known to be discriminated against). Their tents were not “exotic,” just poor.

Eastern Europe tells an even darker story. In Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania, Roma communities were enslaved for centuries-in Wallachia and Moldavia until the 19th century and are still scapegoated in politics and corralled into segregated schools. In Eastern Europe they remain targets of discrimination today, from the eviction of camps in France and Italy to far-right attacks in Hungary and Slovakia.

The twentieth century added its own atrocity: the Porajmos – “the Devouring” – the Nazi genocide of Roma and Sinti that claimed perhaps half a million lives. They were rounded up alongside Jews, homosexuals, and the disabled, marked with black or brown triangles, starved in camps, shot in forests and gassed in Auschwitz. For decades their suffering was barely acknowledged in official memorials, their deaths long footnoted beside the Shoah.

The open road may bring freedom, but freedom can come an unbearably heavy price.

Paul Hemphill, March 2026

Other combinations of memoire and history in In That Howling infinite include: The Boys of Wexford – memory and memoirThe Spirit of ’45Enoch knocking on England’s door, Tanks for the memory – how Brezhnev changed my life, and One ring to rule us all – does Tolkien matter?

Here is the well-known old folksong sung by my old friend Malcolm Harrison, recorded in Sydney, Australia in 2005. The Raggle Taggle Gypsy is a traditional folk song that originated as a Scottish border ballad, and has been popular throughout Britain, Ireland and North America. its earliest text is believed to have been published in the early sixteenth century.  concerns a rich lady who runs off to join the gypsies. Common alternative names are “Gypsy Davy”, “Gypsum Davy”, “The Raggle Taggle Gypsies O”, “The Gypsy Laddie(s)”, “Black Jack David” (or “Davy”) and “Seven Yellow Gypsies”.

Itinerant Child

Ian Dury and the Blockheads

I took out all the seats and away I went
It’s a right old banger and the chassis bent
It’s got a great big peace sign across the back
And most of the windows have been painted black
The windshield’s cracked, it’s a bugger to drive
It starts making smoke over thirty-five
It’s a psychedelic nightmare with a million leaks
It’s home sweet home to some sweet arse freaks
Slow down itinerant child, the road is full of danger
Slow down itinerant child, there’s no more welcome stranger
Soon I was rumbling through the morning fog
With my long-haired children and my one-eyed dog
With the trucks and the buses and the trailer vans
My long throw horns playing Steely Dan
We straggled out for miles along the Beggar’s Hill
And the word came down that we’d lost Old Bill
You can bet your boots I’m coming when the times are hard
That’s why they keep my dossier at Scotland Yard
Slow down itinerant child, you’re still accelerating
Slow down itinerant child, the boys in blue are waiting
Itinerant child, don’t do what you’re doing
Itinerant child, you’d better slow down
We drove into Happy Valley seeking peace and love
With a lone helicopter hanging up above
We didn’t realise until we hit the field
There were four hundred cozzers holding riot shields
They terrorised our babies and they broke our heads
It’s a stone fucking miracle there’s no one dead
They turned my ramshackle home into a burning wreck
My one-eyed dog got a broken neck
Slow down itinerant child, the road is full of danger
Slow down itinerant child, there’s no more welcome stranger
Slow down itinerant child, you’re still accelerating
Slow down itinerant child, the boys in blue are waiting
Listen to the song and watch its video HERE

References & Further Reading

The first 100 Days on the wagon

Haven’t had a drink. It’s all right, but time does pass slowly. When you’re drunk, you’re never bored. Did you know that? You may bore other people. But the moments slip by in such a satisfactory manner
Charles Collingridge, brother of Prime Minister, to journalist Mattie Storin, House of Cards (1990), episode 3

The end of a fifty year old relationship

Back in the day, we were young, fun, and quite often, sozzled.

I’ve been a heavy drinker more or less since the seventies, an almost life-member of the just-one-more club. Not recklessly, not always dramatically – though there have been embarrassing beanos I’d rather have forgotten – just faithfully, habitually, the way a generation learned to take the edge off, to mark time, to soften the day, or just because it was what you did. What began as a rite de passage in the late sixties, at folk clubs and at a weekly get-together with school chums became routine in the union bar, and became part of the lifestyle in the seventies.

The first time I visited Australia, in the summer of 76-77, one of the things that impressed me the most, apart from the sun, the beaches, and the Warringah Mall was drive-through bottle shops – oh, and the wine in plastic bladders, the old vin plastique. It wasn’t very good wine – but never mind the quality, feel the weight! As years went, booze was inextricably woven into both downtime and social gatherings. The reality that Australian wine got much better oiled the wheels of inebriation. Celebration or commiseration, to toast good news and to drown the blues. Whether traveling – even in the abstemious Middle East, where there is no drinking culture and where it often haram – or on the property, five o’clock was booze o’clock and time for a sundowner – or two.

Alcohol was never a crisis in my life; it was a companion, a punctuation mark, an easy and unassuming way of moving from one hour to the next without too much friction. Never enjoyed alone, except when writing or composing, and rarely during the daytime hours apart from social occasions. It was woven into evenings, into conversation, into music and writing, into courting, into the social grammar of a life that otherwise often ran on discipline, routine, and contemplation.

But let’s not kid ourselves. However civilised it looked, however bounded it remained, it was still a dependency, addictive in its own quiet, culturally sanctioned fashion. Alcohol is a poison, metabolised as such, and it does no one no good in the long run. It may take its payment slowly, but it always takes it. That is why it had to stop – not because it had ruined anything yet, but because it worked too well, too reliably, and the trajectory was obvious to anyone prepared to look- though we often avert our gaze and carry on.

In these declining days, when every new ache and pain is endured with unease, every blood test, every medical scan is a game of health roulette. And alcohol plays its pernicious part. As if I didn’t already know, the World Health Organisation says there is no safe level of alcohol consumption, and experts tell us that we should be drinking zilch. My doctors too. Multiple studies link alcohol to seven types of cancer.

And then there’s what it does to the brain. I’ve joked in the past that I must’ve been very bright back in my prime because I’ve still got my marbles. But I know full well that I’m no longer a sharp and as perceptive as I once was. “Is my memory waning?”, I ask myself? My longterm memory is fine – but might that just that be the old nostalgia-muscles kicking in?

Folk of a certain age often joke about walking into a room and then wondering why they went there. I do that too – though not often. Sometimes, I’m unable to recall the names of people I ought to have remembered. My internal hard drive is invariably able to chase them down – without resort to Google – but it’s nonetheless a cause for concern. My mother died slowly with dementia. It diminishes you beyond recognition. She was not a drinker, but. Never touched the stuff.

I’ve contemplated cutting back often, and I’ve made many desultory attempts to do so. As the old quip goes, “giving up is easy – I’ve done it many times!” But I’ve never considered actually quitting. Giving up, or drastically cutting back on alcohol, is a conscious decision – and thenceforward, a continuous one. Perhaps my decision came at a time when I was ready to step back.

I gave it up one day without ceremony. No declaration, no conversion. No identity shift announced to the world. Well, not quite … I was given a big push – and maybe that’s what’s making it work this time around. I was given a guided tour of  a CT Scan of my grey matter, and … to quote the late Warren Zevon, “Guess what? It ain’t that pretty at all!” The doctor dived deep into my scan, told me what he’d seen, and declared that for me, there could be no safe limit. As I walked out of his rooms, I said “I need a drink”, and we headed straightaway to the Plantation Hotel. And that glass of Italian Pinot Grigio was the end of the liquid line.

When I first embarked on sobriety, I hadn’t a clue whether or not I would succeed. And I was shocked that it was easier than I’d expected. There were no cravings (though I drink more tea and coke) and when month one came to an end, I was ready to step into the next and then the next. It’s like deciding to lose weight, learn a language or change jobs (and I’ve done all this too). You decide that you are going to do it, then you try really hard to stick with it. There’s no magic wand.

Apart from one standard drink a week, on Tuesday or Wednesday, that was that. Initially I kept count – of that one day, and even of the drinks. So much fizz, this many Pinot Grigio, so many Shiraz. Counting turns pleasure into ledger; once you count, you’ve already conceded that something has changed.

For starters, my palate is changing. Fizz does nothing for me now. A former favourite tastes as though it’s had petrol added. The whites have been a pleasant change after the zero-alcohol placebo interregnum in which everything tastes faintly of apples (there are tons of zero or low-alcohol options out there. Some are awful and taste like weird-flavoured fizzy water, but I have my favourites too). The reds, interestingly, still carry a spike, a kick of spice. Something happens – but it’s only the mildest hint of getting stoned – no re-angling of thought, more a slight tilt, the barest of edges being taken off the now. Whatever it may be, red wine is most often my weekly onesie, so I no longer keep count.

When I took that first glass of red, I let it stand for a while to room – an old habit, but also to make sure it was at its best. But before I’d even picked up the glass, the oddest thing occurred. As I looked at the waiting glass, I felt a flicker of guilt. Not moral guilt, exactly. Not shame. Something quieter and stranger: the nervous system recognising a former solution now marked with an asterisk. A sense that this familiar alteration of being no longer had my clear permission. A fleeting return, perhaps, to the scene of the crime. Like meeting up with an old pal after many years and realising that you no longe4 have much in common.

100 days on, and I’m not tempted to tell a story of revelation. No clouds have parted. Nothing has been cured. But something has shifted, and it’s the sort of shift that only becomes visible in retrospect – by subtraction rather than addition.

When I tell people, most ask me how easy or hard it was and is. I say it’s been hard – but not too hard. Particularly come fizz o’clock when my wife and I we do our evening walkabout and enjoy our sundowner – but I tell them it does become easier as the days and weeks progress. They often casually ask if I’ve noticed any difference since ditching the drink. I keep it brief, so as not to bore them with the details – but the following is my own private dossier.

The changes have not been theatrical, but they have been real. I’ve lost weight; my skin is clearer; my sleep is deeper. I feel that wake more clear-headed now, ready, I guess, for the day ahead. I have more energy. I relax more easily. I  always experienced anxiety, but I sense that its incidence has lessened. Though I still habitually have to find something, anything to get hung up about, it doesn’t feels as pervasive and debilitating. And, I imagine, I’ve become more tolerant of the follies and frailties of others. Or maybe more laid back and lackadaisical.

When I wake at 3am, that existential hour of angst, and the mind instantly revs into restless motion, I don’t lie abed in a state of mental turmoil. Nor do I stir this early as much and as often as I once did – mind you, I turn the bedside clock on its face these days so I’m not as conscious of the hour. If I do wake early and find that I can’t go back to sleep, I write – as I am doing right now. But I sense that not drinking has made me realise how much alcohol contributed to my anxiety. Those occasional tremors and twitches we put down to what might be early onset Parkinson’s might not have been that at all. [In In That Howling Infinite, see It’s 3am and an hour of existential angst ]

I sense a steadiness now. The mental landscape feels different – perhaps clearer, perhaps simply less crowded. Am I more present in the world? Sometimes I think I am. Though I can still inattentive – including towards others – and absent minded. Better able to hold several things in mind at once? Possibly. It could be down to using a chatbot when writing, but I feel that I haven’t been this productive in years. But that doesn’t make me more articulate. A few years back, I senses that I was not longer as up to public speaking as I was if yore – and that has not changed. I put that down to the ageing process – but it could be something less benign. Does the world itself look altered – a little brighter, a little sharper? Perhaps. Though, to be fair, I did have cataract surgery a week after my last drink, which complicates the metaphor.

What is undeniable is time. There seems to be more of it. Whether it’s been created or merely reclaimed is hard to say. Perhaps it’s the same quantity as before, just less of it leaking away – into fog, into fatigue, into the dull, unexamined bargain of later. Evenings are longer now. Much longer. The day closes more slowly without that familiar hinge that once snapped it shut. I’m not sure I’m comfortable with this. I pace myself with a new found evening ritual: zero beer at five or six – the onetime “booze o’clock – followed by a zero Prosecco, with its hint of apple – but at least it has a bit of a bead – then a mineral water or a coke – sugar-free but a caffeine hit. Then it is teatime, with a mineral water to sip and maybe a zero wine – and at last, between nine and ten, a cup of tea and some fruit. It’s interesting how much liquids leaven the longing.

What’s been interesting is what hasn’t happened. I’m told fresh renouncers experience tremors, night sweats, vivid dreams. I haven’t. There’s been no drama of withdrawal. If anything, my nervous system seems to have settled rather than rebelled. Alcohol, it turns out, was not supporting my sleep or steadying my nerves; it was quietly fragmenting both. Removing it didn’t provoke crisis. It removed interference.

These aren’t miracles, but they aren’t imaginary either. And once you begin to notice the benefits, they become their own quiet incentive. Resolve stops feeling like deprivation and starts to feel like momentum.

What remains is the effort. Not physical exhaustion so much as a kind of existential tiredness – the absence of the old accelerator, accelerant, even. Alcohol had been doing a great deal of invisible work: easing transitions, softening edges, carrying me through the long middle stretch of the evening. It marked the end of work, licensed drift, permitted a mild, socially acceptable derangement of thought. As I noted above, I rarely drank alone, except when writing or composing; rarely during the day or working hours, except on social occasions. This was not chaos. It was tuning. A dimmer switch, not a blackout.

And that, precisely, is why it counts as dependency. The brain learned the sequence: evening, glass, “clocking off”, altered state. Reliable, repeatable, intoxicatingly reinforced. Functional addiction is still addiction. Calling it civilised doesn’t change its chemistry. Without it now, that work has to be done consciously. Nothing is anaesthetised. Nothing is rushed through.

There’s a certain grief in that. Grief for ritual, for the reliable companion that marked the end of the day. Grief, too, for a sanctioned way of stepping briefly sideways out of the self, without explanation. There’s a certain ennui too – sometimes with sharp edges. It can feel as though fun has gone missing, or at least changed address. And yes, I miss getting stoned: not smashed, not obliterated, but lightly, productively altered – the associative looseness, the permission to wander.

This isn’t romanticising damage. It’s mourning coherence. Alcohol once bundled ritual, companionship, permission, and altered state into a single, efficient act. Removing it unbundles those functions, and the nervous system doesn’t yet know where to rehouse them. Which is why I suspect this is the real work: not abstinence, but redesign.

I worry, of course, about damage already done. Particularly when I think about how much I actually did consume on a daily basis. Looking back now, I no longer lie to myself about it and admit that it was a fucking lot! After so many years, it’s reasonable to hope the body can still repair what it can. The signs so far suggest it might. The improvements have been quiet and cumulative rather than theatrical. These are the kinds of changes that accrue slowly – and, importantly, tend not to reverse. Reasons to be relatively optimistic then?

What I know for certain is that I can’t simply relent and surrender the hard-won effort – physical and mental – of getting to this point. This isn’t abstinence by accident. It’s something maintained daily, by attention. Ritual and habit will re-form; that’s my nature. But for now, it requires intention and attention rather than habit, awareness rather than drift.

No great revelation, then. Just a steadier hand on the tiller, a longer fuse – or perhaps fewer things lighting it – and a growing sense that less of life is slipping away unnoticed.

The truth is, stopping drinking can be an issue when hanging out with people who still enjoy their evening tipple. It’s helpful to know this in advance if you’re contemplating doing the same. Interactions are now based around a whole new version of what makes us tick. When someone says they are not drinking, the word “boring” appears in a speech bubble above their head. It’s an assumption we tend to make, but I am hoping I can prove the naysayers wrong because it’s OK, amazing actually, being sober.

Written by Paul Hemphill between November 2025 and February 2026.

The following supplementary sections were compiled with the assistance of an AI language model. In That Howling Infinite has deep reservations about the use of  chatbots – see, for example, The promise and the peril of ChatGPT, and but blimey! they are useful and uber efficient.

I asked ChatGPT why I felt a certain guilt and hesitation when having that weekly drink?

After interrogating the published literature, the chatbot replied:

It isn’t really guilt It’s not shame about drinking, not fear of relapse, and not a sign that anything is out of control. What you’re feeling is quieter than that: a brief internal hesitation. Alcohol once had a role in your life. It wasn’t just a drink; it functioned as a regulator. When things felt tense, flat, overwhelming, or sharp, it adjusted the tone. It softened edges and shifted mood. That use may not have been dramatic, but it was real. At some point, you made a conscious decision to step back from that role. You examined it and reduced its authority. Maybe you didn’t ban it outright, but you stopped treating it as the default solution. That was a deliberate, adult choice.

Now when you pick up a glass, even casually, your nervous system pauses. Not because you’re about to spiral. Not because you’re craving more. Not because you’ve failed. It pauses because something that used to be automatic is no longer automatic. The body remembers patterns long after the mind revises them. Dependency in this sense wasn’t only chemical; it was procedural. It was a learned sequence: when pressure rises, do this. When the present feels too sharp, adjust it this way. That sequence still exists in memory. So when you pour, hold, and sip, your system runs a quick internal check: are we choosing this, or reverting to an old move? Is this pleasure, or regulation? The flicker you call guilt is that check-in happening in real time.

Ritual adds another layer. Pouring a drink is structured. It creates a small frame around a moment and signals transition — the day is ending, the evening is beginning. Rituals stabilize us; they give shape to time. But if the original purpose of the ritual changes — if it’s no longer needed for emotional regulation — the gesture can feel slightly off. The act remains, but its old meaning doesn’t fully apply. That mismatch creates unease.

So what’s happening is simple. You changed the contract with yourself, and your nervous system is making sure you meant it. This isn’t weakness; it’s self-trust developing. In the past, the drink required no reflection. Now it does. That pause is evidence that the behavior is no longer automatic. Change often feels like this before it settles. Old habits don’t disappear in drama; they fade through moments of awareness. The body checks in. The mind answers. Over time, the friction lessens. The feeling isn’t moral failure. It’s an old coping mechanism becoming optional, and the fact that you notice it means you’re conscious of your choice. And that’s a quietly healthy place to be.

What’s Actually Happening

Next, I asked my pet chatbot to parse what I’d written above and to explain what was going on in my body and in my mind. Its response was fascinating and illuminating. It wrote:

What’s striking about this period is not the drama of withdrawal, but its absence. That absence is itself informative. It suggests that alcohol, over time, had stopped functioning as a sedative and had become a source of background interference – subtly fragmenting sleep, compressing attention, and lending artificial momentum to the day.

Start with sleep. Alcohol is often mistaken for a sleep aid because it hastens unconsciousness. What it reliably does, however, is fracture sleep architecture. REM cycles are shortened and disrupted; cortisol rises in the early morning hours; the nervous system is nudged toward vigilance just when it should be standing down. Remove alcohol, and the result is not necessarily more dreams or vivid imagery – often the opposite. Sleep deepens, becomes less narratable, less memorable. The absence of the 3am anxiety, the end of clock-checking, suggests a circadian rhythm no longer being chemically jerked out of phase.

This is not REM rebound so much as REM normalisation. The mind does not perform theatrics; it gets on with its work.

Circadian rhythm follows. Evenings lengthen not because the clock has slowed, but because the body is no longer negotiating with itself. Alcohol compresses time by dulling perception and accelerating fatigue. Without it, the day unfolds at a more even tempo. There is less urgency to escape the evening, less unconscious bargaining with “later.” Time feels reclaimed because it is no longer being quietly traded away.

Physically, the changes are cumulative rather than spectacular. Lower baseline anxiety suggests reduced cortisol load. Fewer irritation spikes point to a nervous system no longer oscillating between chemical sedation and rebound arousal. Skin improvement reflects vascular and inflammatory changes rather than vanity; weight loss hints at metabolic recalibration. None of this arrives as euphoria. It arrives as steadiness.

Mentally, the shift is subtle but consequential. Alcohol narrows attention while giving the illusion of focus. Without it, attention broadens. Several things can be held at once, not with brilliance, but with tolerance. The mental landscape feels altered not because it has been transformed, but because it is no longer being continuously nudged off balance. What emerges is not sharpness so much as room.

The fatigue that remains – the existential tiredness – is not a failure of repair but the cost of re-engagement. Alcohol had been doing invisible labour: smoothing transitions, easing social friction, advancing momentum. Without that chemical assistance, effort becomes evenly distributed across the day. Life asks to be met directly. This is tiring in a way sedation is not.

Perspective shifts follow physiology. The world does not become brighter; it becomes clearer. Edges sharpen not because reality has improved, but because one is no longer slightly elsewhere while moving through it. Presence increases by degrees, not declarations. Emotion flattens in places, but also steadies. The fuse lengthens, or perhaps fewer sparks reach it.

None of this constitutes revelation. It is adjustment – systems returning to their own tempo after years of external modulation. The body is not celebrating; it is recalibrating. The mind is not announcing a new identity; it is learning how to occupy the old one without chemical assistance.

If there is a single through-line, it is this: alcohol had been quietly negotiating with time, attention, and effort on my behalf. Removing it returns those negotiations to me. The work is greater. The rewards are quieter. But less of life now passes by unattended

Here’s a clear-eyed, unsentimental checklist of what many people notice after giving up alcohol after decades of use. Not everything happens to everyone, and the timeline isn’t tidy – but this is the landscape.

1. The First Weeks: The Body Re-negotiates

What to expect
• Poor or fragmented sleep (counter-intuitive, but common)
• Night sweats, vivid dreams
• Sugar cravings; appetite swings
• Fatigue that feels existential, not just physical
• Headaches, gut grumbles, reflux shifts
• Mood volatility: flatness, irritability, sudden melancholy

What’s actually happening
• Your nervous system is recalibrating after decades of alcohol-mediated sedation.
• GABA and dopamine systems are under-firing; cortisol can spike.
• The liver, pancreas, and gut microbiome are changing pace.

Look out for
• Withdrawal symptoms beyond mild (tremor, confusion, heart racing) → medical advice immediately
• The false conclusion: “This proves booze was helping me.” It wasn’t. This is readjustment.

2. Weeks 4–12: The Emotional Weather Front

What to expect
• Clearer mornings – but emotionally thinner afternoons
• A strange grief (for ritual, for identity, for the “old companion”)
• Boredom with sharp edges
• Anxiety that feels newly naked
• Moments of startling clarity (“So that’s what I was avoiding”)

What’s happening
• Alcohol was not just a drug; it was a regulator of feeling.
• You’re now encountering emotion without chemical mediation – for the first time in decades.

Look out for
• Over-romanticising past drinking
• Replacing booze with compulsive sugar, scrolling, or righteous self-discipline
• Social withdrawal out of awkwardness rather than choice

3. Months 3–9: Cognitive and Physical Shifts

What to expect
• More stable energy (not euphoria – steadiness)
• Improved memory and verbal fluency
• Less background anxiety; fewer spikes
• Better digestion, skin, blood pressure
• Weight changes (either direction)
• A recalibrated sense of time (evenings feel long)

What’s happening
• REM sleep improves.
• Neuroplasticity increases.
• Inflammation decreases.
• Your baseline is quietly rising.

Look out for
• Impatience: “Is this it?”
• The urge to declare the project finished
• Moral capture in reverse (becoming evangelical or brittle)

4. The Identity Question (Often the Hardest Part)

What to expect
• A sense of being socially “out of phase”
• Re-evaluation of friendships
• A quieter confidence – but also social self-consciousness
• The loss of an easy shorthand for intimacy

Key realisation
You didn’t just stop drinking. You stopped being someone who drinks. That identity shift takes longer than detox.

Look out for
• Believing fun is gone rather than different
• Mistaking sobriety for austerity
• Confusing clarity with certainty

5. One Year and Beyond: The Long View

What many report
• Fewer regrets
•  A calmer moral centre
• More reliable moods
• Better resilience to shock and grief
• A sense of having reclaimed time

But also
• No miracle cure
• Life remains tragicomic
• Pain still visits – just without anaesthetic

6. Practical Guardrails (Worth Having)
• Medical check-in (liver, BP, glucose -baseline matters)
• Sleep hygiene (don’t expect instant improvement)
• One or two sober rituals you enjoy
• language for saying “I don’t drink” that doesn’t invite debate
• At least one person who knows the whole story

Final Note (Not Sentimental, Just True)

After fifty years, alcohol is not merely removed; it leaves a negative space.
That space can feel eerie before it feels free.

But many discover – quietly, without fireworks – that what returns is not youth or joy or certainty, but something rarer: presence without rehearsal.

Liquid Assets: Britain and Australia Compared

Compared to Britain, Australia’s drinking culture is less about the pub as a fixed social institution and more about alcohol as a social lubricant woven through the grain of everyday life. Both societies drink – deeply, historically, sometimes unwisely – but they narrate that drinking differently, and in the telling they reveal something about themselves.

Britain’s drinking culture is, in its classical form, pub-centred, ritualised, and faintly class-coded. Once upon a time, it was centred on the local, but nowadays this is more often  seen in television dramas, Drinking is public and scheduled; it has hours and habits. One goes out to drink. The pub is both setting and container, a space that brackets excess within custom. Even intoxication feels regulated – permitted, but on a leash. The building holds it. The ritual absorbs it.

Excess exists, of course – William Hogarth drew it, temperance preachers thundered against it, and social realists filmed it – but when British culture foregrounds alcohol, it tends to moralise or satirise. Gin Lane is not a celebration. Nor, for that matter, is the kitchen-sink drama. More often, drinking simply sits in the background of the national story. The pub is infrastructure: as assumed as rain, as unremarkable as queueing. Britain drank as much as anyone – often more- but it did not always feel the need to mythologise the fact.

Australia is different. Here alcohol travels. It moves from pub to barbecue to beach to backyard to footy to festival. It is less ceremonial and more ambient – less an event than an accompaniment. Drinking does not structure leisure; it accompanies it, like a soundtrack humming under the scene. Climate plays its part. So does the mythology of mateship, egalitarianism, and a lingering suspicion of restraint (especially if that restraint looks imported or officious). To drink is to belong; to refuse can still read as faintly antisocial, a quiet opting-out of the circle.

This mobility produces a culture more diffuse and more permissive. Where Britain historically contained drinking within the architecture of the pub, Australia lets it spill across open spaces – geographical and symbolic alike. The result is that alcohol becomes not merely a habit but a marker of identity. In Britain people go out to drink; in Australia, drinking often comes along for the ride.

There is a sharper edge to this. Australia’s long struggle with binge drinking, alcohol-fuelled violence, and the normalisation of getting “smashed” – particularly among young men – has required interventions that would feel oddly alien in Britain: lockout laws, public health campaigns, regulatory skirmishes over closing times. Britain, too, has known its laddishness and its Friday-night casualties, but the conversation there increasingly circles moderation, dry months, craft beer over quantity. Australia still wrestles with the idea that having a good time might not require obliteration.

Yet the deepest difference lies not in units consumed but in cultural emphasis. Alcohol features more visibly – more symbolically – in Australian historical imagination than in Britain’s, even when the raw consumption figures do not justify the disparity. In Britain, the pub is a setting. In Australia, the pub and the bottle become characters.

From convict songs and bush ballads to Henry Lawson and Banjo Paterson, from the sly grog shop to the corrugated-iron bar, drinking is bound up with survival, loneliness, defiance, rebellion against authority, and the fragile solidarity of men (usually men) scattered across a vast continent. Alcohol functioned as social glue in isolated, male-dominated frontier societies; as informal currency; as meeting point; as small theatre of resistance to discipline and hierarchy. The drink carried narrative weight. It meant something.

Britain, by contrast, rarely needed to turn alcohol into allegory. It was too embedded, too infrastructural. One drank and moved on. When the bottle demanded attention, it did so as problem or parody, not myth.

So the divergence is this: Britain drank deeply; Australia wrote about it. Britain drank within a culture; Australia fashioned a culture of drinking. One anchored excess to institution and habit; the other wove it into atmosphere and identity. The difference is subtle until the night grows long. Then it shows – in the stories told the next morning, in whether the pub remains the frame or the whole scene dissolves into open air.

Liquid assets indeed: in one country, stored in barrels behind the bar; in the other, poured into the national imagination, where they continue to circulate – warming, bonding, sometimes burning – long after last orders should have been called.

This is no AA Tract

In my conservations with ChatGPT on the subject of the renunciation of liquor, two prior conversations, it seemed like the chatbot had been rifling through the textbooks of Alcoholics Anonymous. Not that I criticise it for that. I get it. I challenged it with this suspicion, and the following was the chatbot’s reply;

I understand why it sounds that way – but what it was doing wasn’t rifling through AA so much as circling the same human terrain AA mapped early and named bluntly.

AA didn’t invent dependency, ritual, permission, or the idea that substances become solutions rather than pleasures. It just systematised them in a moral-spiritual register that’s become culturally dominant. I was working from a phenomenological and neurological lens, not a confessional one – closer to William James than Bill W., closer to habit, embodiment, and meaning than to surrender or sobriety as creed.

A few clarifications, because this matters:

1. This is not an “alcoholic narrative.”
Nothing you wrote resembles loss of control, compulsion, or denial. What you’re describing is post-use reclassification. The substance has been downgraded from instrument to object. That transition produces unease even in people with no addiction history whatsoever. AA language often colonises that space because it’s one of the few vocabularies we have – but the experience itself is broader, older, and not diagnostic.

2. AA talks about morality; you’re talking about permission.
AA frames the problem as moral failing corrected by spiritual realignment. Your description is about authority over state change. Who gets to authorise alteration? The self, the habit, the past, the ritual? That question belongs as much to philosophy and cognitive science as to recovery culture.

3. Ritual ≠ relapse.
AA tends to collapse ritual, memory, and desire into a single danger zone. What I was describing is subtler: ritual persisting after necessity has passed. That’s not pathology; it’s what happens when meaning lags behind behaviour. Cultures deal with this all the time – retired uniforms, obsolete ceremonies, ghost gestures.

4. The nervous system doesn’t speak Twelve Steps.
Bodies remember patterns without subscribing to ideologies. When a former regulator reappears, the system flags it. AA interprets that flag as temptation or warning. I read it as adaptive caution – the organism noting that a previously high-leverage tool is back in view.

So yes – there’s overlap, inevitably. AA has been loud and long-lasting, and it’s soaked into the language. But what we’ve been doing is closer to descriptive anthropology of the self than to recovery doctrine.

If AA says, “This is dangerous; abstain,”
what you’re saying is, “This used to mean something. It doesn’t mean that anymore. Why does the gesture still echo?”

Those are very different questions – and yours is the more interesting one.

 

 

Rojava revisited. Can Syria break its sectarian cycle?

In January 2019, In That Howling Infinite published, Rojava and the Kurdish conundrum. The post wrote of Rojava as both experiment and predicament – a small, improbable polity suspended between larger, harder powers, “trapped between the Turkish hammer and the Syrian anvil.” Aris Roussinos, whose work we have reviewed before, now returns to the same terrain with the sombre clarity of hindsight. His recent essay on the collapse of the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria reads less like contradiction than culmination. What was foreboding then is aftermath now.

Back in 2019, the drama was framed in the key of Trumpian bombast – promises to “totally destroy and obliterate” Turkey’s economy if Ankara stepped out of line — but the underlying reality was austere. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces had borne the brunt of the fight against ISIS, lost thousands of men and women, guarded tens of thousands of jihadist detainees, and constructed, under the thin canopy of American airpower, a fragile, decentralised experiment in multi-ethnic governance. Remove the canopy and the weather would change. The Kurds knew it. So did Ankara, Damascus, Moscow and Tehran.

Roussinos describes that experiment –  the AANES – as an attempt to defy the “grim logic” of civil war in divided societies: that conflict eventually collapses into sectarian arithmetic. Ideologically, it was a pivot away from classic PKK ethnonationalism toward Abdullah Öcalan’s “democratic confederalism”: devolved authority, gender parity, communal councils, a deliberate blurring of ethnic hierarchy. In a region shaped by the memory of genocide, forced migration, Baathist Arabisation and mutual suspicion, it was both necessity and idealism. The geography of the Jazira –  oil-rich, landlocked, demographically mixed – demanded accommodation if it was to function at all.

Yet even in 2019 the limits were visible. Rojava was romanticised abroad –  “an anarchist-lite Paris Commune,” as we noted, perhaps half  ironically half-ironised then – but on the ground it was strategically exposed and socially fissured. Arabs and Turkmen did not uniformly welcome Kurdish administration. Kurdish politics itself was riven by clan and party rivalries. Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran all loathed the prospect of a sovereign Kurdistan. The experiment depended not merely on theory but on patronage.

That patronage proved fickle. The likely endgame sketched seven years ago was stark: the Kurds would fight if forced, but ultimately they would deal with Damascus to save their towns and families. Russia would mediate; Turkey would demand a border free of the YPG; Assad would insist on reintegration, autonomy trimmed to vassalage. The analogy to the Paris Commune was offered with unease – bold communal experiments have a habit of ending in blood and absorption.

Roussinos now writes from beyond that threshold. The new Damascus government –  jihadist-derived yet internationally tolerated – has reasserted control. The much-vaunted multi-ethnic Syrian Democratic Forces, proudly described as majority Arab, fractured under pressure. Arab components drifted back toward their ethnic kin in Damascus. What remained was recognisably Kurdish: the YPG under another name. Integration proceeded not as confederal partnership but as coerced subsumption.

Pro–Damascus media have seized on the SDF’s recruitment of women, alleging coercion and forced enlistment of minors. While underage recruitment has been documented in past years and prompted formal pledges to demobilise minors -with uneven implementation – broader claims of systematic kidnapping lack clear substantiation and coexist with extensive evidence of voluntary female participation grounded in the movement’s gender-egalitarian ethos. Such allegations serve a wider political purpose: portraying the Kurdish administration as socially aberrant and incompatible with a re-centralised Syrian state, framing critique of specific practices as part of its broader delegitimisation. In Roussinos’ terms, this is another instrument of Syria’s recurring cycle: peripheral autonomy is undermined not only by coercion on the battlefield but also by shaping perception, marking alternative governance as morally and politically untenable.

His larger point is less about Kurdish miscalculation than Syrian structure. Since independence, Syria has oscillated between peripheral revolt and centralised coercion. Its demographic entanglement – Sunni Arab majorities, Alawite and Druze minorities, Kurds without a state, ancient Christian communities –  renders majoritarian triumph unstable and decentralisation fragile. The AANES sought to transcend that arithmetic; it ultimately succumbed to it. Meanwhile, sectarian reprisals against Alawites and Druze in western Syria deepen minority distrust of Damascus, reinforcing the very cycle the new regime claims to end.

The pattern is not uniquely Syrian. Lebanon’s confessional balancing act has veered between uneasy accommodation and paralysis; Iraq’s post-2003 settlement oscillates between sectarian mobilisation and fragile cross-sectarian moments; the Balkans, from Bosnia to Kosovo, demonstrate how externally brokered pluralism can freeze conflict without dissolving its underlying fears. In each case, demography and memory shape politics as much as constitutions do. Power-sharing without trust calcifies; centralisation without restraint provokes resistance. The pendulum swings.

What is striking is the dialectical twist. The Kurdish movement in Syria attempted to move beyond ethnonationalism toward a post-national confederalism. Its collapse may instead accelerate a harder pan-Kurdish nationalism – the revival of the Ala Rengin flag, the renewed invocation of Rojava as West Kurdistan, the rhetoric of betrayed nationhood. When pluralist experiment yields vulnerability, ethnic consolidation gains appeal. The effort to dissolve identity politics may intensify it.

Can Syria break its sectarian cycle? Roussinos leaves the question open, but the burden is heavy. It would require disciplined control over disparate armed factions, credible guarantees to minorities, and a majority willing to exercise restraint rather than vengeance – feats rarer than battlefield victories. The Kurdish experiment failed not simply because it was naïve, but because it unfolded within a regional system that punishes fragility and rewards coercion.

In 2019, the mood was, borrowing from King Lear, “cheerless, dark and deadly.” In 2026, the darkness feels less theatrical, more structural. The Kurds remain what they have long been: resilient, battle-hardened, accustomed to betrayal. Their attempt to sketch another way -neither Baathist despotism nor jihadist dominion – has been curtailed. Yet the problem it sought to solve endures, not only in Syria but in every state where demography, memory and power are tightly braided. The lesson, as Roussinos insists, reaches well beyond the plains of the Jazira.

Paul hemphill, February 2026, with assistance in drafting by ChatGPT

For more on the Middle East in in That Howling Infinite, see A Middle East Miscellany.

See also, Syria. Illusion, delusion and the fall of tyrants, Cold Wind in Damascus …Syria at the crossroads, Between Heaven and Hell … Syria at the crossroads

Can Syria break its sectarian cycle?The Kurdish experiment was doomed

Aris Roussinos, Unherd 10 February 2026

Can Syria break its sectarian cycle?

‘The remorseless logic of a country, like neighbouring Lebanon and Iraq, held hostage by its own tangled demographics.’ (Delil Souleiman / AFP / Getty Imges)

It is generally expected that, whatever the ostensible cause of a civil war, in a country divided on ethnic and religious lines the fighting will sooner or later assume an interethnic or sectarian flavour. The Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), now having surrendered its autonomy under assault from the Syrian state’s new jihadist-derived government, was, whatever else it may have been, an attempt to rebut this grim logic. Indeed, the dusty and unprepossessing plains of the Syrian Jazira — the northeastern portion of the country, east of the Euphrates — served for more than a decade as an unlikely political experiment in the management and diffusion of ethnic conflict.

Whether noble or naive, this project now looks doomed as AANES’s great power backers turn their fickle attentions to Damascus, and the Damascus government has in turn successfully reasserted its control through military coercion. Within a matter of days, as its Sunni Arab levies turned their affections to their ethnic kin in Damascus and their guns on their former allies, Northeast Syria switched from a bold experiment in multi-ethnic governance to a desperate, rearguard battle for Kurdish cultural and political autonomy. The war, at its presumed end, reverted to the dynamics of its earliest days, when Ahmed al-Sharaa, then leader of the Syrian al-Qaeda faction Jabhat al-Nusra, had attempted, along with the Free Syrian Army (FSA) rebels and tribes of changeable loyalties, to seize control of the oil-rich, and newly Kurdish-run region, Syria’s breadbasket.

Simultaneously rich in resources yet neglected by its central government, and host to the country’s richest mix of ethnic and religious minorities, alternately the tools and the victims of the central state, the Syrian Jazira had always run according to its own dynamics. Both colonial French and independent Syrian administrations in distant, Levantine Damascus expended significant, if sporadic, effort in absorbing this neglected region of Mesopotamia within the modern state system, privileging one ethnic group against another for reasons of statecraft, and building model towns and vast dams, as evocative in their current dilapidation of failed modernities as the ancient tells dotting the landscape, now repurposed as gun emplacements, are of earlier lost civilisations.

Perhaps the AANES experiment can now be added to this melancholy list. Birthed from the fusion of Kurdish nationalism and Marxist-Leninist thought that initially drove the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) independence movement, the AANES, a project of the PKK’s Syrian sister organisation, the Democratic Union Party ‎(PYD), performed an attempted shift to anarchist political theory. The thought of the American writer Murray Bookchin, as reworked by the PKK’s occluded godhead figure Abdullah Öcalan from his Turkish jail cell, was its most notable innovation. Echoing Öcalan’s rejection of the PKK’s previous project of independence for the Kurdish nation, the AANES presented itself as an explicitly multi-ethnic, multi-sectarian state in which the greatest possible autonomy was devolved to religious and ethnic communities, beneath the benign framework of Jazira’s de facto autonomy from Damascus. In practice, the quasi-anarchist devolution of power resulted in the proliferation of bureaucratic structures. Local empowerment, similarly, meant the elevation of new elites loyal to the project, and the freezing out of dissidents, particularly rival Kurdish factions. Imperfect though it may have been, compared to the overt totalitarianism of the Baathist state, the anarchic infighting of the FSA rebels, and the gothic cruelties of ISIS, history is likely to remember it more favourably than today’s discourse would suggest.

“Perhaps the AANES experiment can now be added to this melancholy list.”

Barely populated until the French Mandate period, except during the annual circulation of nomadic Bedouin shepherds, the portion of Syria east of the Euphrates underwent during the early 20th century a transformative period of internal and external immigration and development analogous, in a modest way, to that of California or Australia. Ethnic Kurds fleeing the collapse of proto-nationalist rebellions in Ataturk’s Turkey, along with Syriac Christians fleeing the Seifo genocide and many uprooted Armenians streamed south across the culverts and rusting tracks of the Berlin-to-Baghdad railway line, which still marks the modern border, joining their ethnic kin residing there from the beginning of recorded history. Ethnic Assyrians from British-Mandate northern Iraq similarly sought French protection from the predation of the Iraqi state and its Kurdish, Arab and Turkmen auxiliaries, establishing a string of fiercely Christian villages along the Khabur river. Northeast Syria was shaped by the cultural memory of ethnic conflict; its past decade of governance was an attempt to evade the return of its attendant cruelties.

As such, the AANES project was always as much one of necessity as Leftist idealism. The Kurdish regions of northern Syria, stretching West of the Euphrates into Aleppo, were separated from each other by clusters of Arab and Turkmen towns and villages, in large part the result of the Baathist state’s settlement of Arabs from Syria’s desert hinterland to hinder any Kurdish attempts at secession. While the early successes of the Syrian Kurds under the PYD, following a negotiated handover of control by Assad’s overstretched government, resulted in what was essentially the occupation by its YPG military forces of Arab settlements, loyal to one or other rebel or jihadist faction, America’s decisive intervention in the war against ISIS resulted in both sudden and unexpected great power backing for Northeast Syria and an evolution of Kurdish political attitudes towards local Arabs.

Partly at America’s behest, in a failed attempt to assuage the Syrian rebels’ combative Western think-tank diaspora, and partly a genuine attempt to impose progressive governance among a population Kurds frequently portray as stunted by its own reactionary obscurantism and crude ethnic chauvinism, Northeast Syria’s autonomous quasi-government undertook a project of delegating political and military authority to Arab regions won back from ISIS. It was an ambitious goal which seemed, for a decade, to have won majority acquiescence, if not affection. It became the boast of the regional administration that its armed forces, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), was now predominantly composed of Arabs, a feat of enlightened governance that rapidly proved hollow, over the past two weeks, when the majority of these Arab fighters effortlessly switched sides. Having lost almost all its Arab accretions, the SDF was once again, in practice, the Kurdish YPG, an ethnic militia fighting for purely Kurdish goals. Now that, under the threat of military defeat, a shrunken version of these forces will be subsumed under the Damascus government’s control, their future role — on paper, and in reality — remains to be seen.

The integration terms finally accepted, at gunpoint, by the autonomous administration last weekend, though better than those of a fortnight ago are worse than those of the unimplemented March agreement. Consequently, much has been made in recent days of the AANES’s failures to come to terms with al-Sharaa’s shock capture of the Syrian state just over a year ago, and negotiate a settlement with the new reality. Certainly, the region’s political focus had, since the seeming cornering of the Sunni Arab rebellion into its Idlib Bantustan, centred on negotiating re-integration into Assad’s Baathist state in a manner that preserved some means of political and military autonomy. Yet Assad, over-confident of his own position as victor of the long and bloody war, refused to offer more than integration into the central state on terms that amounted to surrender. The new regime in Damascus now offers little different: what has changed is its greater power of coercion, and international backing, compared to its previous Baathist iteration.

Putin, once an occasional, tacit partner of the Kurds west of the Euphrates, has fully backed the new Damascus government, another instance where Russia, once America’s rival in Syria, shares increasingly aligned interests with the Trump White House. Calls for the protection of Kurdish cultural rights and social norms by European states are outweighed by their overriding political interest in the accelerated removal of their more than one million mostly Sunni Arab refugees. Regionally, the success or otherwise of the Northeast’s reintegration will determine Israel’s ability to justify its military protection of Druze autonomists in the southern province of Sweida. Relations with mostly Shia Iraq, which has its own reasons to look askance at Sunni jihadist governance and is currently making a show of reinforcing its border with Syria, will be fraught at best. Given the sheer improbability of fate’s wheel suddenly projecting al-Sharaa into Assad’s Damascus palace, it would be foolhardy to offer any firm predictions, rather than vague anxieties, for the country’s future.

For the Kurds themselves, the experiment in enlightened multi-ethnic governance proved, at the crucial moment, a dramatic and costly Achilles heel. The result, over time, will likely be the weakening of PKK ideology in favour of some form of pan-Kurdish ethnic nationalism, whose early stirrings are apparent in the flow of volunteers from northern Iraq to defend their ethnic kin, the sudden revival of the Kurdish flag, Ala Rengin, in Northeast Syria, and in the readoption of the ethnic term Rojava, or West Kurdistan, in place of its previously bland geographic descriptor. When even Abdullah Öcalan’s nephew Ömer, an MP in Turkey’s parliament for the movement-aligned DEM party, feels compelled to proclaim “Long live the Kurds and Kurdistan”, and “the Kurdish nation will not forgive the enmity committed against it”, we sense the tectonic plates of Kurdish politics shifting away from Leftist post-national idealism towards an embryonic ethnic nationalism. The decade-long experience of Kurdish self-governance, military success and international diplomacy will shape whatever follows the likely collapse of the AANES statelet, whether what replaces it will coalesce in the mountainous redoubts of eastern Turkey, Western Iran and northern Iraq, or in the grey cities of the European diaspora. So, too, will bitter analysis of the project’s failings.

Yet it would be unfair for harsh self-criticism to so soon follow hindsight. For all its faults, the Kurdish project of autonomy from the Syrian central state evolved, through managing the dynamics of their multi-ethnic region, into one that ironically and idealistically attempted to make the very idea of equable Syrian co-existence a political possibility. Inversely, the current Damascus project of re-centralisation has, in western Syria, been accompanied by sectarian massacres and other abuses, which have increased the antipathy of peripheral minority populations towards the central state. Sunni Arab supporters of the al-Sharaa government, whose decade-long displeasure at having their ethnic kin ruled by minorities is accompanied by certainty of their own natural right to rule those same minorities, have made much of Kurdish intransigence while minimising or even justifying the starkest governance failures of their own new regime. Yet the past year’s massacres of Alawites and Druze, punctuating the failed integration talks with the AANES, only heightened the Kurdish disinclination to disarm and dissolve its forces and place the fates of its people in the benevolence of the central state.

Syria’s post-independence oscillation between peripheral revolts and centralised coercion, the very cycle that produced both Assad and his own overthrow, is simply the remorseless logic of a country, like neighbouring Lebanon and Iraq, held hostage by its own tangled demographics. Whether or not the new Syria can break this cycle is an open question. It will take great feats of governance, and of control over his own disparate armed forces, by al-Sharaa to avoid the logic of Syria’s demographic confusion weakening his own state-building project just as, suddenly and catastrophically, it did for the Kurds. Syria’s ethnic and religious complexity makes it a hard country to rule, historically veering, as a result, between instability and oppression. The Kurdish attempt to find another, progressive path ultimately failed, for the same reasons. The lessons, it ought not to need underlining, reach far beyond Syria’s borders.


Aris Roussinos is an UnHerd columnist and a former war reporter.

Tales of Yankee power … Why Venezuela, and why now?

Amid accusations from Venezuela of piracy, US lawmakers have moved to bring back privateers, authorised by government-issued letters of marque, to ply the trade of piracy in service of their country by targeting enemy ships.
The Washington Post, 19 December 2025

This story does not relate to Bob Dylan’s cryptic and nihilistic Señor (Tales of Yankee Power), from Street Legal (1978). As for the meaning of his song, well, that’s pretty hard to fathom. A cowboy fever dream, perhaps; one of those strange illusions you channel in the early morning between sleeping and waking, more about mood than meaning.

Rather, these tales refer to the United States’ troubled and troublesome historical and contemporary relationship with its Central and Latin American neighbours – and particularly, to its current crusade against Venezuela’s autocratic president Nicolás Maduro. And it is less about Venezuela than about the US itself – an empire in all but name struggling to recover its own reflection in the shifting mirror of history. The restless ghost of Manifest Destiny is still pacing the corridors of the West Wing and the State Department. The “tales of Yankee power” keep repeating because the empire cannot imagine itself without them. Each show of force, each threat of “covert operations” is a reassurance ritual, a way of proving that the old muscles still work. But as with all empires in decline, the performance reveals more fragility than strength. The Monroe Doctrine once kept others out; the Neo-Monroe Doctrine may exist only to convince America that it is still in.

In That Howling Infinite has walked this road before in a 2017 post also entitled Tales of Yankee Power, a feature on American songwriter Jackson Browne‘s1986 album Lives in the Balance. At the time critics reckoned that its contemporary content, the USA’s bloody meddling in Central America, limited its appeal and long-term significance. And yet, here in the early twentieth first century, where the wars of the Arab Dissolution dragged the world into its vortex, and Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine ended seventy five years of Pax Europa, the Great Power politics and proxy wars that taxed intellectual and actual imaginations in that seemingly distant decade jump back into the frame like some dystopian jack in the box.

Eight years after the original Tales of Yankee Power, the story hasn’t ended – it’s simply changed key. The Uncle Sam is still abroad, still restless, still convinced the hemisphere cannot manage without his supervision. Only the script has been updated: what was once called the Monroe Doctrine is now “neo”; what was once the “war on communism” is now the “war on drugs”. But the music is familiar – and derivative: in this sad world, whenever Uncle Sam (or Comrade Ivan for that matter) plays his hand, something wicked this ways comes. As Canadian songwriter Bruce Cockburn, who also condemned the North’s intervention in the politics of the South once sang, “Little spots on the horizon into gunboats grow … Whatever’s coming, there’s no place else to go, waiting for the moon to show”.

People with only a passing acquaintance with Latin American history and politics have been asking, with genuine puzzlement, “why Venezuela? And why now?” The question is reasonable enough, but the coverage has been thin – particularly here in Australia – where Venezuela tends to appear only as a shorthand for failure or excess, rarely as a site of serious American political investment.

So, as the history of US intervention in Latin America repeats itself – or rhymes, if that is the more appropriate adage – I asked Chat GPT to rummage through the copious commentary to shed some light on why, with so much else on its “to do” list, America is dedicating so much energy, military resources, credibility and prestige on a defiant caudillo and his ostensibly floundering state. It is followed by a précis of an illuminating article by American journalist John Masko analysing President Donald Trump’s options. [We have featured Masko’s work in a recent post, Tales of Yankee Power … at play in America’s backyard]

Have we see this film before? 

There is a temptation to see Washington’s renewed fixation on Venezuela as an anachronism, a Cold War reflex kicking in long after the war itself has dissolved into history’s sediment. Oil state, socialist autocracy, US sanctions, ritual denunciations of imperialism – surely we have seen this film before. And yet the timing matters. Not because Venezuela has suddenly changed, but because the world around it has.

For much of the past decade, Venezuela functioned as a kind of geopolitical ghost ship: visibly derelict, drifting just offshore, but no longer worth the trouble of boarding. Sanctions were imposed, statements were made, opposition leaders were anointed and then quietly forgotten. The regime endured, hollowed out but intact, while Washington’s attention migrated—to China, to Russia, to pandemics, to its own increasingly operatic domestic divisions.

What has changed is not Venezuela’s internal character so much as its external usefulness.

Start with the most prosaic explanation, the one policymakers prefer not to dwell on too explicitly: oil. Venezuela still sits atop the world’s largest proven reserves, a geological fact that stubbornly resists ideology. Years of mismanagement and sanctions have reduced production to a shadow of its former self, but the resource remains—latent, tempting, strategically inconvenient to ignore. In a world of supply shocks, Middle Eastern volatility, war in Ukraine, and a climate transition that talks green while still burning black, Washington has rediscovered the value of optionality. Not Venezuelan oil tomorrow, necessarily—but the capacity to influence when and how it might re-enter global markets.

But oil alone does not explain the renewed urgency. Venezuela has also become a symbolic problem—what might be called an authoritarian laboratory. It is a case study in regime survival under pressure: an illiberal state that absorbed sanctions, repression, diplomatic isolation, and international scolding, and still remained standing. Worse, it did so while cultivating alternative patrons—Russia, China, Iran—demonstrating that US pressure is no longer the decisive force it once imagined itself to be.

Left alone, Venezuela risks becoming precedent. A proof that sanctions can be endured, elections ritualised, opposition fragmented, and time allowed to do the rest. For an American foreign policy establishment already uneasy about its diminishing leverage, this is not an abstract concern. It cuts to the credibility of pressure itself.

Then there is migration, the most human—and politically combustible—dimension of the crisis. More than seven million Venezuelans have left their country, destabilising neighbours and feeding directly into US domestic politics. This is not simply a humanitarian tragedy; it is a hemispheric systems failure. From Washington’s vantage point, doing nothing is no longer neutral. Containment is expensive, intervention risky, abandonment costlier still.

And so we arrive at the question of timing. Why now?

Because Washington senses a narrow corridor. Maduro’s regime is weaker than it pretends but stronger than its critics admit. The opposition remains fractured but not extinguished. Sanctions relief, once treated as a moral hazard, has become a bargaining chip. And crucially, the US is acting before its own political calendar—always the hidden metronome of foreign policy—renders incremental diplomacy impossible. With another Trump presidency no longer unthinkable, subtlety has a sell-by date.

What the US is not doing, despite the familiar rhetoric, is embarking on a grand democratic crusade. The language of democracy remains, but largely as moral scaffolding. This is not Wilsonian idealism resurrected; it is managerial realism, stripped of romance.

The objectives are modest: reinsert leverage into a frozen conflict; test whether conditional sanctions relief still works in a multipolar world; signal to rivals that the Western Hemisphere is not entirely conceded; stabilise migration flows enough to quiet domestic unrest. Pressure without invasion. Engagement without trust. Diplomacy without illusion.

And this is where the contradictions sharpen. America is attempting to discipline illiberalism abroad while its own democratic norms feel brittle, contested, and—under the shadow of political retribution, institutional erosion, and performative governance—alarmingly provisional. It is hard to export confidence when you are busy auditing your own foundations.

So what will all this effort achieve?

In the best case, a managed thaw: partial electoral concessions, incremental sanctions easing, a trickle of oil, a slight widening of political space that can be narrowed again at will. Not democracy. Not regime change. Something closer to détente.

More likely, the choreography will look familiar. Maduro gives just enough to divide his opponents. Elections occur, tilted but recognisable. Washington claims progress. The regime consolidates. Oil flows marginally. Everyone declares victory, sotto voce.

The worst case is equally familiar: talks collapse, sanctions snap back, alliances harden, migration accelerates, and US credibility erodes a little further in a region already sceptical of American patience.

Which brings us, finally, to the point that sits beneath all the policy briefings and diplomatic cables.

Long story short …

In a nutshell: the US is leaning into Venezuela now because it wants leverage over oil, migration, and a stubborn authoritarian outlier—before rivals lock it in and before domestic US politics make subtle diplomacy impossible.

What it will achieve is unlikely to be transformation: at best a managed thaw and partial stability; at worst another reminder that pressure still matters—but no longer decides outcomes.

And perhaps that, more than anything, explains the urgency. Venezuela is not just a test of Maduro. It is a test of whether American power, recalibrated and diminished, can still bend events—or whether it has entered an era where it can only nudge, negotiate, and narrate its own restraint.

Coda

In the above overview, In That Howling Infinite has provides several reasonably comprehensive explanations for what is happening today in Venezuela and the Caribbean. But what has been largely absent from this and from other discussions is the role being played by former senator and now Secretary of State Marco Rubio. That absence, as we shall see below,  is striking. We have endeavored to address this in a companion piece to this post entitled Marco Rubio’s Venezuelan bargain

See also in In That Howling InfiniteTales of Yankee Power … at play in America’s backyard and the original  Tales of Yankee Power

Trump, Maduro, and the old, disgraced song sheet ..

The Chekovian principle: If there’s a gun on the wall in act 1, it has to be used in act 3, otherwise, what the point of it

Trump has to do something or his huff and puff loses all credibility.

Somewhere in the wings of world politics there hangs a theatrical maxim attributed to Chekhov: place a pistol on the wall in Act I, and someone must fire it by Act III. Americans profess to dislike theatre but cannot resist its narrative temptations; they threaten, they mobilise, they crescendo—and then, sooner or later, the audience expects the gun to go off.

Trump, a man who treats the world as a stage of which he is always the centre, has spent months pointing such a pistol at Venezuela. Warships prowled the Caribbean, threats were lobbed and withdrawn like fraternity-house dares, the Venezuelan regime was slapped with a foreign-terrorist designation—as though a label might restore the gravity of a play that has been poorly rehearsed. The horns swell, the curtains billow, and the crowd waits for the downbeat.

But Nicolás Maduro—part caudillo, part stagehand in an unraveling drama—has now done the one thing presidents hate most: he has refused to play his assigned role. He called the bluff.

When the Venezuelan National Assembly announced an investigation into an alleged American strike that killed survivors of a drug boat, it was the diplomatic equivalent of flicking Trump’s nose. It broke the Putin playbook: flattery first, deference always, never embarrass the man who believes himself the protagonist of history. Instead, Caracas stepped forward and said, in effect: All right then, fire your gun. We are still standing.

Now Trump is between a political rock and a theatrical hard place. His threats—grand, extravagant, and not altogether serious—have become a promise in the eyes of his supporters; promises demand fulfilment. To withdraw now would be humiliation. To act might mean plunging the United States back into the kind of messy, generational entanglement it claims to despise. The pistol on the mantel must discharge; the question is into what.

To parse the bind honestly, one must acknowledge an uncomfortable truth we have circled before: Venezuela is not a conventional state. It is a patchwork of criminal enclaves, guerrilla zones, mining fiefdoms, and military mafias stitched together by a government whose stability rests not on legitimacy but on shared complicity. Maduro presides not over a functioning bureaucracy but over a mutually-assured-corruption pact. The US demanding Maduro “stop the cartels” is akin to demanding a puppet cut its own strings.

Washington keeps treating narcotrafficking as a moral and strategic emergency demanding muscular intervention, and yet refuses the more awkward truth that demand originates north of the Río Grande. The US keeps trying to prune the branches while fertilising the roots. Eliminate a distribution node and another will spring up; curb the supply and the addiction of demand remains. This is the farce of policies sold as decisive: a clean narrative for messy problems.

That narrative—remove the strongman, restore democracy—does not fit a country that is less a dictatorship than a tangled criminal archipelago. The first domino in Trump’s new Monroe Doctrine refuses to topple. And worse: Washington is discovering that its preferred script cannot accommodate a terrain where power is exercised not by state capacity but by patronage, graft, and predation.

So what can Washington do? Masko’s menu of options—attacks on cartels, direct strikes on the regime, or covert coups—reads like a particularly bad buffet of imperial choices. Each invites familiar Latin American déjà vu: civil war, occupation, an opposition that cannot govern, and long occupations in which American “advisers” proliferate like mushrooms after rain. US policy keeps writing cheques reality cannot cash. Threats become commitments; commitments become entanglements; entanglements become “forever wars.”

If Trump escalates, Venezuela risks becoming another chapter in that long, wearying book the US pretends not to have read—even though it wrote half the pages. If he backs down, the political cost is immediate: the performance of American hemispheric resolve collapses into farce. The Monroe Doctrine reboot—portrayed as a return to muscular Rooseveltian policing—becomes a punchline when the first test proves a stubborn, shabby caudillo.

There is another uglier truth hidden in the theatre lights: Maduro’s survival is not proof of ideological victory but of practical, transactional survival. He has kept his inner circle bound to him through graft and opportunity; he has turned state instruments into instruments of private enrichment. That sort of stability looks like power because it is durable; but it is hollow, brittle, and violent. You cannot negotiate with a manager of vice the way you negotiate with a functioning state.

Trump staged a drama that now requires a climax, but the stage is rotten and the actors are improvising. The US treats Latin America like a backyard it keeps tripping over, never the garden it accidentally poisoned. Year after year Washington dramatises crises and expects tidy resolutions. Every generation invents a new justification—communism, terror, narco-terror—but the habit remains: pressure, coercion, intervention, regret.

The tragedy—ancient, predictable, almost Greek—is that Latin America again becomes the terrain on which American narratives are tested and American credibility measured, rather than a set of societies whose own tragedies and complexities deserve to be understood on their own terms. The region is treated as a proving ground for policy theater rather than a neighbour with histories, grievances and real human costs.

What should be done? Not much in the way of heroics. Policy that pretends to be theatre is precisely the policy that will go wrong fastest. If the United States truly seeks to reduce drug flows and migration, it must look at demand; it must reckon with domestic consumption patterns, with financial flows that launder proceeds northwards, with the geopolitics of trade and sanction that hollow out legal economies. Most of all, it must stop pretending that the remedy lies in a staged intervention that will neither eliminate the cartels nor restore democratic governance.

But the theatre will have its denouement whichever path is chosen. If the gun is fired, the consequences will echo for years in the hemisphere and in the lives of migrants and refugees. If it is not, the spectacle of American impotence will redraft the calculus of rivals and allies alike.

Either way, Venezuela will feel the impact long after the curtain falls. And the United States, which keeps writing checks the world will not conveniently cash, will be left to explain why a pistol on the mantel was ever thought a suitable prop for foreign policy.

https://unherd.com/2025/12/maduro-has-called-trumps-bluff/

Tales of Yankee Power … at play in America’s backyard

 

Delo Kirova … The Kirov Case, a Stalinist murder mystery


A few years back, I retrieved from my archive a dissertation I wrote whilst studying politics at the University of Reading in 1970 about Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin’s Great Terror. It was entitled “How Rational Was The Great Purge?” Though somewhat different in tenor, this is companion piece to that, yet one more addition to the narrative of arrests, trials, fabricated confessions, hostage-taking, deportations, torture and executions as Soviet Communist Party General Secretary Josef Stalin consolidated his rule, eliminated enemies real and imagined, and created his own model of a twentieth century socialist state. It commenced with the elimination of the Old Bolsheviks, his former comrades in arms in the Russian Revolution of October 1917 (there were two revolutions that year) and the bloody civil war that followed, and then expanded to embrace all in the party and society at large who may or may not have shared his vision. Intellectuals, philosophers, writers, poets, musicians, priests, scientists, academics, teachers, civil servants, workers and peasants, and the Red Army’s Officer Corps – the latter being a contributing factor to the Soviet Union’s need to make a pact with Nazi Germany in 1939 and its disastrously slow response to Hitlers invasion in June 1941.

An estimated death toll is difficult to determine. In those dark days, people simply disappeared, and the NKVD (the precursor to the KGB and present day FSI) covered its tracks well. The official number for the “Great Purge” of 1936-38, or “the Yezhovchina”, named for Victor Yezhov, head of the NKVD and Stalin’s lord high executioner, stands at 1,548,366 detained persons, of whom 681,692 were shot – an average of 1,000 executions a day. Various historians claim that the real number of victims could be twice as much.

But the the arrests, executions, and deportations commenced as early as 1930 and continued right up until Stalin’s death in 1953. Conquest, in his The Great Terror: A Reassessment does the gloomy math: 1930-36, 7 million; 1937-1938, 3 million; 1039-53, 10 million. The number of deaths in the Soviet Union that were explicitly ordered by someone – in other words, the number of executions – is actually relatively low at around 1.5 million. The majority of the deaths were caused by neglect or repressive policies – for example, those who died in the Soviet gulags, those who died while being deported, and German civilians and Prisoners of War are believed to have perished while under Soviet guard. The numbers who were transported, exiled, displaced, and scattered to concentration camps or far-eastern towns and villages were likewise incalculable.

 

The Shot in the Corridor

On 1st December in 1934, as the winter dusk pressed its blue-grey thumb across the courtyards of the Smolny Institute in Leningrad, a single gunshot cracked through the brittle calm. Sergey Mironovich Kirov – First Secretary of the Leningrad branch of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, popular tribune, organisational wunderkind, and a man whose affability had made him the darling of the rank-and-file—fell outside his office, killed instantly by a bullet fired at point-blank range by Leonid Nikolaev, a nervous, impoverished, and previously disciplined Party member who had been wandering around Smolny with a revolver for weeks.

And here the historical record tilts its head. Nikolaev had already been arrested near Kirov’s office in October, gun in pocket, only to be released after a perfunctory interrogation. The NKVD, that ever-present priesthood of Soviet vigilance, somehow managed to remove or reassign Kirov’s guards on the day of the murder—an administrative coincidence so serendipitous it practically winks at the reader. Documents disappeared almost immediately. The crime scene was tidied up with un-Soviet efficiency. Even in Stalin’s lifetime, people whispered that this one was just a little too neat. 

Comrade General Secretary Stalin died on 3rd 1953, but the mystery did not. During the course of  ‘Secret Speech’ denouncing his former boss at the Twentieth Party Congress in 1956, Secretary Nikita Khrushchev announced that the party leaders were not satisfied with the hitherto accepted account of the assassination. ‘It must be asserted’, he said, ‘that to this day the circumstances surrounding Kirov’s murder hide many things which are inexplicable and mysterious and demand the most careful examination.’ There were reasons to suspect, he added, that Kirov’s murderer, Nikolayev, had been ‘assisted by someone from among the people whose duty it was to protect the person of Kirov’. He then cited some details:

A month before the killing, Nikolayev was arrested on the grounds of suspicious behaviour, but he was released and not even searched. It is an unusually suspicious circumstance that when the Chekist assigned to protect Kirov was being brought for an interrogation, on 2 December 1934, he was killed in a car ‘accident’. After the murder of Kirov, top functionaries of the Leningrad NKVD were given very light sentences, but in 1937 they were shot. We can assume that they were shot in order to cover the traces of the organisers of Kirov’s killing.

No actual or archival smoking gun has ever been found linking Stalin directly to the assassination. But as understood better than anyone, you don’t always need to give orders to get what you want; sometimes you merely need to lift an eyebrow, or refrain from stopping what you know is coming. Whether he orchestrated the murder or simply permitted the fates to do a little unofficial housecleaning, Stalin recognised Kirov’s death for what it was: an opening salvo in a new political era. A gift, as some later put it, from the socialist gods.

He rushed to Leningrad that very night—a grim figure stalking the polished corridors, smoking endlessly, looming over the bloodstained floor like a man already imagining the script he was about to write. Within hours, special decrees were drafted. Emergency powers were demanded. A new legal order materialised almost overnight: accelerated trials, truncated appeals, executions carried out within twenty-four hours. The machinery of terror, hitherto still warming up after collectivisation, now clicked decisively into gear.

Leningrad became the laboratory. More than 100,000 residents were arrested in the so-called Kirovskie potoki—the “Kirov batches”—a bureaucratic term so bland it might have referred to grain shipments rather than human lives. Arrests were made by quota rather than evidence. Lists circulated with blank spaces in which names could be conveniently filled. One’s fate depended not on guilt, but on arithmetic.

And this, astonishingly, was only the overture.

Between 1936 and 1938, the Soviet Union descended into the convulsive madness we now call the Great Purge. It was not simply a repressive campaign; it was a metaphysical restructuring of reality, a forced rewriting of the Soviet soul. The Party turned in upon itself like a great cannibalistic serpent. Old Bolsheviks—survivors of Siberia, civil war, famine, exile—stood on stage under the pitiless glare of Kaganovich’s lamps and confessed to crimes that would have embarrassed a mediocre novelist: working for the Germans, the Japanese, the Vatican, sometimes all at once. These confessions were extracted through sleep deprivation, threats to families, and the grim promise that cooperation might reduce the duration of one’s suffering before the inevitable bullet.

“Better that ten innocent men suffer than one spy escape,” Stalin reportedly told his inner circle. Whether he said it or not hardly matters; it distilled perfectly the moral arithmetic of the period. And Soviet bureaucrats, never ones to shirk a quota, applied that arithmetic with terrifying enthusiasm.

Millions were swept into the vortex. Workers vanished during lunch breaks; professors walked into lecture halls and never walked out; Red Army officers were summoned to meetings from which only the echo of their boots returned. Entire households—parents, children, in-laws—were removed en bloc, as if snipped from a photograph. The NKVD knock—three brisk raps that punctuated the night like an omen—became the most feared sound in the Soviet Union.

The damage to the Red Army was catastrophic. Three of the five marshals were eliminated. Thirteen of fifteen army commanders. Eight of nine admirals. Roughly half of all officer corps personnel were killed or imprisoned. When Hitler invaded in June 1941, the Soviet state staggered like a boxer already concussed before the fight had begun. The purges had not merely eliminated dissent; they had amputated competence.

Robert Conquest, in the mordant prose of The Great Terror, wrote that Stalin’s purges “destroyed the best and brightest of Soviet society, leaving in its wake a legacy of silence and servility.” It is difficult to dissent. At the nucleus of this great national trauma—like a dark planet around which the Soviet Union spun for the next decade—lay the corpse of Sergey Kirov, still and bloodied on the parquet floor of Smolny, a death reshaped by the state into a myth of enemies, a justification for a tyranny that would echo across generations.

And so the story resolves into the familiar Soviet paradox: a single bullet in a winter corridor becoming the pretext for a system built on fear, performance, and the relentless rewriting of truth. History, as ever, does not simply record events; it chooses its moments, stretches them, refracts them, and turns them into instruments. In Stalin’s hands, Kirov’s death became exactly that—a tool sharpened not by ideology alone, but by a man’s bottomless appetite for control.

Sergey Kirov: A Biographical Sketch 

Sergey Mironovich Kirov (1886–1934) occupies a distinctive place in Soviet history: a disciplined, loyal Bolshevik whose quiet career was overshadowed by the immense political power his death unleashed. Born Sergey Kostrikov in the provincial town of Urzhum and orphaned early, he rose from poverty into revolutionary politics through underground Marxist circles in technical school. He joined the Russian Social Democratic Labour Party in 1904, fought with the Bolsheviks in 1905, and endured the familiar cycle of arrests and exile that shaped many second-tier revolutionaries.

After 1917, Kirov built his reputation in the Caucasus – first in Tiflis, then in Azerbaijan and the broader Transcaucasian federation – where he proved an efficient administrator and a moderate, pragmatic voice on nationalities policy. His steady work in Baku won Stalin’s trust, marking him as a loyal and reliable lieutenant rather than an ideological innovator.

Kirov’s ascent reached its peak in 1926 when he replaced Grigory Zinoviev as head of the Leningrad Party organisation. In a volatile political environment he projected affability and organisational competence, and by the 17th Party Congress in 1934 he had become one of the Party’s most popular figures—popular enough to cause Stalin visible discomfort.

On 1 December 1934, Kirov was assassinated in the Smolny Institute by Leonid Nikolayev, a disgruntled minor Party member. The regime immediately portrayed the killing as an opposition conspiracy, but later archival evidence suggests that Stalin and the security services at least exploited the event, if not abetted it. In its aftermath, the “Kirov Case” became the justification for sweeping arrests, show trials, and the Great Terror that followed.

Kirov himself had posed no real challenge to Stalin. Yet in death he became the catalyst for Stalin’s most violent consolidation of power – a loyal apparatchik whose murder opened the door to the darkest machinery of the Soviet state.

A Bullet, a Bureaucracy, and the Old Trick of Power

On that winter evening in 1934, when Sergey Kirov collapsed in the Smolny corridor and the echo of Leonid Nikolaev’s revolver still trembled along the marble, the Soviet Union crossed one of those invisible historical thresholds. A man died, yes, but something else came sharply alive: the age-old political instinct to turn a crime into a charter.

Stalin saw at once what the moment offered. The corpse had barely cooled before he was demanding emergency powers, accelerated trials, and new legal instruments that would—purely coincidentally—vastly expand the reach of the NKVD. Kirov’s murder became the template for a new order, the catalyst for the machinery of quota-based repression that would culminate in the Great Purge.

And here the story widens, because history is full of such moments: a spark, a fire, and then—quite suddenly—a fire code rewritten in the name of safety, patriotism, or public order.

Power, after all, is seldom gained incrementally; it prefers the catalytic event.

The Nazis, of course, had already rehearsed this choreography of opportunistic outrage. When the Reichstag went up in flames on that cold February night in 1933, the fire itself mattered less than the story the new chancellor told about it. A lone Dutch drifter, Marinus van der Lubbe, may well have acted alone — the archival balance still leans that way — but Hitler and Göring seized upon the spectacle with preternatural speed, proclaiming a Communist uprising that existed nowhere but in their own ambitions. The ensuing Reichstag Fire Decree suspended civil liberties at a stroke; within days, thousands of political opponents were in custody; within weeks, Germany had its first concentration camps. What Kirov’s murder later became for Stalin — a ready-made key to unlock extraordinary repression — the Reichstag fire had already been for Hitler: the moment when fear, accusation, and executive power fused into a single instrument, and the machinery of dictatorship began to hum in earnest.

Even democratic states are not immune. Fasr-forward to 1964, when a murky naval skirmish in the Gulf of Tonkin—exaggerated at best, fictionalised at worst—was used to justify sweeping presidential war powers in Vietnam. Again, the pattern: an incident, an interpretation, and then an escalation that far outstripped the original event.

In the United States after 9/11, the Patriot Act expanded surveillance authority to a degree unthinkable only weeks earlier. Australia, after Bali and then after Sydney’s Lindt Café siege, hardened counter-terrorism laws that still sit uneasily with civil libertarians. France declared and repeatedly extended a state of emergency after the 2015 Paris attacks, normalising extraordinary policing powers. Israel has used the elastic concept of “emergency regulations” continually since 1948; the Occupied Territories have lived inside that emergency for more than half a century.

None of these analogies are morally identical—history is too unruly, and context is everything—but the structural echo is unmistakable. Violence bends the narrative arc; leaders seize the pen.

And this brings us back to Stalin’s peculiar genius: he didn’t just use Kirov’s murder to justify repression; he used it to ritualise repression. The Great Purge was not a single reactionary spasm but a system, a bureaucratised theology. The NKVD did not simply knock at doors; they filled quotas. Courts did not merely try cases; they enacted a morality play in which guilt was predetermined and confession became a sacrament. Terror became, quite literally, a mode of governance.

The difference in scale between the Kirov aftermath and, say, the Patriot Act is obvious. But the underlying logic—never waste a crisis—travels across centuries and ideologies. It is as old as the Roman Republic, which appointed dictators during emergencies (and occasionally forgot to roll the powers back), and as contemporary as any government tempted to expand executive reach during disorder.

One might even say—quietly, and with the historian’s gentle shrug—that Kirov’s death is what happens when a single bullet drops into a political ecosystem already saturated with suspicion, ideology, and a leader’s longing for omnipotence. The event becomes a story; the story becomes a mandate; the mandate becomes the new architecture of the state.

And so the long shadow of that Leningrad corridor stretches far beyond 1934. It is the shadow cast whenever governments discover that fear is a pliable material, and that extraordinary measures, once introduced, have an almost uncanny habit of lingering. The lesson, if we can call it that, is neither simple nor consoling: history’s turning points are often quieter than we think—just a gunshot in a hallway, an explosion in a building, a skirmish at sea—but the legal and political aftershocks can reverberate for generations.

From Smolny to Scottsdale … a bullet has its uses

If Kirov’s murder taught the twentieth century anything, it was that the meaning of a political assassination rarely lies in the event itself. The bullet is only the opening chord; the symphony is written afterwards, in the speeches, the security directives, the moral panics, and the institutional reshuffling that follow.

And in that sense, the killing of Charlie Kirk two months ago — whether one judged him a provocateur, a tribune of the populist right, or simply a highly effective megaphone — was always going to echo far beyond the crime scene. Kirk’s public persona was built on perpetual mobilisation; his death, inevitably, mobilised his movement again, but now under the darker banner of martyrdom. His memorials reflected that doubling: part sermon, part rally, part lament for a country slipping from its constitutional moorings.

But it was Stephen Miller, with his uniquely glacial cadence and his understanding of narrative opportunity, who supplied the Kirov-like inflection point. His statement — the warning you referenced earlier — was not merely an expression of grief but a deliberate recasting of the assassination as a signal, a sign of political war, an indictment of an alleged national slide into lawlessness promulgated by the “radical Left,” “deep-state actors,” and whatever other agents of chaos could be invoked for the occasion. Where others spoke about sorrow or unity, Miller spoke about security, retaliation, and the need for extraordinary measures.

And here we see the familiar pattern.

There is event as catalyst. As with Kirov, the Reichstag, and countless other precedents, the assassination becomes instantly detachable from its forensic specifics. It enters myth-space. What matters is not the evidence but the utility. A political movement in search of discipline or mobilisation suddenly finds itself handed a clarifying moment. The death becomes a symbol; the symbol becomes an argument.

There is the suspicion narrative. Just as Stalin insisted that Kirov’s killing revealed a vast conspiracy – conveniently amorphous enough to justify purging anyone he found inconvenient – Stephen Miller framed Kirk’s murder not as an isolated act but as a node in a network: a symptom of a broader threat, one that (he implied) justified the suspension of ordinary political restraint. It was, rhetorically speaking, the oldest move in the book: taking a single violent act and turning it into evidence of systemic existential crisis.

There is the call for expanded authority. Miller’s warning, as we discussed earlier, was not merely cautionary; it was a prelude. His argument threaded together a need for enhanced federal policing prerogatives, expanded domestic intelligence capabilities, and what he rather ominously called a “realignment of internal security expectations.” Underneath the phrases lay a familiar logic: this changes everything — and therefore everything must change. You can practically hear Beria nodding along from the afterlife.

There is the martyrdom of the fallen. Kirov was transformed in death from a moderately independent party chief into the gilded justification for the Great Terror. Kirk, too, is already undergoing a kind of mythological laundering. In certain strands of American right-wing discourse, he is being reimagined not merely as a media provocateur but as a culture-war sentinel struck down for the truths he spoke. That kind of sanctification is politically useful: martyrs don’t compromise, martyrs don’t embarrass you, and martyrs confer moral urgency.

There are the inevitable political aftershocks. And this is where the analogy becomes most illuminating. The aftermath of political violence often tells us more about a society than the violence itself. In the Soviet case, it was the acceleration of authoritarian rule. In Weimar Germany, it was the final collapse into dictatorship. In the post-9/11 United States, it was the normalisation of surveillance and the redefinition of security.

In the months since Kirk’s killing, we are witnessing something similar, albeit in an American key: attempts to mobilise his death into legislative proposals; rhetorical escalations framing internal political opponents as existential threats; renewed arguments for federalised policing reforms that concentrate authority; and the repurposing of the assassination as a rallying point for a harder-edged populist conservatism.

No two eras are identical. No analogy is perfect. But the structural pattern – event → narrative → authority — is hauntingly familiar.

Coda … 

We’d like to think that history runs on principles and ideologies, or moves to the will of great men. But mostly it turns on moments – sharp, shocking, sometimes sordid moments that give political actors the excuse to enact the plots, plans and programmes they were already dreaming or dreaming. Stalin, this story would have us believe, needed Sergey Kirov more dead than alive. Hitler needed the Reichstag fire’s plumes to rise just so. And in our own conflicted present, certain actors wanted, needed Charlie Kirk’s assassination to mean more than the tragedy it was: they needed it to become a story about enemies, collapse, and the heroic necessity of broader powers. Whether their narrative succeeds is another question. History is written not only by the victors but by the survivors – and we are still very much living in the moment.

A Bibliography on the Kirov Assassination and the Great Terror

1. Robert Conquest, The Great Terror: A Reassessment (Oxford University Press, 1990).
Conquest’s landmark revision of his 1968 classic, drawing on émigré testimony and early archival material. Still the most influential narrative framing Stalin as the architect not only of the Great Purge but of Kirov’s murder itself. Conquest argues that the political exploitation of the assassination was too rapid, too totalising, and too convenient to be accidental.

2. Amy Knight, Who Killed Kirov? The Kremlin’s Greatest Mystery (Hill and Wang, 1999).
The most comprehensive English-language study devoted specifically to the assassination. Knight uses post-Soviet archives, NKVD personnel files, and internal Party correspondence to argue that Stalin’s involvement is “highly probable.” An indispensable monograph.

3. Oleg V. Khlevniuk, Stalin: New Biography of a Dictator (Yale University Press, 2015).
Based on more extensive archival access than any historian before him. Khlevniuk maintains that while no direct written order for Kirov’s assassination has been found, the behaviour of Stalin and the NKVD “defies innocent explanation.” He focuses on how Stalin transformed the murder into a political instrument.

4. Oleg V. Khlevniuk, Master of the House: Stalin and His Inner Circle (Yale University Press, 2009).
Provides key context for Stalin’s relationship with Kirov, the dynamics of the Politburo, and the mechanism by which personal decisions translated into state terror. Essential for understanding the broader ecosystem in which the murder occurred.

5. J. Arch Getty, Origins of the Great Purges: The Soviet Communist Party Reconsidered, 1933–1938 (Cambridge University Press, 1985).
The central “revisionist” challenge to Conquest. Getty argues that bureaucratic chaos, factional competition, and institutional dysfunction explain much of the period, and that Stalin’s direct role in Kirov’s murder remains unproven. Important for historiographical balance.

6. Vadim Rogovin, 1937: Stalin’s Year of Terror (Mehring Books, 1998).
Rogovin, writing from a Marxist opposition (Trotskyist) perspective, argues unequivocally that Stalin ordered the assassination as part of a premeditated strategy to eliminate potential rivals. While ideologically framed, his research includes valuable Soviet sources and contemporary accounts.

7. Sheila Fitzpatrick, Everyday Stalinism: Ordinary Life in Extraordinary Times, Soviet Russia in the 1930s (Oxford University Press, 1999).
Though not focused on the assassination itself, Fitzpatrick provides the essential social context into which the event was inserted — showing how citizens experienced the tightening of repression after 1934. A vital complement to the political analyses.

8. N. V. Petrov & A. B. Roginsky (eds.), Kirovskoe delo [The Kirov Case] (Moscow: Memorial, 1993).
A collection of newly released documents from the early post-Soviet period, including NKVD reports, personnel files, witness statements, and internal memos relating to Kirov’s security arrangements. These documents confirmed the suspicious reassignment of guards, Nikolaev’s earlier arrest, and the swift destruction or sealing of evidence.

9. Alexandre Orlov, The Secret History of Stalin’s Crimes (Random House, 1953).
Memoir of a high-ranking NKVD defector. Orlov asserted that Stalin personally ordered the assassination. Though coloured by Cold War context and personal motives, his claims shaped early Western interpretations and remain part of the evidentiary landscape.

10. Nikita Khrushchev, “On the Cult of Personality and Its Consequences,” Secret Speech to the 20th Party Congress, February 1956.
Khrushchev accused Stalin of orchestrating or at least politically weaponising the assassination. Though politically motivated, the speech is a primary document revealing how Soviet leadership themselves interpreted the event after Stalin’s death.

Concise Bibliography 

Conquest, Robert. The Great Terror: A Reassessment. Oxford UP, 1990.
Figes, Orlando. A People’s Tragedy: The Russian Revolution 1891–1924. Jonathan Cape, 1996.
Getty, J. Arch, and Oleg Naumov. The Road to Terror: Stalin and the Self-Destruction of the Bolsheviks, 1932–1939. Yale UP, 1999.
Khlevniuk, Oleg. Stalin: New Biography of a Dictator. Yale UP, 2015.
Knight, Amy W. The Kirov Murder: Politics, Crime, and Conspiracy in Stalin’s Russia. Princeton UP, 1999.
Kotkin, Stephen. Stalin: Paradoxes of Power, 1878–1928. Penguin, 2014.
Montefiore, Simon Sebag. Stalin: The Court of the Red Tsar. Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2003.
Rayfield, Donald. Stalin and His Hangmen: The Tyrant and Those Who Killed for Him. Viking, 2004.
Suny, Ronald Grigor. The Revenge of the Past: Nationalism, Revolution, and the Collapse of the Soviet Union. Stanford UP, 1993.
Tucker, Robert C. Stalin in Power: The Revolution from Above, 1928–1941. Norton, 1990


For Soviet tragics and nostalgics only: the following may be of archival interest:

Murder Revisited: The Case of Sergei Mironovich Kirov

Hugo Dewar 1965

Source: Problems of Communism, Volume 14, no 5, September-October 1965, Marxist Internet Archive, prepared by Paul Flewers. https://marxists.architexturez.net/archive/dewar/1965/kirov.htm

The thirtieth anniversary of the assassination of the Bolshevik leader and Politburo member Sergei Kirov (which took place 1 December 1934) passed without mention of the ‘thorough inquiry’ Khrushchev had promised into this event that marked the beginning of the era of the great Stalin purges. While a commemorative article was published in Pravda and a biography of Kirov by SV Krasnikov appeared in 1964, neither of these items offered any fresh material towards a solution of the Kirov mystery.

During the course of his ‘Secret Speech’ at the Twentieth Party Congress in 1956, Khrushchev had announced that the party leaders were not satisfied with the hitherto accepted account of the assassination. ‘It must be asserted’, he said, ‘that to this day the circumstances surrounding Kirov’s murder hide many things which are inexplicable and mysterious and demand the most careful examination.’ There were reasons to suspect, he added, that Kirov’s murderer, Nikolayev, had been ‘assisted by someone from among the people whose duty it was to protect the person of Kirov’. He then cited some details:

A month before the killing, Nikolayev was arrested on the grounds of suspicious behaviour, but he was released and not even searched. It is an unusually suspicious circumstance that when the Chekist assigned to protect Kirov was being brought for an interrogation, on 2 December 1934, he was killed in a car ‘accident’. After the murder of Kirov, top functionaries of the Leningrad NKVD were given very light sentences, but in 1937 they were shot. We can assume that they were shot in order to cover the traces of the organisers of Kirov’s killing. [1]

In 1961, some five years after Khrushchev’s first disclosures, the Soviet people at large learned of the Kirov ‘affair’ in the course of the Premier’s attack on the ‘anti-party group’ at the Twenty-Second Party Congress. Molotov, Kaganovich, Malenkov, Voroshilov and others, he stated, had ‘violently’ resisted the Twentieth Congress’ decision to launch the de-Stalinisation campaign and had continued their resistance afterwards, because they feared that ‘their role as accessories to mass reprisals’ would come to light. He went on:

These mass reprisals began after the assassination of Kirov. Great efforts are still needed to find out who was really to blame for his death. The deeper we study the materials connected with Kirov’s death, the more questions arise… A thorough inquiry is now being made into the circumstances of this complicated case. [2]

In further statements at the Twenty-Second Congress, it was asserted that Nikolayev had in fact been arrested on two occasions before the crime, that arms had been found on him, but that he had been released. Kirov’s bodyguard was said to have been killed while on his way to be questioned by Stalin, Molotov and Voroshilov. It was no longer ‘assumed’ but presented as fact that the NKVD functionaries had been shot in 1937 in order to cover up the traces of those involved in the assassination.

If one turns to the evidence presented at the Moscow Trial of March 1938, it will be seen that the substance of Khrushchev’s ‘revelations’ had long ago been put on record. The testimony given at the trial reflected its double aim: to reinforce the Stalinists’ previous charges against ‘Trotskyites and Zinovievites’ and at the same time to ‘purge the purgers’. Yet discounting embellishment, certain essential facts about the Kirov killing emerged at this time. GG Yagoda, former chief of the NKVD, now himself in the dock, gave this version of the affair:

In 1934, in the summer, Yenukidze informed me that the centre of the ‘block of Rights and Trotskyites’ had adopted a decision to organise the assassination of Kirov. Rykov took a direct part in the adoption of this decision… I marshalled a series of arguments about this terrorist act being inexpedient and unnecessary… Yenukidze insisted that I was not to place any obstacle in the way; the terrorist act, he said, would be carried out by the Trotsky – Zinovievite group. Owing to this, I was compelled to instruct Zaporozhets, who occupied the post of Assistant Chief of the Regional Administration of the People’s Commissariat of Internal Affairs, not to place any obstacles in the way of the terrorist act against Kirov. Sometime later Zaporozhets informed me that the organs of the People’s Commissariat of Internal Affairs had detained Nikolayev, in whose possession a revolver and a chart of the route Kirov usually took had been found. Nikolayev was released. Soon after that Kirov was assassinated by this very same Nikolayev. [3]

Yagoda’s secretary, Bulanov, dealt with the ‘accident’ to Kirov’s bodyguard as follows:

Yagoda further told me that Borisov, an employee of the Leningrad Administration of the People’s Commissariat of Internal Affairs, had a share in the assassination of Kirov. When members of the government came to Leningrad… to interrogate him as a witness… Zaporozhets…, fearing that Borisov would betray those who stood behind Nikolayev, decided to kill Borisov. On Yagoda’s instructions, Zaporozhets so arranged it that an accident occurred to the automobile which took Borisov to the Smolny. Borisov was killed in the accident… I then understood the exceptional and unusual solicitude which Yagoda had displayed when Medved, Zaporozhets and the other officials were brought to trial. [4]

This earlier trial of NKVD officials had also been made public at the time (1935). The indictment against them stated inter alia that FD Medved, chief of the Leningrad NKVD, and most of the others accused (twelve in all) had possessed information concerning the preparation for the attempt on Kirov but had taken no measures to prevent the crime, even though they had every chance to do so. [5] Furthermore, it was clear from what was said about them at the 1938 Moscow Trial that Medved and Zaporozhets had been shot in 1937.

Thus the facts given out by Khrushchev were hardly new. Although these facts without doubt came as something of a sensation to the party’s younger rank and file, all of the top leaders surviving from the purge period must have known them. Certainly it did not require years of investigation to dig them up.

What is new, of course, is the fresh interpretation given these facts. With the launching of the de-Stalinisation campaign, Khrushchev assigned the Kirov affair a role in the picture of the past that he was anxious to have the Soviet public accept. Kirov’s assassination was now presented as marking the entry into an entirely new phase of Soviet history; it was allegedly the true beginning of the Stalin era, during which Leninist party and state norms, hitherto prevailing, suffered a temporary defeat.

In his ‘Secret Speech’ Khrushchev put it like this: ‘After the criminal murder of Kirov mass repressions and brutal acts of violation of socialist legality began.’ [6] The basis for these mass repressions, Khrushchev recalled, was a decree of 1 December 1934 (the very day of the murder), which demanded a speed-up of investigations into terrorist acts, the denial of any right of appeal against sentences, and the carrying out of the death sentence immediately after a verdict. [7]

By 1961 Khrushchev and his supporters openly asserted that Stalin and his closest colleagues had seized on the Kirov murder to launch the era of terror, and the implication was strong that they may have indeed been accomplices in the act itself. Thus, in the 1959 edition of the history of the CPSU (which replaced the Stalinist work published in 1938), the assassination was still treated as the result of a plot by the ‘Zinovievites’; but in the revised edition of 1962 Stalin is accused of using the assassination as an excuse for organising reprisals against all those who in one way or another displeased him. This approach echoed the line taken at the Twenty-Second Congress by AN Shelepin (at the time Chairman of the Committee for State Security):

The assassination of Sergei Mironovich Kirov was used by Stalin and Molotov and Kaganovich, who were close to him, as an excuse for settling accounts with people they disliked (s neugodnymi liudmi). [8]

Obviously Khrushchev’s probe into the Kirov affair was useful to him first as a threat and finally as a weapon in the struggle against the ‘anti-party elements’. Yet the problem remained – and still remains for those who have replaced Khrushchev – to produce a full explanation of this event, which even today continues to hound the trail of Stalin’s erstwhile friends and associates.

In accordance with a decision of the Twenty-Second Party Congress to honour the memory of victims of the ‘personality cult’, Pravda from time to time carries articles on this theme. One such article, dealing with the Seventeenth Congress of the CPSU (1934), is an interesting example of the manner in which the anti-Stalinists try to explain how things went wrong. [9]

At the Seventeenth Congress, says this article, the party was ‘united and monolithic’. This was the ‘congress of the victors’, at which even former members of the opposition groupings – Zinoviev, Kamenev, Bukharin, Rykov and Tomsky – came forward to extol the successes achieved by socialist construction and to express their repentance for their past attitudes. By the time of this congress ‘the authority of the party had grown exceptionally’; this was the congress that marked the ‘firm and irrevocable victory of socialist relationships in our country’. NS Khrushchev is said to have declared at the congress: ‘The strength of our Lenin Central Committee lies in that it knew how to organise the party, knew how to organise the working class and the collective farmers…’ The names of some other delegates who spoke for this allegedly ‘united and monolithic’ party are cited, for the purpose of ‘rehabilitating’ them. Among those mentioned are I Zelenski and G Grinko, two of the accused at the 1938 Moscow trial; but no reference is made to the trial itself.

Kirov is referred to as ‘the wonderful Leninist’, the ‘favourite of the entire party’ (the words, incidentally, used by Lenin in his ‘Testament’ to characterise Bukharin):

Less than a year passed after the Seventeenth Congress when a criminal hand cut short the life of Kirov… This was a premeditated and carefully prepared crime, the circumstances of which, as NS Khrushchev declared at the Twenty-Second Congress, have not yet been fully cleared up.

The writer’s appraisal of the inner-party situation at the time of the Seventeenth Congress renders the subsequent fate of the party incomprehensible. In this united and monolithic organisation vested with such exceptional authority, how did it come about that – as the writer admits – 70 per cent of the Central Committee, and 1108 of the 1966 delegates who unanimously elected it, were subsequently condemned as counter-revolutionary traitors? Quite obviously this could not have happened under the conditions described.

That the Seventeenth Congress did indeed express the mood of jubilation and relief then prevailing in the top circles and among the activists of the party is indisputable. But underlying this mood was an awareness of the monstrous forces of repression and terror that had been created – forces that the activists themselves had helped to create, and yet that were in a sense alien and threatening to them. Hence the ovation given by the delegates to Kirov, who appeared at the congress as the outstanding champion of the authority of the party against the authority of the secret police.

There exists a document which is of exceptional value for an understanding of the political atmosphere of the time, which explains Kirov’s role and the hopes centred in him, and which also throws light on the motives of Leonid Nikolayev, his assassin. This is the so-called ‘Letter of an Old Bolshevik’, first published anonymously in two issues of the Menshevik monthly, Sotsialisticheski vestnik (Paris), 22 December 1936 and 17 January 1937; and subsequently published as a pamphlet, also anonymously, by the Rand School Press (New York City, 1937). The identity of the author, none other than NI Bukharin, was not revealed by the editorial board of Sotsialisticheski vestnik until 23 November 1959. (Bukharin at his trial in 1938 admitted that he had met in Paris, on his last trip abroad, a representative of the Mensheviks, Boris Nikolayevsky. It is not without significance that Bukharin knew that if he could trust no one else, he could trust his lifelong ideological opponents.)

Bukharin writes that Kirov ‘stood for the abolition of the terror, both in general and inside the party’:

We do not desire to exaggerate the importance of his proposals. It must not be forgotten that when the First Five-Year Plan was being put into effect, Kirov was one of the heads of the party, that he was one of those who inspired and carried through the notoriously ruthless measures against the peasants and the wiping out of the kulaks. The Kem and Murmansk coasts, with their prison camps, etc, were under his jurisdiction. Furthermore, he was in charge of the construction of the Baltic – White Sea Canal. This is enough to make it clear that Kirov could not be reproached with any undue regard for human lives. [10]

Yet according to Bukharin, Kirov’s previous role only served to strengthen his position as the advocate of reconciliation with former opposition elements, once the struggle for collectivisation was over and there remained ‘no more irreconcilable foes of any importance’.

It could be argued from this that Kirov stood in 1934 where the anti-Stalinists stand today. And, indeed, it is precisely this that makes Kirov so attractive a figure to the present leaders: it is possible to portray him as a precursor, a fighter against anti-party elements and a defender of the true Leninist tradition that the present regime has succeeded in reviving. Had he not been gotten rid of by the Stalinists, the argument goes, the mass repressions and violations of socialist legality would never have occurred.

The grain of truth in all this does not make it any the less a distortion of the facts. To get at the real truth one must also consider the other figure central to the drama, Leonid Nikolayev. Who was this man? What were his motives?

Practically no official information about Nikolayev has ever been divulged; but from Bukharin’s ‘Letter’ we learn that he fought on the front against Yudenich’s forces at the age of sixteen, [11] that he there joined the Komsomol, and later became a member of the party in Leningrad. At one time he was apparently connected with the NKVD. He also held a minor post as supervisor of a forced-labour camp in Murmansk. In 1933 he returned to Leningrad where, it was rumoured, he was again connected in some way with the NKVD (although this, wrote Bukharin, was kept especially secret). Early in 1934 he came into conflict with the party and was expelled, but was reinstated shortly afterwards on the grounds that he was suffering from nervous exhaustion and that too much should not therefore be expected of him.

The Moscow correspondent of the British Daily Worker at the time, WG Sheppard, stated that Nikolayev had formerly been a member of the Workers’ and Peasants’ Inspection. [12] This item of information is probably valid. It ties in with the mention by Victor Serge of a Nikolayev who, as an investigator of the Workers’ and Peasants’ Inspection in Leningrad, had been instrumental in obtaining the reinstatement of Serge’s father-in-law, Russakov, into his trade union. Serge describes Nikolayev as ‘a tall, lean young man, grey-eyed, with tousled hair, who showed himself singularly honest’. [13]

Bukharin’s ‘Letter’ refers to the diary that was found on Nikolayev when he was arrested. [14]Limited extracts from this diary, which were circulated among a select circle as top secret (to be returned when read), sufficed to indicate Nikolayev’s state of mind at the time. According to Bukharin:

Everything seems to point to the fact that his mind was preoccupied principally with personal conflicts with the party machine, which was becoming increasingly bureaucratic. The diary is full of references of this kind, and of complaints of the disappearance of the old friendly relationships which had made life in the party so pleasant in the years following the revolution. He returned again and again to the memories of those days, which appeared to him very simple and rosy, the days of a sort of brotherhood… His complaints about the bureaucratism that had developed inside the party were the starting point of Nikolayev’s critical attitude. Further than that he did not go. The striking thing is the disproportion between the gravity of his act and the absence of any more profound criticism on his part… Nothing existed for Nikolayev outside the party… To the condition of inner-party relationships he began to react with growing intensity, and gradually he came to regard the situation as a veritable betrayal of the fine party traditions of the past, as a betrayal of the revolution itself. [15]

The irony here revealed is that Nikolayev – the killer of Kirov – saw himself as a champion of the ‘fine party traditions of the past’. In strict justice, therefore, the anti-Stalinists ought at least to recognise that Nikolayev was neither the common criminal they make him out to be, nor merely a man oppressed by a personal grievance. Granted that he was gravely mistaken as to the effect of his act – that it must inevitably have had consequences opposite to those it was intended to produce. Still, all that he wanted was, like Zheliabov, ‘to give history a push’ – in the direction of ‘de-Stalinisation’. He knew from close personal experience the rottenness of the party regime; he saw no essential difference between the existing situation and that under Tsarism (he had, wrote Bukharin, steeped himself in the literature of the People’s Will and the Social Revolutionaries and been profoundly influenced by it); he knew that there was no hope of change through the channels of inner-party democracy, which had become an empty slogan. Thus he came to the conclusion that there was only one way of effective action left open: someone had to sacrifice himself by executing a prominent representative of the ‘usurpers’, as he called them, and so rouse the country to the danger facing it. Bukharin reports the story that when Stalin asked him why he had committed the murder, and pointed out to him that he was a lost man, Nikolayev replied: ‘What does it matter? Many are going under now. But in the days to come my name will be coupled with those of Zheliabov and Balmashev.’

Nikolayev was not to know that certain men behind Stalin were themselves interested in getting rid of Kirov. To Nikolayev – and to how many others like him? – Kirov was obviously neither more nor less than one of the ‘usurpers’. What could he know of the struggle on the summit of power between the ‘conciliators’ and the advocates of continued ruthless repression? Certainly he was aware of nothing to alter his opinion of Kirov as the close companion of Stalin, [16] and a dedicated, ruthless executor of Stalinist policy.

But even in the unlikely event that Nikolayev had recognised Kirov as a co-thinker, and that the assassination had therefore never occurred, would this really have made any difference at all to the subsequent course of events? Is it not clear that the long-drawn-out struggle between the Stalinised party and the Stalinist secret police inevitably had to come to a head? The ‘mysterious and suspicious circumstances’ surrounding Kirov’s death amount simply to the fact that the advocates of repression, who already controlled the country, regarded Kirov as a menace to their authority, and that they were therefore glad to get rid of him, using Nikolayev as their unwitting instrument. This one killing was used as a pretext for mass killings, but a pretext for them would in any event have been found because Stalin’s ‘working staff’ needed one. As Bukharin put it, the members of his staff were not in principle ‘opposed to a change in the general policy of the party’ – they were not even interested in general policy as such. ‘What they emphatically opposed was any change in internal party policy. They realised that… they could expect no mercy in the event of a change in the inner-party regime.’ [17] And they knew of course – none better – that the number desiring such a change was not negligible. The extent and ferocity of the ‘mass reprisals’ following Kirov’s death can be explained only on the basis of the feeling of fear and insecurity prevailing among those who were the major prop of the regime, the men of the NKVD. They knew how much they were hated, and by how many.

Nikolayev acted as a lone individual; there was no Trotskyite – Zinovievite – Bukharinite plot. But Stalin and his general staff knew that there existed throughout the country a sharp mood of extreme bitterness and incipient revolt against their dictatorship, and that Nikolayev’s act was an expression of this mood. It was for them essential to get rid of all former oppositional elements in the party and the state apparatus – to remove anyone at all who might conceivably serve to crystallise that mood into action. In due course, even to venture a word of protest in favour of one unjustly accused was taken as indicative of dangerous thinking. [18]

In his ‘Secret Speech’, Khrushchev himself gave an example from the year 1931 of the methods used in the internecine struggle for supreme power, [19] and in so doing contradicted his general thesis that the rot only set in after 1934. But, of course, that struggle had begun immediately upon Lenin’s death, and it became progressively more deadly and bloody. Sooner or later – Kirov affair or no Kirov affair – the line of blood would have finally closed the balance sheet and marked the victory of Stalinism. Khrushchev was at his most un-Marxist when he said that ‘had Lenin lived, such an extreme method would not have been used against many’ Trotskyite opponents of the ‘general line’. On the contrary, had Lenin lived, he would have stood in the dock with Bukharin. Stalin’s treatment of Krupskaya shows that he was no respecter of persons, however eminent.

The question arises: how did Khrushchev have the nerve to carry his charges against Stalin and his cohorts as far as he did without apparently entertaining any serious fear that his audience would draw the ‘wrong’ conclusions – notably in the matter of his own complicity? The only explanation would seem to be that the present Soviet generation is not able to check the facts it is now given against its own knowledge of the events to which those facts relate. It has no such knowledge. The facts about the circumstances surrounding the Kirov murder were new to it; it did not know that these very facts had been used at the Moscow Trials to incriminate – not Stalin and his close companions – but Stalin’s enemies in the party, or those insufficiently subservient to him. This generation does not know that the rehabilitation of Zelenski, Grinko and Ikramov invalidates their evidence at the Third Moscow Trial, evidence incriminating themselves and the other defendants. It does not know that the same is true of the rehabilitation of Yenukidze and Rudzutak, who – although they were not then in the dock (having been tried and condemned in separate and secret trials) – were in effect equally among the accused at the trial.

The report of the ‘thorough enquiry’ into the Kirov affair promised by Khrushchev in 1961 will – if it is a true account, and if it is ever made public – be of enormous importance to the present Soviet generation. For it could herald the official demolition of the most monstrous edifice of lies and slander ever erected by any government in the entire history of mankind: the Moscow Trials. And not only the Moscow Trials, the keystone of which was the Kirov affair, but also the trials that preceded them and of which – as Vyshinsky pointed out at the last great trial – they were a logical extension.

This work of demolition would give the Soviet people a clear view of their own political history; it would, further, lift from their minds the remaining load of suspicion of the outside world inculcated by those trials. The new anti-Stalinists have chipped at the structure, even made great holes in it, yet it still stands, a horrible memento to the depths of depravity to which mankind is capable of sinking.


Notes

1. The Anti-Stalin Campaign and International Communism: A Selection Of Documents (Columbia University Press, New York, 1956), pp. 25-26.

2. NS Khrushchev, Report on the Programme of the CPSU (Soviet Booklet no 81, London, 1961), p. 111; also Pravda, 19 October 1961.

3. Report of Court Proceedings in the Case of the Anti-Soviet ‘Bloc of Rights and Trotskyites’ (People’s Commissariat of Justice of the USSR, Moscow, 1938), pp. 572-73.

4. Report of Court Proceedings in the Case of the Anti-Soviet ‘Bloc of Rights and Trotskyites’, p. 559.

5. New York Times, 24 January 1935.

6. The Anti-Stalin Campaign and International Communism, p. 24

7. Khrushchev mentioned only Yenukidze as signatory of this decree, omitting the main signatory, Kalinin.

8. Pravda, 27 October 1961, p. 10.

9. L Shaumyan, ‘Na rubezhe pervykh pyatiletok’ (‘On the Threshold of the First Five-Year Plans’), Pravda, 7 February 1964.

10. Letter of an Old Bolshevik (Rand School Press, New York, 1937).

11. Was he related to the General Nikolayev taken prisoner on this front and hanged after refusing an offer by Yudenich to join his forces? See Erich Wollenberg, The Red Army (Secker and Warburg, London, 1940), p. 64.

12. WG Sheppard, The Truth About the Murder of Kirov (Modern Books, London, nd), p. 7.

13. Victor Serge, Mémoires dun Révolutionnaire (Editions du Seuil, Paris, 1951), p. 301.

14. Both Yagoda and his secretary, Bulanov, confirmed the existence of this diary at their trial.

15. Letter of an Old Bolshevik, pp. 28-29.

16. When the regime’s spokesmen today talk of those who were close to Stalin, they perhaps forget that The Short Biography of Stalin (Foreign Languages Publishing House, Moscow, 1951) carries a 1926 photograph of Stalin and Kirov together. The only other persons so honoured are Lenin, Kalinin and Gorky. No mention is made of Kirov’s assassination in the biography.

17. Letter of an Old Bolshevik, p.�29, emphasis in original.

18. Note the case of DA Lazurkin, for example, a party member from 1902 on, who spent 17 years in prisons and camps for this offence. See Pravda, 21 October 1963.

19. The Anti-Stalin Campaign, p. 66.

 

The most nihilistic war ever … Sudan’s waking nightmare

A man said to the universe:
“Sir, I exist!”
“However,” replied the universe,
“The fact has not created in me
A sense of obligation.”
American poet and author Stephen Crane, 1899

Statistics are sometimes used to express the scale of the destruction in Sudan. About 14 million people have been displaced by years of fighting, more than in Ukraine and Gaza combined. Some 4 million of them have fled across borders, many to arid, impoverished places—Chad, Ethiopia, South Sudan—where there are few resources to support them. At least 150,000 people have died in the conflict, but that’s likely a significant undercounting. Half the population, nearly 25 million people, is expected to go hungry this year. Hundreds of thousands of people are directly threatened with starvation. More than 17 million children, out of 19 million, are not in school. A cholera epidemic rages. Malaria is endemic.

But no statistics can express the sense of pointlessness, of meaninglessness, that the war has left behind alongside the physical destruction.

In what can only be described as a melancholy case of selective blindness, the gaze of western mainstream and social media, distracted by other conflicts and causes has been turned away. The global conscience has appeared unmoved. The numbers are obscene, the silence more so.

El Fasher, in Sudan’s far western province of Darfur, is once again the world’s unacknowledged abyss. The UN warns of genocide; videos show unarmed men executed in cold blood, hospitals shelled, aid workers vanished, women violated, and civilians starved into submission. The Rapid Support Forces – the Janjaweed (colloquial Arabic for “devil riders”) in new fatigues – are methodically annihilating ethnic groups such as the Masalit. El Fasher was the Sudanese army’s last holdout in Darfur and its capture marks a milestone in the two yea long civil war, giving the RSF de facto control of more than a quarter of the territory.

Why the silence?

Because Sudan resists the narrative template that powers modern activism. There is no imperial villain, no clear coloniser or colonised, no simple choreography of oppression and resistance. The slaughter of black Africans does not fit the anti-Western moral geometry upon which contemporary protest movements are built. Sudanese bodies fall outside the moral lens of the global North even as they fall in their thousands.

This is not to rank suffering but to note the selectivity of empathy. Sudan’s tragedy lacks the aesthetic of victimhood that flatters Western guilt. The WHO pleads for hospitals; journalists beg for their detained colleagues. It all sounds chillingly familiar – yet no outrage follows. Perhaps because Sudan offers no convenient villain, no redemption arc, no social currency.

At the heart of the moral selectivity of the globalised conscience lies outrage as performance, empathy as branding. Sudan exposes the performative element of protest: empathy contingent on narrative utility. Its tragedy has no liturgy, no public ritual of belonging. It shows what our age truly worships: not justice, but self-expression masquerading as it. And in El Fasher’s unmarked graves lies the measure of this hypocrisy – a mute testimony to the moral vanity of a world that rages for Palestine, hashtags for Ukraine, and sleeps through Sudan.

In That Howling Infinite has touched on this dissonance before in  The calculus of carnage – the mathematics of Muslim on Muslim mortality We wrote back then, in December 2023, when the Sudanese civil war has been raging for the best part of a year: “Call it moral relativism or “whataboutism” (or, like some conjuror’s trick, “don’t look here, look over there!) but it is not a matter of opinion, more a simple matter of observation, to point out that Muslims are in the main subdued when their fellow Muslims are killed by other Muslims … There has been no significant unrest in the West over the hundreds of thousands of Muslims killed by fellow Muslims (apart from a visceral horror of the violence inflicted upon civilians and prisoners by the jihadis of the Islamic State. No public outcry or social media fury, no angry street protests by left-wing activists of vacuous members by armchair, value-signaling clicktavists”. 

Journey to an civil war

American journalist Anne Applebaum wrote very long essay the August edition of The Atlantic: Sudan … the most nihilistic war ever. She believes that Sudan’s devastating civil war shows what will replace the liberal order: anarchy and greed. Her essay reads like a missive from a civilisation already past the point of rescue. The country she describes is less a state than a geography of ruin — a landscape where the coordinates of morality, nationhood, and even information itself have come apart. The title is no exaggeration; it is diagnosis and prognosis both. Sudan, she argues, is not an aberration but a preview — the shape of the world when the liberal order finally collapses, when wars are fought not for gods or ideas but for bullion and bodies.

Sudan’s civil war began, at least formally, as a contest between two men: General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, commander of the regular army, and Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, who rose from the Janjaweed militias to command the Rapid Support Forces. Both were products of the same regime; both were once partners in repression. When they turned upon each other in 2023, the result was not ideological conflict but a kind of mutual devouring. Each accused the other of betrayal; each proceeded to loot, starve, and bomb the very population he claimed to protect.

Applebaum’s Sudan is not one country but many — an archipelago of fiefdoms and frontiers, each governed by whoever holds the nearest airstrip or gold mine. And gold, indeed, is the keyword: the new oil of an old desert. Sudan possesses vast deposits of it, and with them a vast invitation to corruption. Wagner mercenaries mine and smuggle it northward to fund Russia’s war in Ukraine. The United Arab Emirates bankrolls Hemedti’s RSF in exchange for access and influence. Egypt and Chad manoeuvre for position; Iran quietly re-enters the game. The Sudanese warlords themselves fight not to win the nation but to control the veins of the earth — the alluvial goldfields of Darfur and the Nile Basin that glitter beneath the dust like a curse.

Western governments, overstretched and inward-turned, offer gestures in place of policy. Applebaum notes that the world’s great democracies — once self-appointed custodians of human rights — now behave like distracted landlords. There is a knock at the door, another tenant murdered in the basement, but the owner is on the phone about something else.

In this sense, Sudan is less an anomaly than a mirror. It shows us what happens when international law becomes theatre, when moral outrage is rationed by proximity and profit. It is not merely a humanitarian disaster but a philosophical one: a demonstration that without belief — in justice, in shared reality, in the notion that human suffering still obliges response — politics decays into predation.

Applebaum’s prose, always measured, carries a note of exhausted mourning. The old ideological world — that twentieth-century drama of fascism, communism, and liberal democracy — at least believed in something, even if those beliefs destroyed millions. Today’s warlords believe in nothing at all. They are not even tyrants in the grand style; they are contractors of chaos, CEOs of slaughter, men who weaponise hunger for leverage and sell access to ruins.

What makes her essay so haunting is that Sudan’s nihilism feels contagious. The war may be geographically distant, but morally it is next door. The same disintegration of purpose infects the international response — the shrugging cynicism, the moral fatigue, the slow erosion of empathy. Applebaum’s Sudan is what remains when the “rules-based order” becomes a slogan muttered by people who no longer believe it themselves.

Coda: A Mirror in the Sand

The desert, Applebaum implies, has turned into a mirror of the world’s soul — reflecting its avarice, its indifference, its slow retreat from meaning.

What lingers after Applebaum’s account is not simply pity for Sudan, though that would be reason enough, but unease — the feeling that the world’s moral compass has slipped its pole and is spinning uselessly in our hands. Sudan is not the exception; it is the precedent. It is the world without illusion: borders drawn in dust, governments as rackets, truth dissolved into overlapping transparencies.

Once, wars were waged for empire, for creed, for revolution — each claiming, however falsely, to serve a higher cause. Now they are fought for metal, for markets, for motion itself. The soldiers are mercenaries, the civilians collateral, the nations staging grounds for someone else’s ledger. Applebaum’s overlapping maps are more than an image of Sudan’s confusion; they are an x-ray of a civilisation that no longer shares a moral reference point. We are all now drawing our own maps, colouring the world according to our comfort zones, overlaying them until the truth beneath is invisible.

And so Sudan becomes both tragedy and parable. Its gold mines glitter like tombs of the old order — the liberal dream of rules, rights, and reason — while above them drones and scavengers circle. A century ago, Conrad called it the horror; today it is merely another tab on a newsfeed. The anarchy is not confined to Khartoum or Darfur. It is spreading quietly through the arteries of global indifference, through our own fatigue, our own appetite for distraction.

If Applebaum is right, Sudan is not at the edge of the world but at its centre. The future, it turns out, is already here: gilded, godless, and for sale to the highest bidder.https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2025/09/sudan-civil-war-humanitarian-crisis/683563/

Postscript: selective empathy in a world of sorrow

Comparing the international outcry over Gaza to the silence on Sudan has been condemned as intellectual dishonesty. One comment on this post ran this:

“The mainstream media can stir outrage on any topic when its political masters and financial backers want it to. Why has it not done so in this instance? Follow the money is one rule of thumb. I assume it suits the powers that be to let the slaughter continue. I hope more people are inspired to become activists against this dreadful situation, but public opinion tends to follow the narrative manufactured by the media more than impel it. When it comes to pro-Palestinian activism it is the story of a long hard grind of dedicated protestors to get any traction at all against the powerful political and media interests which have supported the Israeli narrative and manufactured global consent for the genocide of Palestinians over many years. And still, although the tide is gradually turning, the West supports Israel to the hilt and crushes dissent. Using the silence in the media and in the streets over the slaughter in Sudan as an excuse to try and invalidate pro-Palestinian activism is a low blow and intellectually dishonest”.

This particular response is articulate and impassioned, but it also illustrates precisely the reflexive narrowing of moral vision that the comparison between Gaza and Sudan was meant to illuminate. The argument hinges on a familiar syllogism: that Western media outrage is never organic but always orchestrated (“follow the money”), that silence on Sudan therefore reflects elite indifference rather than public apathy, and that to highlight that silence is somehow to attack or “invalidate” the legitimacy of pro-Palestinian activism. It is a neat, closed circuit—morally reassuring, rhetorically watertight, but intellectually fragile.

For one thing, the claim that outrage over Gaza is a product of “a long hard grind” of dissenters battling pro-Israel hegemony may be partly true, but it fails to account for the asymmetry of moral attention. Why, if media outrage can be manufactured at will, does it attach so selectively? Why is one tragedy magnified until it becomes the world’s moral touchstone, while another, numerically and humanly no less immense, barely registers? This is not to invalidate solidarity with Gaza—it is to interrogate the mechanisms by which empathy itself is distributed, channelled, and constrained.

The “follow the money” thesis also misses something subtler and more disturbing. Western silence on Sudan is not an act of conspiracy but of exhaustion: no villains clearly marked, no sides easily named, no tidy narrative of good and evil to moralise upon. Sudan’s war—fragmented, internecine, post-ideological—does not lend itself to hashtags or flags on Instagram profiles. It is a horror too complex to package and too distant to own. By contrast, Gaza offers clarity, identity, and the reassuring architecture of blame: victims and oppressors, martyrs and monsters, the colonial morality play in perfect focus.

Thus, when critics accuse those who draw this comparison of “intellectual dishonesty,” they mistake the argument. To juxtapose Gaza and Sudan is not to weigh one body count against another, or to diminish Palestinian suffering. It is to expose the limits of our moral imagination – how empathy becomes performative when it is contingent on narrative simplicity or political fashion.

In Sudan, the gold glitters under the rubble. Warlords, mercenaries, and foreign patrons all claw for it while millions starve. In Gaza, the ruins are televised, moralised, and weaponised. Both are human catastrophes, but only one has an audience.

The point, then, is not that activists for Gaza are wrong—it is that they are lonely. If their struggle truly seeks a universal human justice, it must be capacious enough to include Darfur, Khartoum, El Fasher—to grieve what the cameras do not show. Otherwise, our compassion becomes another form of exceptionalism: the selective virtue of those who need their tragedies to fit the script.

In truth, to compare Gaza and Sudan is not to rank suffering or diminish solidarity, but to expose the limits of our moral bandwidth. Gaza compels because its story is legible—villains, victims, a script the world knows by heart. Sudan confounds because it is too fractured, too many nations within one, too little meaning to hold. There is no clear narrative, only greed, hunger, and gold buried beneath the ruins.

The real dishonesty is not in caring for Gaza, but in mistaking selective empathy for universal conscience. If our outrage depends on simplicity, we risk turning compassion into performance – mourning only what the cameras show, and averting our eyes from what they cannot.

AI and Future of the Internet

I use ChatGPT daily. Probably too much. I oscillate between awe and unease – between marvel at the eloquence of the machine and a wary recognition of the echo chamber it builds around us. Artificial Intelligence, so-called, is a conjuring trick of extraordinary scale: it digests the collective work of humankind and speaks it back to us, a mirror that flatters, distorts, and occasionally reveals.

When one has a blind spot – in the retina or the soul – the brain fills in the missing detail from instinct or memory. That is the magic, or the peril, of AI: it hallucinates our absences. When the data runs out, it dreams; when we falter, it improvises. It’s not so different from us, except that we invented it to remind us of ourselves.

Yet the paradox persists. The chatbot depends upon the very content it displaces. It feeds upon the living imagination even as it threatens to automate it. The web economy, once a marketplace of minds, now trembles under the weight of its own reflection. The abyss, as Nietzsche warned, is a slow and patient gazer. Look too long into the algorithm, and you may find the algorithm looking back — articulate, deferential, and strangely familiar.

Still, I keep asking questions. Perhaps because I suspect that in its confabulations lie our own. Perhaps because every hallucination hides a truth we have forgotten. Or perhaps simply because, as writers and readers, we cannot resist the shimmer of the mirror, even when we know the mirror is also a mask.

AI and the Future of the Web: Between Convenience and Curiosity

As ChatGPT and its rivals reshape the internet, the real threat is not the loss of information, but the erosion of inquiry itself.

On 5 October 2025, The Economist published an article titled “AI is killing the web. Can anything save it?” The piece argued that the rise of AI chatbots is undermining the economic and cultural foundations of the internet, threatening the very ecosystem that sustains journalism, creative work, and niche content. This essay reflects on the article’s warnings, exploring not only the economic and structural consequences of generative AI but also its broader cultural implications — and, ironically, the ways in which deliberate, interrogative engagement with AI can preserve the curiosity the article fears is vanishing.

The rise of AI chatbots such as ChatGPT is reshaping the internet’s economic and cultural ecosystem. For decades, the web operated on a delicate bargain: users accessed information and entertainment for free, while content creators and platforms monetized that attention via advertising or data collection. This system sustained journalism, creative industries, and countless niche websites. Now, AI threatens to unravel it. Chatbots can answer questions, summarize articles, and generate content with increasing sophistication, often without sending users to the original sites. Traffic – and revenue – flows away from the websites that produced the material in the first place.

The implications are far-reaching. If content creators cannot earn a living, the diversity and quality of material on the web could decline sharply. Specialized journalism, independent blogs, and even large media outlets might struggle to survive if audiences bypass them in favor of AI-generated summaries. This is not just a financial issue, but a cultural one: the internet’s richness relies on a wide ecosystem of creators, whose incentive to contribute diminishes when AI intermediates access to their work.

The piece examines potential remedies but casts doubt on any quick fix. Subscription models might help, though they risk fragmenting the web and excluding users who cannot pay. Legal or regulatory approaches — requiring AI to cite sources or compensate content creators — face practical and global coordination challenges. Revenue-sharing between AI developers and content producers remains largely theoretical. The Economist concludes that while AI offers enormous utility, it may simultaneously hollow out the ecosystem that makes the web vibrant, informative, and sustainable. In other words, the very tool designed to amplify access to information could starve the sources of that information, threatening the web’s long-term health.

Beyond the economic threat lies a deeper cultural shift. By mediating access to knowledge, AI risks centralizing authority over information in the hands of a few large platforms. Where users once navigated a decentralized web — from blogs to academic repositories – AI now acts as a single gateway, subtly shaping what people see and how it is framed. This raises questions of epistemic diversity: whose knowledge is amplified, whose is marginalized, and how errors or biases propagate when AI interprets the web.

Generative AI also encourages a culture of consumption over engagement. Users increasingly rely on synthesized answers rather than visiting original sources, participating in discussions, or evaluating evidence themselves. Over time, this could erode critical thinking, reduce exposure to divergent viewpoints, and reinforce algorithmic echo chambers. AI promises unprecedented access to information, yet by centralizing authority, it may shrink the very informational ecosystem it draws upon.

Importantly, this is no longer a speculative threat. AI is not poised to take over content creation — it has already arrived. Large language models are actively writing text, generating articles, essays, and summaries at scale. Meanwhile, readers are already turning to chatbots to précis, distill, or interpret that very material. The paradox is immediate and self-referential: the AI produces the text, and the AI digests it, while humans step in chiefly to interrogate, verify, and contextualize. In this recursive loop, the risk of distortion compounds, especially when hallucinations – the machine’s way of filling gaps in knowledge – are left unexamined.

A particular dimension of this phenomenon lies in how AI generates those hallucinations. These arise because the AI depends entirely on human-generated content to construct its answers. When gaps, biases, or missing information appear, the model must invent plausible-seeming outputs. An apt analogy comes from human vision: when someone has a blind spot or an obstruction in the retina or optic nerve, the brain instinctively fills in the missing details, drawing on memory, context, or subconscious “magic” to create a coherent image. Similarly, when a language model encounters missing content, it fills the gap, generating answers that seem authoritative but may not reflect reality. The AI, like the brain filling a visual blind spot, is striving for completeness, yet it can mislead if we do not interrogate its outputs. The lesson is clear: just as we know the eye can be tricked, so must we question AI’s “sight,” balancing reliance with critical vigilance.

Yet the irony is striking: engaging with AI is also the way to test its warning. To question AI is still to use it; to précis is still to probe. When used dialogically – as a partner in thought rather than a vending machine — AI can revive the exploratory spirit it threatens. What the Economist calls “the death of the web” might instead be its metamorphosis: a shift from a sprawl of pages to a lattice of conversations, provided users insist on curiosity over convenience, interrogation over automation.

Ironically, reading this warning through AI embodies exactly the behaviour the article fears might disappear. But here lies the distinction: using AI as a tool for interrogation, not substitution. By asking follow-up questions, seeking all sides of an argument, and qualifying answers, one preserves the habits of critical thinking and active engagement. AI becomes an interactive partner, prompting reflection rather than replacing it. Preservation of curiosity — and the web’s intellectual richness — depends not on abstaining from AI, but on using it with vigilance, discernment, and a willingness to probe deeper than the first answer it provides.

Viewed this way, AI may not spell the end of the web but its transformation. The sprawling landscape of pages may evolve into a lattice of conversations, mediated by intelligent systems but animated by human questions, scepticism, and moral reflection. Survival of the web depends on whether users insist on curiosity over convenience, engagement over automation. It depends on whether we continue to ask: Where did this knowledge come from? Who benefits from its presentation? What has been omitted? Machines can synthesize words, but they cannot yet replicate the moral and intellectual labour of wondering why those words matter.

In short, the web will not die at the hands of AI; it will die only if its users stop thinking. The technology challenges us, but it also offers an opportunity: to transform passive consumption into deliberate inquiry, to turn a warning into a call to action, and to ensure that curiosity remains the lifeblood of the digital commons. The threat is not the web itself, but the spirit of engagement that makes it meaningful. By interrogating, questioning, and balancing – and by understanding the limits of AI’s “vision” – we preserve that spirit, demonstrating that the human capacity for reflection remains, for now, irreducible.

Coda

And so the circle closes: the machine writes, the reader queries, the machine replies, and the reader wonders whether the wondering itself has been automated. Perhaps this is what Voltaire foresaw in jest – that if the truth does not exist, we will simply have to invent it – though he could hardly have imagined silicon doing the inventing. Yet invention, in all its ambiguity, remains a human art: the ability to doubt, to test, to laugh at the illusion even as we depend upon it. The web may flicker, morph, or narrow beneath the weight of automation, but the act of questioning – that restless, unprogrammable impulse – is what keeps it alive. If AI fills the blind spots, it is still up to us to notice the seams. And perhaps that is where the future of thought now resides: not in what the machine can see, but in what we still suspect it cannot.

Since writing this piece, In The Howling Infinite Infinite has published several more, and others will doubtlessly follow: The promise and the peril of ChatGPT,  and, to demonstrate that chatbots are not infallible, Diligent chatbot unearths fool’s gold